ChartDaddy.com

No, I'm not changing the name of the site but if I crank out a few more posts like this one, I may have to think about it.

So here comes the chart dump. I hope you're ready. Presented without much additional verbiage since I have already written most of my thoughts onto the charts themselves.

METALS

We are very close to the breakout. All we need is a little shove. Something to squeeze shorts and start the momentum to the upside. Gold has clearly bottomed and is trending higher. A break of the "Battle Royale" line near 1670 and IT'S ON. Silver looks much the same. The original Battle Royale line is now somewhere between 28 and 28.50. And you wonder why silver seems stuck just north of $28? The BIG FIGHT will be at Battle Royale II, which is currently near $32. Through there and it's off to the races, once again.

PIGATHA

We've watched The Pig rally now for what seems like an eternity. From 73 in April 2011 to 84 last month. Keep your fingers crossed but the charts are starting to signal that the move may finally be over.

CRUDE

As discussed yesterday, there are all kinds of factors affecting the crude oil market, the topping Pig being just one of them. Crude bottomed in late June and has since moved steadily higher in $5 increments. Having now bested $93, could $98 be next? Probably...

GRAINS

The grains present a mixed picture. The soybean chart looks like crap and this is likely due to the outside possibility that rain may come and allow for a salvageable bean crop. We'll see. Corn, on the other hand, has double-topped at 8.25 (cash) but is putting in a series of higher lows as it consolidates around $8. This chart sure seems to foreshadow a burst higher but maybe I'm just seeing things. The crop report that comes out on Friday will tell the tale.

Just three homework assignments for you. First, Jeff Nielson has published an insightful piece that you should take a few moments to read: http://www.bullionbullscanada.com/intl-commentary/25687-crime-of-the-millennium

Our pal, Mike Krieger, posted this item earlier today regarding the deteriorating conditions in Spain. Yikes! http://libertyblitzkrieg.com/2012/08/08/spain-is-reaching-the-boiling-point-activists-steal-in-bulk-from-supermarket-and-bring-to-food-kitchen/

And if you get a minute, please watch this "60 Minutes" expose from last March. It alarmed me at the time and, when I first heard of a possible, second California refinery fire this morning, it immediately came back to mind. Note that the tone of the report is not IF the Stuxnet virus comes home to roost, it's instead WHEN. 

 

Lastly, I think I'll take the day off tomorrow. The final golf "major" of the year is at Kiawah Island, South Carolina on a course that I had the opportunity to play recently. I plan to kick back and enjoy watching Tiger et al struggle and fight to conquer the links and the wind. I'll try to post something later tonight to give you something to discuss tomorrow. Until then, be relaxed and joyous. We are winning.

TF

Comments

ancientmoney's picture

@karankawa, cont'd.

Now, none of this will be announced ahead of time.  A bank holiday may happen, and accounts frozen.  During this holiday is when the gears are put into action.

COMEX trading in gold and silver are halted; SLV, GLD, and other paper trading of PMs will be termed and shareholders cashed out as of the last trading day before the holiday.  Mines and smelters will be nationalized for the good of the people.  Etc., etc.  This will be the time that the government will let people know that it is in the market to buy gold.  It will likely start at an attractive level, maybe $500 over the last-known spot, but will quickly ramp to levels nobody will believe--of course, nobody will have any to sell, as they "took advantage" of the "high" government prices early-on.

Then it will be announced that the currencies will be allowed to "float" against this new gold barometer.  At $55,000/oz. the government's debt will look quite manageable against 8,000 tons of gold.  The beat goes on.

GoldMania3000's picture

so why...

won't the cartel continue to cap? theyv'e dont it for a year...why not contnuie

kibbles314's picture

Paul Craig Roberts

PCR is the man. I wanted to post this on the last, slightly political, thread but refreshed to find the chart porn.

Take a read. Reagan's former Asst Secretary of the Treasury really tells it like it is.

http://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2012/08/08/the-dispossessed-majority/

Short Stack's picture

@Turd and @Nana

Turd I'd like nothing more than to contribute to this site but times are getting tougher.  If this keeps up I'll be lucky to cover the mortgage.  Oops, almost forgot,  wear the yellow hat tomorrow.  We'll be watching for you in the crowd.

----------

Nana, nice post starting with the Code of Hammurabi.   If I had my way there would be only three crimes punishable by death in this country.

