Come Tuesday
Summer's almost over. I hope you're enjoying your weekend but get ready. Come Tuesday, it's game on.
We stand at the edge. Prices have broken out but Cartel resistance is steep. The latest CoT shows their malicious intent. In gold, The Cartel net short position grew by over 32,000 contracts last week with the gross short position growing by over 10%! A huge, desperate move which has brought The Cartel net short position to its "worst" level since 2/28/12. Yikes! In fact, over the 8/14/12 - 8/28/12 time period, the price of paper gold rallied $68 and the total Gold Cartel net short position grew by 59,000 contracts. It looks like someone would very much prefer that gold not rise much further.
Though the Cartel selling in silver is just as prevalent, it is of a different stripe. For the reporting week, to supply the paper necessary to keep price in check, instead of adding shorts The Silver Cartel dumped longs. Of course the question is: Why? Are they selling into strength and booking profits? I suppose. But are they also remiss to add new shorts? Of course, it's impossible to say. What is possible to say though is that the CoT situation has only "deteriorated" in the days since, particularly Friday.
Finally, it is curious to see so much of the fresh shorting and selling that is coming from the smaller banks. Uncle Ted calls these banks the "raptors". The raptors treat the paper markets as their virtual jungle where they prey upon the specs by collusively following the moves of the bigger banks. In gold, the selling last week was almost evenly split between the big banks and the smaller banks. In silver, though, 90% of the selling came from the smaller banks, not JPM. Again, why? Is this just a one-week trend?
So next week is set up for some significant volatility.
- All market participants are back from holiday.
- The charts are undeniably bullish, meaning spec money should continue to roll in.
- Prices are reaching into areas where I would expect some major Cartel short selling/resistance, i.e. $1725 and $33
- After a week of rising prices, we get the August BLSBS on Friday. It's hard to imagine anything but a negative print being met with a major attempt to rig prices lower.
For now, here's where we sit.


And do you recall this chart from last week? Notice that gold spent 17 weeks above the range in 2011 and now it has completed 17 weeks below the range in 2012. Next week, does gold finally move back within the range?


Silver is at a similar crossroads.



So, get ready for a crazy and wild week. Though I certainly wouldn't fault a trader for booking a few profits, everyone else just needs to prepare for some volatility. Prices are truly headed much, much higher but not without the usual shenanigans.
See you Tuesday.
TF
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Comments
Gold currency and some roaming thoughts
I like this subject as it allows room for some free thinking.
I think if they were to allow people to remit their physical gold or silver to the banks for a premium in fiat (supposedly gold/silver backed) that they could easily pull it off with the general public. I never see a situation where anyone can ask for and get real gold back in any new gold based system. But they'll make it appealing enough for you to turn your gold in with newly printed paper that literally costs them nothing in exchange for your physical.
I think people being able to pay off their old debt with newer, more valuable money would allow people to retire all of their old debts and and then eventually take on larger and newer debts (near ZIRP) all the while feeling wealthier and more confident about the new golden paper they hold. They could in principle retire the national debt if they stuck to the same principle and used newer issued (more valuable) money to pay off older debt under the FRN's they were originated in. I realize that sounds like an instant hyper inflation but if they applied it across the board it would be like a public debt holiday on all levels of finance and clear the ledgers of everyone or provide the opportunity to do so.
Can anyone imagine the growth that would take place after such a debt clearing holiday for everyone, Govt's included? Of course, none of that will ever happen because it's too bold and forward thinking and the greed factor and constant need for financial control by the politico/bankers is too enormous.
Returning as much wealth to the consumers in a consumer based world is a no-brainer. The Govt.'s and banks moan about the low growth and the lack of tax revenues etc. but you would think that somewhere along the line they would realize that allowing or enabling such a debt holiday would free up everyone's (including their own) debts and allow for unprecedented growth going forward. It would be like starting from scratch with a zero balance. Every business you could possibly imagine would boom and they would have to hire lots of people just like in a normal business cycle. The machine would then feed itself in a boom cycle. The real estate market would clear real quick.
