Eric O's Favorite Gold Miners

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Eric Original
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Claude

Eric Original wrote:

Claude seems to be perking up a bit lately if you check the chart.  

Quarterly earnings will be released Aug. 13.  I expect them to be bad.  But I want to hear good news for the rest of the year.  I want to hear that they are starting in on mining the L62 Zone.   I want to hear updates on drifting and drilling on the Santoy Gap.  I want to hear that they have a new and improved mine plan that will take them to 100,000 oz/yr.

Yes, I want a lot.  But Claude owes us a lot.

I'm underwhelmed.   Production is just a tad shy, and guidance lowered accordingly.   Costs remain over $1,000/oz.   Production from L62 won't hit until 4Q.  No real exciting news here.  Overall just blah.

Still, as with a lot of miners these days, there's nothing wrong here that a jump in the gold price won't cure.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/claude-resources-inc-records-net-123000992...

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Eric Original
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Pretty crappy day for my List

There's no way to sugar coat it.

Best tip I can give right now is to ignore my list completely.  :(

Just bought a little AUQ...

glutton_for_punishment_001.jpg

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audi
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Claude Latest.

Yes, Eric I agree with you on the latest report.

The info. I liked was the mention that they increased the land portion

at Amisk, by staking 14 new claims for a total of 14,000 hectares, on the

western side of existing land package.  Seems to me they have some

idea that the deposit is continuing westernly.

Audi.

HCA
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You have to be very optimistic these days....

Hmmm...

Well, I need a lot of gain to break even. Hopefully AUQ, AZK, CGR & ATNA will provide just that and them some.

I have a sizeable position in Premier Gold, which I will sell in favor for ATNA. 

Explorers are excluded from my horizon. Even with tons of gold in the ground, they still need the funding which doesn't come easy. 

I would very much like to see Aurizon start paying dividends, they have no excuse, not to.

Claude needs to demonstrate that they're committed to create shareholder value. I appreciate mining is complicated and things take time, but so far it looks more like a cookie factory, keeping a few well fed.

Not too worried about Aurico, YD seems to be on track, obviously they need to resolve their problems in Mexico and with the amount of shares out there, they need that bit contributing, YD alone can't justify a share price much higher than current.

I will continously increase my position in ATNA, it being the most likely to gain 200% or more, if successful. 

Godspeed!

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Clownshoes - Claude

Our favorite most useless performer! down only 24% in two days. 

Went from useless to junk....

Eric Original
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So, where do we stand?

Well, things stink, that's where.   My list stinks.  My only consolation is that pretty much everybody's list stinks too.   Every miner fund out there stinks.

By late April/early May I had basically hunkered down.  Dumped all the stuff that scared me, and kept the stuff that I felt I could emotionally hang onto through thick and thin, based pretty much on my list.  Since then I've gotten rid of Golden Band and taken them off the list.  I also have been out of Impact Silver and Claude Resources for a while, though they still sit on the list.

I mentioned a possible trade here on the thread for Victoria Gold a while back.   That would have worked out nicely, but unfortunately I never pulled the trigger.  It's back down again now.

At one point I was pondering a trade on MAG Silver, but it took off without me before I could do that one either.  I'd think about it again under $8.00.

I did get into some Osisko Mining for a while, and cashed out with a nice 40% winner.  In this crappy environment you have to be happy with that any time you can find it.   I'm still watching it retreat, hoping for a good reenty,  hopefully also under $8.00.   $7 would be better.

First Majestic has been decent.  I had a "too big" position in that because of my old Silvermex shares.  I trimmed that back to a normal size pretty near the recent highs, so I feel good about that.  Argonaut, Rubicon, Detour, and Kirkland have been OK.   Timmins was horrible, but has come back of late.

Meanwhile, Aurico and Aurizon have been brutal on me.  Big positions there.  :(

San Gold stinks too, but thankfully just a small holding.

How about you guys?   Any summertime war stories you want to share?

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HCA
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A good list

Eric,

There's nothing wrong with your list and I like your stock picking criteria.

One could argue a scrutiny and valuation of management's, would have been a valuable addition to your already thorough research.

Though ultimately this game is not static and some monitoring and adjustments are required.

I don't have time to do this and it was never the intend. I was hoping for a good stock pick, leave them mature for 3-5 years.

A bit naive, I now realize though I still think that many of the candidates on your list, will deliver within the next two years.

Common for AZK,AUQ,CGR & ATNA is the major costs incurred this year above normal maintenance. Upgrading of aging infrastructure and increased labor costs, are to blame for a majority of the shortfall. 