Murder

Treason

and Banksterism.

PS > Anyone heard from SE ?   What ever happened to that masked man anywho ?

Nana's picture

Stuxnet Virus

Interesting piece to say the least!

This could hone in on anything if programmed right.  As stated in the piece it could affect:

Banks, S&L's, money markets, IRA's, 401K's, your instantly broke.

Power plants/grid , there goes your heat, air conditioner, food in the fridge and freezer, TV, computer, phone. There goes your ability to not freeze to death,  your food, your communication and information, store refrigerators and freezers would shut down too, same goes for restaurants too.

Nuclear plants could melt down, radiation spews and destroys who knows how many miles, destroys water sources, farmlands, entire cities. There goes food and water, starvation and dehydration. No water to cook, no water to clean, no water to bathe, no water for laundry. Dysentery, e-coli and other water born illnesses run rampant.

Deliveries could be interrupted, no gas, no food, no medications, no deliveries. There goes the world as most people knows it.

Travel could be shut down, planes could fall from the skies and plummet anywhere. Trains could stop dead in their tracks leaving thousands stranded where ever it stops. 

And the list goes on and on.

Broke and starving people will become mad as you know what, riots, gangs and mobs will rob and destroy what little is left.  Add that to the sick and dying people. The death rate could be on a magnitude never witnessed before in the history of mankind......  

Short Stack's picture

Re: Stuxxnet Virus

Pretty sure I 've seen that post before.  Oh yeah, now I remember.  It was just before the Y2K.

Lamenting_Laverne_and_the_Scoundrel_Suctioncups's picture

Shell False Alarm? - Warning: Tinfoil ahead

(Below is follow up on a post in last thread, but since Turd mentions the Shell Refinery Emergency Alert above, I hope it is deemed somewhat on topic still - albeit with a different tinfoil twist)

------

One commentator on ZH seems to disagree, and from what I know of Oil Company security procedures, they would alert the authorities as soon as they can, but only if they had a real problem on their hands.

ZH comment snippet:

"Tree of Liberty: I can assure you it is not a false alarm.  Shell is very litigation wary, generally safer operated than its counterparts and does not alarm the public without cause.  I have worked for them for 20 years and when they make a public anouncement regarding safety there is generally a risk.  The Martinez facility is very old and suffers from deffered maintenance." 

He continues:

"Tree of Liberty: The emergency alert system that Shell uses has numerous layers of protocol that prevents false alarms; numerous internal alerts and validations occure before the public is ever notified thru the authority alarm system.  What I believe has occured is the gas leak has been resolved." 

 
The Emergency Alert linked at ZH was released at 07:15 am PDT.
 
What is a little curious to me is that at what appears to be at exactly the same time, Alaska Airline Flight 539 en-route from Ontario, LA Airport to Seattle experienced a "catastrophic electrical failure" and cabin decompression 40 minutes into the flight, which resulted in an emergency landing in San Jose. As the flight was scheduled to leave at 06:30 am, the problem would have occurred at approx. 7:10 am. If the plane was flying in a parallel line with the coast aiming at a cruise speed of approx. 813 km/h after take off in accordance with a 737, then the plane could have been pretty much right over Martinez at 07:10, according to a very tongue in cheek calculation and a look at Google Maps. The article linked below states that "It was not clear what caused the electrical problem with the flight".
 
Flight: AS 539  
Airline: Alaska Airlines 
Depart: Ontario LA/Ontario International Apt
Terminal: Terminal 2 
Departure Time: 06:30, Wednesday 8 August 2012 
Arrive: Seattle/Tacoma International Apt 
Terminal:  
Arrival Time: 09:06, Wednesday 8 August 2012 
Stops: Non-Stop 
Travel Time: 2hrs 36mins 
Aircraft: 734 (Boeing 737-400 Passenger) 
Classes offered: First Economy 
Notes:  
What if the problem was electrical, catastrophic in initial appearance and initially inexplicable, because it was focused, and not necessarily confined to only the ground? Does such a thing as a focused precision EMP weapon even exist, I wonder? Granted, the tinfoil is thick, but of the opaque power groups that are battling out there, it is not totally nuts to assume that Shell belongs to one of them.
 