Everyone here would spend way more money if you had no debt and you knew that getting hired or staying employed was very likely. Imagine how your company might pay you if they had no debt and there was a shortage of workers that they needed to compete for with better wages?
It's that easy and all they need to do is implement it and have everyone on board that matters on such global monetary issue's that need to agree to it. In a world of financial accounting gimmickry that they've brought to new levels this sounds about right if it's a one time thing. Bringing high priced gold into the equation and creating more collateralized potential liquidity out of thin air would seem appealing to them also. Just remember, if gold does a slow moon shot it'll give them every opportunity to print wayyy more fiat then they do know and to keep the skids greased by letting gold rise on a sliding scale and not a antiquated fixed price.
There are so many ways out of this mess if they would only implement some bold accounting moves in a bold new monetary policy. Can anyone imagine if all of that bailout money everywhere since 2007 was allowed for that very purpose and every financially meaningful Govt. did it and all the debts were made cheaper by virtue of what I wrote above?
Boom city. It would be a new golden age, literally.
Fraught with initial moral hazard but if the debt holiday applied to everyone would it not be normal and would it be a hazard or a no-brainer at that point? We'll never know.
http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/comment/90350#comment-90350
@ Ferd Torgerson
Happy Birthday!
PS:
I'm still first today.
Taiwan Signs Yuan Clearing Deal With China
Taiwan Signs Yuan Clearing Deal With China, Creates New Rate
The central banks of Taiwan andChina signed a yuan clearing agreement as Asia’s biggest economy pushes the use of its currency in international trade.
Taiwan will allow interbank trading of the yuan, creating a new exchange rate for the currency, Governor Perng Fai-nan said today. The two monetary authorities are also negotiating a currency swap deal that would allow Taiwan to hold yuan assets in its foreign-exchange reserves.
“The deal will help Taiwanese companies move their yuan assets back to the mainland and lessen their exchange risks,”Perng said in Taipei. “Taiwan will have its own yuan spot rate called `CNT,’ as opposed to `CNH’ in Hong Kong.”
China has been expanding its currency relations with trade partners to promote greater use of the yuan in global trade and investment. Nations including Singapore, Japan, and Thailand have signed similar deals with the world’s second-biggest economy as part of their efforts to reduce reliance on the dollar. Exports account for more than two-thirds of Taiwan’s economy and some 30 percent of shipments are bound for China.
“It’s a good development as there’s huge demand for yuan in Taiwan,” said Penny Chen, who helps oversee $160 million in yuan assets as a fund manager at Manulife Asset Management Co. in Taipei. “Taiwan’s exporters and small-to-medium enterprises will be able to reduce transaction costs.”
Taiwan has the world’s biggest trade surplus with China and foreign direct investment by the island’s companies rose 11 percent to $13 billion in 2011, according to official data...
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-08-31/taiwan-signs-yuan-clearing-deal...
What else is there to love about Canada?
Well, there is bacon.
One for the road...
PINK FLOYD - The Dark Side Of The Moon - Live In London 1974
Mr. Fix !
"I like the cut of your jib ! Wouldest thou like to hook up ?"....Gay Pilgrim Cod Fisherman "Pick Up Line" cerca 1626 Just kidding ! I see Bluesman145 has made his debut at TFMR ! I think he's the guy that got me banned for life at Kitco Forums for my corny, faux racist humour .... such as: "I think all inner city children should be sent to North Korea for two years of extreme potty training .... a Potty Corp, if you will ?" Monedas 1929 Comedy Jihad Help I Think I'm Being Stalked
CHINA. boots on the ground report...
This month I had to pass through some of the major Chinese cities (in Beijing right now) and, boy, would most of you guys have a field day!
I have never seen this much gold! Huge fancy shop after shop after shop selling 999 gold either as intricate jewelry or bars etc. for the daily per gramme price which isn't too far from spot price.
How sadly ironic that in western countries the population is giving away their gold to cash-for-gold places while here everybody who has any amount of savings converts it to gold!
Yes, these shops are full of customers, even if some can only afford 1gramme earrings, the convert-your-money-into-something-real sentiment is very present!
who's running this market anyway?
Are we running this market or are we continuing to let some committee decide what the definition of money is?
Its up to us anyway people!