If the correct investments and adjustments were done this year, production and profit margin's should rise significantly starting next year. 

Hopefully even Claude will be able to deliver, getting the three Santoy mines operational without stock dilution.

2nd quarter earnings were not pretty across the board.

Call me optimistic or naive, I think we'll be laughing in the years to come.

Thanks for all your hard work!

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San Gold

I'm thinking about upping my exposure to San Gold.  It's been beaten to a pulp, largely because of the mill breakdown which took the entire month of June to repair.  When taken in this light, the 2Q results are not all that bad, and I think now that they are running again they are likely to still hit all their guidance for production and costs.  

Just for fun future reference, the current price is .83 Canadian.   Sometime later I can refer to this post and show how silly I was.

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BagOfGold
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Eric O...

Atna financing of $15 million!...

http://www.stockhouse.com/News/USReleasesDetail.aspx?n=8595852

I say...shoot now & ask questions later!...Financing later on down the road may be virtually impossible!...What is more important?...Keeping the doors open or closing them later due to lack of financing?...Those miners able to keep the doors open...will be the biggest winners!...Good for them!!!...

Bag Of Gold

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Eric Original
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Atna disappoints me

Atna Resources just raised $15M in a bought deal for stock.   I'm seldom happy about this sort of thing, but in this case I'm particularly pissed off.   Atna went to great pains earlier this year to totally lay out their financial plans regarding how they were going to get through without having to raise any money.   They supposedly had enough money to get Pinson started up by YE 2012.   Cash flow was supposed to start in time to make debt payments back to Sprott, which had been renegotiated out into 2013.   They had it all worked out.   Their whole mantra is that cash flows from one mine fund the development of the next one, without the ongoing dilution of shareholders.

In my write up for my list I stated, in plain black and white, "No Stock Dilution".   Now management says "Never mind, we decided to take the money."  Apparently they now think it's such a great idea that they announced it yesterday and then enlarged the size of the deal today.   Wheeee!

Yeah, well, never mind about being on my list either.  Bye Bye Atna.

I probably won't just dump it in a huff, but next time I'm looking to lighten up on miners, Atna will be the first one I think of.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/atna-announces-increase-previously-announc...

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Eric Original
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Yes BOG, looks like you and I

Yes BOG, looks like you and I were typing at the same time!  Again!

Bye Bye Atna!

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Eric Original
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BOG

upon a more careful reading of your post, it appears you and I disagree on this one.   That's OK.  I can see your point, but this is a company that always went out of their way to say they wouldn't raise money this way.  That's why I liked them.   Now that's out the window.

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BagOfGold
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Eric O...

You're okay & I'm okay!...I understand where you are coming from!!!...

Bag Of Gold

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HCA
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Atna

Eric,

I fail to understand why issuing 15 mio shares, is a causing you to dismiss Atna, with currently only 121.7 mio O/S, adding 15 mio. doesn't seem like a major dilution.

Most other companies on your list with same production potential has far more O/S. 

The market doesn't seem to take the news too badly either.

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Because HCA, as Eric so

Because HCA, as Eric so clearly pointed out ATN made it clear to shareholders that they would not be doing additional dilution.

Eric Original
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HCA

In the strict dollars and cents aspect, it's really not a big deal.  It's not really a ton of shares.  But for me it cut right to the heart of the credibility of management.   What they kept saying for months, and what they did today, were 180 degrees apart.  That's what is bugging me.

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peckerwood
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was afraid to come in here before

maybe tomorrow i will have the balls to look at my mining stocks IRA.  i'll check in at the Speak to see if anyone is "fruhshoppen" first.

i haven't looked ay my IRA since i got sodomized by Jaguar Mining's stellar, and shareholder friendly management.  yup, how great was that insult, on top of injury, watching my entire life savings being destroyed by the fucking bankers, then by incompetent, and greedy mining executives.

i need a price in the high 4's to break even on that pile of hell.  who knows, hey?

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Personally I am happy with

Personally I am happy with Atna deal. They had problem at Briggs this year and that could have changed their strategy. They were always going to be tight with money and I rather have them start Pincus without any cost cutting shortcuts and on time. I think this amount of dilution is agreeable and perhaps this change in strategy was needed.

I think we should not allow emotions to influence our opinion of this deal.

Eric Original
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Aurcana

I upped my stake in Aurcana early this morning, from one of my smallest positions up to about average size.

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HCA
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WDO

Eric,

Are you still holding onto Wesdome? it has done better than most stocks recently, today including.

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