The story is here:
 
So I am hesitant to even post this thought, because it is quite a bit over the top, but I just thought the close proximity in timing and possible location, together with the unlikelihood of an erroneous emergency alert release, that was then deemed false alarm by local police, was a bit curious. Plus we have the backdrop of the Chevron incident on Monday. Further, Shell confirms that they actually did have a "small operational issue" this morning in the blog message that explains that the community alert was false. I haven't found a formalized news release regarding the same, which may also be a bit odd:  
 
 
I guess something (unusual) happened this morning, but as usual we will probably never know the truth.
 
PS: Afterburner about the also curious Chevron incident:
Can any of you, who are knowledgeable about oil refineries, tell me, if a leak from a diesel line that ignites into a fire would result in a loss of pressure in any connected vessels, so it would be realistic to assume occurrence of only one big explosion, if any? Ear witnesses have reported as much as 4 explosions (ABC have reported 5-7 explosions) at the Chevron Refinery site, while "plant officials" were cited as having stated that no explosion occurred at all. 
 
Further, there are discrepancies in the news stories concerning, when the leak was discovered, ranging from 4:15 pm to just before 6:30 pm. One News report says that union workers complained that the discussion was not how to fix leak, but how to avoid shut down, while fixing leak. Sounds logical from a Greedy Big Biz stand point, but very very illogical from an oil industry safety point of view, where any leak would be addressed absolute pronto, because they know they are working in a proverbial powder keg. The explosions are reported to have occurred at 6:15 pm. Anyway - suffice to say - the reported times do not match each other in different news stories, so someone are misinforming to some degree or adjusting "the facts" after the fact.  
 
Another note: In one picture of the burning crude unit it is stated that some of the flames are from a flare stack, doing its job, while another YouTube video clearly shows a flare stack fire in a completely different place far from the impacted crude unit. Judging from the black smoke, the flare is not only burning gas, which may be normal in a refinery - I don't know - but the pictures do not show the - what appears to be flare stacks/chimneys - close to the crude unit as burning. The burning stack is much further away, which seems odd to me, if the purpose of the stack is to burn off the flow from the crude unit to reduce temperature and pressure. Why are the crude units connected to a stack far away and not to the ones nearby, I wonder?  
 
Also, is it likely that different toxic elements of the plume would travel at different speeds through the air, so that people could experience stinging eyes and throats, before they could see the plume and before they could smell burning oil? User comments on one of the sites, I visited, suggests that a non-visible and non-smelling toxic plume arrived earlier, since the posters had symptoms of harsh substances in the air, without the presence of the black oil-smelling plume.
 
 
Sorry for lack of brevity as usual - just ramblings of an inquisitive mind. I would appreciate if a Turdistan oil professional out there would attempt to answer my questions above. Thanks.  
GoldMania3000's picture

Ill tellyou this..

if i was part of the Cartel i would vote for holding gold and silver until Turd turned 80.  really piss him off good:) I could drive all you people crazy if i was in the Cartel.   so give me one real reason why the Cartel will "go hands down"

Turd Ferguson's picture

Wow! Gotta say that that's

MODERATOR

Wow! Gotta say that that's pretty interesting stuff. Thanks!

Turd Ferguson's picture

Patience, grasshoppah

MODERATOR

Patience, grasshoppah

Response to: Ill tellyou this..
OutLookingIn's picture

@Nana Re: Stuxnet

Zoltan's picture

Last Weekend's Lease Rate Spike

Sorry I was offline from TFM for the weekend and didn't get a chance to document the lease rate spike to negative that occurred last weekend.  I had predicted this a month ago as these contracts need to be "rolled" as they expire.

It would appear that the lucky recipient of these negative rates (they get paid to "lease" their gold) who have long ago sold it into the market will be kept in the black for doing God's work (or on behalf of the US government).  The CFTC story is not a surprise, they don't serve the  public, their masters are the government and the crooked investment banks that they collude with to do their dirty work.

Z

PS Would still love to know the volume of leased metals if anyone gets a lead.

kingboo's picture

@Goldmania....

Because they could give a flying f--k about Turd........he's not even on the Cartels radar......    you think they give a shit about a couple of bloggin nuts like us?  Come on.......we're irrelevant to them.

Puck T. Smith's picture

Off Topic, a little...

Got silver?

Some days it just feels good.

ancientmoney's picture

@puck

Santa works for CFTC, too?