The more gold and silver coins there are in circulation, the more the monetary value of the coinage increases.
question for @achmachat
I've wondered what the average gold store in China sells.
Do they sell Pandas? US Buffalo / Eagle? Canadian maple leaf?
Swiss gold bars?
What's the gold like that they are selling?
Monedas !
Just wanted to say HI!
on ZH this aftrenoon.
I enjoy the good humor.
Jedi
Typical store:
As you enter, you see "today's gold price" in RMB per gram of 999 gold.
That price includes the work that went into making the decorative pieces and jewelry. It is surprisingly close to spot price though.
So basically everything has its weight on a little tag and you pay per gram.
I think you need to go to a branch of Bank of China to buy pandas.
But most of the banks also sell you gold in most shapes and sizes.
@achmachat
I was also in China a few months ago in several major cities. You are right about the gold shops - I too was blown away by all of the non-jewellery gold (i.e. bullion - bars of all shapes and weights) that was being sold to the general public. And yes, I saw many people buying.
It is sad what is happening in America and in Europe - trading your gold for dirt cheap prices to survive whilst a lot of the Chinese are converting their fiat into gold.
Hello
I just wanted to say hello Turdville! I just joined..... been a lurker on/off for several months. I have a small stack..... looking to add as funds permit. I wish I had been on this wagon a few years ago. Late to the party......... story of my life.
Regards,
Dagney, Baby !
I love your new Avatar foto .... I call it "Hair Inflation" ! Will you have my children .... I mean will you adopt them .... and take them off my hands ? They love our Tijuana slum .... but, I'm sure they'll get used to your Royal Suite in Banff in no time ! They are out house trained ! Monedas 1929 Comedy Jihad Dreams Of A Real Father
http://www.obamasrealfather.com
@benque
The graph doesn't show flash moves.
Top-left corner: http://www.kitcosilver.com/ Was 32.00 for yesterday. Showing 31.96 for 3 September now.
Apples, Corn and Coke
On the apple issue--an article yesterday in the Chicago newspapers discussed how light the apple crop is in this part of the midwest.
Also my wife came home with locally grown corn this weekend and it was crispy and sweet--I think it was $1 per ear.
Finally I was at a grocery store today--I used to buy 2 liter bottles of Coke for around a dollar as recently as last year--the price had moved up to close to $2 but today it was $2.19. The funny part is that pepsi products can stil be bought for $1 for 2 liter. Is Coke experimenting with higher prices. If so will pepsi not joining them cost coke market share?
In any event, I see prices increasing but not causing inflation--we wil do without coke or apples or corn. Substitute water for coke thus driving down cost of food.
things are getting crazy.
Hello - first post
I just wanted to say "Hello Turdville!" I just joined and have been a lurker on/off for several months. I have a small stack and would like to add as funds allow. I know... I know.... I'm late to the party..... Story of my life. Anyway, Hi!
Q
Federal Debt priced in gold
That chart of US debt is really cool. So money printing does work! I guess if they take the value of the dollar to zero they can pay off the debt with a gold eagle and still have change for dinner and a movie.
The problem is, that there should be more wealth in the US than its debt. If it takes all the dollars in the US to pay the debt, people will have nothing. No property, no savings, dick.
Not good.
But since things are headed that way, I will put a gold eagle aside, I bags Florida.
L-W-F
no nuthin...
I think that is exactly what the banksters want - they own everything, we own nuthin...
@Dagney Taggart - what's your problem?
The silver chart at Kitco clearly says Silver high of 31.9+
Re: Kitco Charts...
I'm convinced the price of Silver would have hit $32 on Friday if that pesky box of lettering wasn't in the way! ;-)
Glad they moved it, maybe they should move it a skosh higher?
Silver high was at 03:00 am CEST
with a price of 31,884. Last tine we saw 32 was April 12
Grass Root Miners Draw the Line
Recent shootings and arrests of miners in South Africa will affect the production and pricing of gold. This could be the turning point of no return and nothing else will matter from now onwards. Looks like the most oppressed in regard to wage and working conditions have had enough. The PTB made a big mistake in dealing with the situation and are getting no sympathy. Price of gold will rise from now onwards in my opinion.