Byzantium's picture

Beat me to it

I have the same concerns as Goldmania. 

"won't the cartel continue to cap? theyv'e dont it for a year...why not contnuie"

​The only time that the cartel seems to lose Battle Royale's, seems to be when they choose to do a managed retreat, except the April silver spike and the US downgrade gold spike.

​On both those occasions, JPM likely told their client, the US government, 'Fine, you won't guarantee us full immunity from US law? We're out of here, you just enjoy the show, and give us a call when you change your mind.'

​It is likely, that financial losses due to acute short positions, are irrelevant when your client is the Fed & the Gubmint. 

​That JPM historically made money from their acute net short position, is just showing off. Ultimately, they are funded one way or the other.

I want to believe that we are facing a new breakout, but in the absence of inside knowledge, I'll not crack open the champagne yet.

Finally, watch out everyone, a superspike upwards when they do occur, are often followed by a downdraft just as dramatic. Be careful of chasing prices, new heights are just a prelude to a new round of medium term price capping and sentiment-killing decline. We are still in normal, 'controlled' markets, because the moon-shot is likely still a long way off.

Puck T. Smith's picture

Nope, not Santa

Jus' lil ole me, and I work around the corner, in the private sector.

LongGoldLongSilver's picture

Like...

Turd Ferguson's picture

That's awesome, Puck

MODERATOR

You ought to head upstairs sometime and request a personal meeting with Thunderlips!

The Green Manalishi's picture

Nooooo

What!! Santa works in the Public Sector, are we paying for his reindeer as well!!!

Bugger me no wonder the Government are bust. 

Lamenting_Laverne_and_the_Scoundrel_Suctioncups's picture

Thanks Turd!

I never quite know, when I go over the tinfoil top or too far off topic. I probably did both with this one too, but many thanks for your comment. It is much appreciated.

Puck T. Smith's picture

I've thought about it, Turd.

I have this idea I could pass myself off as an independent journalist and ask for a tour, just to see what the inside of the place looks like.  I'll bet it smells of sulfur and brimstone.

Missiondweller's picture

@Ancientmoney

You said in a previous post:

Some commentators say the Chinese want gold to back the yuan, for market supremacy.  I don't think so.  I think the elites worldwide have come to an agreement

With respect, I cannot imagine China and the US Fed coordinating on gold. Your premise is the exact opposite of Rickard's in Currency Wars where he demonstrates a long history of currency warfare between states.

I do not mean to sound antagonistic, but can you provide some evidence or some thought that would support the US and China coordinating on gold? It seems to me the Fed has an incentive to keep the price down while China has an incentive to buy it by the ton at artificially low prices especially to hedge their pile of worthless US Treasuries. I wrote about this in my own blog a while back http://macrowealthpreservation.blogspot.com/2012/01/china-takes-advantag...

Gramp's picture

Nice!

I thought that might b u there ol' Puck! 

   How dare ye!

Short Stack's picture

It happened again

Gold took a nose dive same time as yesterday.

silver too but it's recovered already.

punchbowl's picture

Chartdaddy.com? or

Chartdaddy.com or ChartDump.com? --- just to stay congruent with the common theme

turd said:

"No, I'm not changing the name of the site but if I crank out a few more posts like this one, I may have to think about it.

So here comes the chart dump. I hope you're ready."

Puck:  Sulfur is brimstone

tyberious's picture

Told you

I was starting to like Puck! I knew there was something about the young man! Hes going places I tell ya!!

ancientmoney's picture

@Missiondweller

No evidence I can come up with.  But, in this upside-down world, run by bankers through pols, there is nothing that would surprise me.  Nothing is as it seems, it seems to me.  I am simply another soul trying to make sense of what the markets are doing, and this premise seems to fit a little.  China's gold reserves were too low, silver was too high (in price), and voila, these problems are getting solved, even when silver was in short physical supply.

Just adding one and one, trying to come up with two.  I respect Rickards, but who knows and tells the truth, and nothing but the truth nowadays?

jb's picture

Refinery flares

are typically located a good distance from the units for safety reasons. The stacks you see are from heaters that heat up the crude. They shutdown automatically in an emergency. With a vapor leak the explosion you hear is a vapor cloud igniting. You won't typically get an explosion (something blowing up) in a refinery fire, though it does happen.

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