Deciduous Fruits…
Our cherry tree produced nada this year, but that's because it got jumped the gun and flowered too early - lots of flowers which got us excited, but sadly, the bees were still asleep so no pollination!
On the other hand, for the first time we're going to taste some of the apples off our trees. Not that they haven't produced in the past, but we finally figured out how to keep the squirrels away from them. Little bastards used to pluck the apples before they were ripe, eat a few bites out of them, then leave the half-eaten unripe fruit on a branch for us to admire. What kept 'em away was hanging bags of mothballs from the lower branches. The squirrels gave wide berth to the trees and now, for the first time since we planted them, we're going to enjoy some fresh apples! Hooray!
And despite the miserable hot - dry conditions, our garden was, and is, outstanding this year. Tons of tomatoes (and they're producing again now), melons, pumpkins, okra & squash. But the REAL producer was the white habaneros. We put out nearly fifty plants - they grew waist high and into each other to the point where it now looks like a huge solid hedge of habaneros. And white habs produce a LOT of peppers anyway, so it's nothing to go out to the garden and come back in with a couple of pounds or more of these white, fire-y bullet-shaped chili's daily. Seems the drought and intense heat kicked them into overdrive - they loved it! As quick as we pick the peppers they flower up and produce more. The bees love 'em too - are all over 'em (wonder what effect all that habanero has on their honey).
@SSJ
Numbers don't matter apparently. Pretty pictures do. For the number people, I see a 32.00, 31.96, and 31.97 since 6pm.
The bots are pumping like rabbits.
GRAND CHAMPION!!!!!!!!!!!!
WHOOPEE!
This summer I traded a lovely black and white spotted 3 month old female goat (doling) for a black and white spotted Icelandic lamb. I kept her two beautiful sisters.
I just received word that the little darling took 1st place - Grand Champion - at the county fair along with lots of other awards!

Good thing I didn't enter my little black and white spotted buckling, as the judges would have had a very hard time deciding. He's gorgeous.
Oh wait, the goats have to behave, and there is no way little sex pot buckling would have behaved for a nanosecond.
He's bad.......................
@Mick
Pepsi has been incorporating dead fetuses. I hear they make good cheap alternative ingredients.
In other words, stop drinking that shit.
Alfalfa - My cup runneth over
Since I won't be at the computer any time tomorrow, I thought I would follow up on my quest for alfalfa (farmer's gold).
Friday I received a phone call from a local farmer who I have bought alfalfa from the last two years. I had not contacted him because I had been told by others that he had pre-sold out his entire 300 acre crop of alfalfa to a large cattle rancher. He called to let me know that "yes, the crop was sold..." but he had held back three tons for me!
Then Mr. Uranium Springs from Turdville, who I have just met, called to let me know that his neighbor had a little alfalfa left over. Today I picked up 1 1/2 tons, with Mr Uranium Springs loading the truck and trailer for me. Oh, my, he and his family are just jewels!!!!!!!!!!!!! That meet-up is a whole future post in itself. Someone from Turdville living within 20 miles of me!!!
It's looking like I will have more than enough alfalfa for the winter, and for that I am extremely grateful.
And, yes, the alfalfa crop is sold out here. My suspicion is that lots of the "ranchers" who are buying up a farmer's entire crop are really hay dealers, buying with the intent of holding the crop until winter sets in and they can get a higher price.
And so far every farmer I have purchased from has been over 65 years old. I find that very troubling for the future of independent, non-corporate, American farms. I personally only know of one farmer under the age of 65, and I am buying organic barley from him for my redneck fodder experiment.
Pepsi?
The way I understand it, they use fetal cells to test the flavor ingredients (do they like it?). There are NO fetal cells in the drink. Still kind of creepy. Also there are no bunny eyes in shampoo.
Dagney
I'll believe you saw that $32 print, cause I wanna.
We've heard about these mystery spikes at Kitco before, both on the spot, and lease prices.
I'm not familiar enough with the other charting sites to get a visual of the spike, so I'll be optimistic and give you the benefit of the doubt. Can't imagine why anyone would say $32 if they didn't see it, anyhow.