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Eurozone nations are stuck in a 'doom loop’

Eurozone nations are stuck in a 'doom loop’

The euro was a very bad idea yet fiscal union is far worse and will fail, but not before it spreads bitterness across Europe.

 
 

“Pretty much everyone borrowed and spent beyond their means and that’s now catching up with us,” continued the former Cabinet Minister. “And it’s the inter-twining of the sovereign debt and banking crises that makes any eurozone resolution extremely difficult.”

On this point, Lord Mandelson is correct. Years of extreme lending and reckless trading by Western banks brought serious sector weakness. The disgracefully cosy relationship between our political and financial classes and the even more disgraceful use of banking blackmail, has meant, in Lord Mandelson’s words, that massive banks losses “have, in one way or another, landed on sovereign balance sheets”.

Such is the reality that plagues the eurozone, with toxic bank liabilities raising deep concerns about sovereign insolvency and the resulting sky-high bond yields destroying commercial sentiment and throttling growth, making dodgy banks weaker still. This bank-sovereign-bank “doom loop” has brought Western Europe back to the brink of recession, with related systemic fears casting a very dark shadow over the entire global economy.

If only Angela Merkel would agree a big bail-out, we’re told, everything will be fine. The German Chancellor retorts that the only way Berlin could possibly agree to back-stop debts of more profligate eurozone members would be if Germany has more control over the spending of other governments....

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/liamhalligan/9351267/Eurozone...

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US to fall off 'fiscal cliff', warns Joseph Stiglitz

US to fall off 'fiscal cliff', warns Joseph Stiglitz

The US economy is likely to fall over a "fiscal cliff" at the start of next year because Washington will be too divided to stop it, Joseph Stiglitz, one of the world’s leading economists, has warned

US to fall off 'fiscal cliff', warns Joseph Stiglitz
Economics Joseph Stiglitz fears tax increases and spending cuts in January risk plunging the US back into recession. Photo: Justin Thomas
 

“There are so many political battles ahead that the likelihood we avoid all of these elements that will then avoid the fiscal cliff is very problematic,” Mr Stiglitz told The Sunday Telegraph. “It’s a real danger.”

The warning comes as concerns grow that the US will embark on a fiscal squeeze that economists estimate will be between 3.5pc and 4pc of the country’s gross domestic product. By contrast, the International Monetary Fund has said that Britain’s fiscal contraction amounted to 1.7pc of GDP last year and a further 1.6pc is due this year.

“It’s unambiguously the case that these measures will slow down growth,” said Mr Stiglitz. “If there is European turmoil, there is a significant probability of going into a recession.”

In his new book, The Price of Inequality, Mr Stiglitz argues that growing gaps in wealth and income in the US pose a rising threat to the country’s economy and democracy.

“I am very worried,” Mr Stiglitz said. “It is something to which we are marching very rapidly.”

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financialcrisis/9351640/US-to-fall-of...

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CNN: "Turkey declares jet shoot-down a 'hostile' act."

NATO Member Turkey Says Syrian Jet Take Down Is A Hostile Act

China Turkey

And so the escalation-cum-provocation-cum false flag is complete. There was a time when shooting down a foreign jet over one's territory was considered self-defense. But not when the one doing the defending is perpetual media bogeyman Syria, which "unnamed sources say" kills hundreds, nay thousands of its own people daily, usually in round, sound bitey numbers. Of course, the other side to the story is irrelevant: the Western-led media is never known to fabricate stories that suit the status quo's power and military industrial complex interests. All that is relevant is for the west, aka NATO, aka Hillary Clinton to get an angle to push for provocation. She just got it. As we suspected on Friday, there was much more than met the eye with the Syrian take down of a Turkey F-4 jet. Remember what we said on Friday: "The only question remains whether Syria's act was offensive or defensive. Naturally, its version is one of self-defense. Turkey obviously will claim it was in its right to be wherever the plane may be, and will say this was an act of provocation. Then NATO, read Hillary Clinton, will promptly step in, and make this a case in which Turkey was in its right and that Syria committed an act of aggression. From there, things will just escalate, and can potentially deteriorate to a far more troubling scale, because as we reminded earlier, Syria has recently become a major symbol for NATO vs the Russia-China axis." 

And sure enough, just out from CNN: "Turkey declares jet shoot-down a 'hostile' act."

http://www.zerohedge.com/

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US Army becoming a increasingly popular sight in US cities...

Guest Post: Military Rolls Tanks Onto St. Louis Streets...But Why?

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Military Rolls Tanks Onto St. Louis Streets...But Why?

tankstlouis3.jpg

I have to say that this event, which is being labeled a "training exercise", makes very little sense to me. U.S. Army troops all the way from Maryland running open exercises in armored personnel carriers on the busy streets of St. Louis? I know Maryland is a small state, but is there really not enough room at Ft. Detrick to accommodate a tank column and some troops? Are there not entire fake neighborhood and town complexes built with taxpayer dollars on military bases across the country meant to facilitate a realistic urban environment for troops to train in? And why travel hundreds of miles to Missouri? At the very least, this is a massive waste of funds.

On the other hand, such an action on the part of the Department of Defense makes perfect sense if the goal is to acclimate citizens to the idea of seeing tanks and armed military acting in a policing capacity. Just check out the two random idiots the local news affiliate picked to interview in St. Louis on the subject. Both state that they think the exercise is a "great idea", because having the military on the streets would help to "reduce crime":

http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2012/06/us-military-to-run-urban-exercises-in-north-st-louis-residents-hope-it-will-cut-down-on-crime/

I suspect that the news affiliate did not go out of its way to get any counter-opinions, even though they admitted to being contacted by those voicing concerns over martial law.

Even so, it's sad and simultaneously terrifying that there are plenty of mindless dupes out there who do not understand the dangers of the Army crossing the Rubicon and acting in a civil law enforcement capacity....

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/guest-post-military-rolls-tanks-st-louis-s...

(IS7: Several months back I said the increased presence would happen within 3-5 years at an alarming  rate and then become a 'normal'  thing  just like we see military in other countries on street corners or outside of major population centers. It's starting to happen today more frequently in the U.S. from what I've been reading even before this ZH article.  

It's hard to think in these terms but consider this simple fact and absorb it...the US is getting ready to go to battle in Syria against Russian forces and equipment while a massive and joint Russian/Chinese/Iranian war game plays out in Syria soon. Sounds like preparation and mobilization of equipment and digging in on their side to me. The US  has been mobilizing our military 'just in case' a real war or incident breaks out over here due to hostilities over there. Let your mind grasp what the sightings and mobilization is all about over here and what they're getting ready for.

Real war, possibly here. I realize that sounds very unlikely or easy to dismiss.

It is very possible and shouldn't be dismissed. The US military isn't dismissing the possibility, are they?  They're mobilizing.)

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Indigo(Star Child)7..

...and Turkey is NATO, Hillary just Ran a Batch(see Urban Dictionary). No surprise here...so tired of these wars, we are broke,and starving yet our Drone Program is fully funded. Sorry friends, nothing personal, just an exhale..

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Islamist Mohammed Mursi Elected Egyptian President

Islamist Mohammed Mursi Elected Egyptian President

The Muslim Brotherhood’s Mohamed Mursi was elected Egypt’s first Islamist civilian president, capping an acrimonious race that divided a nation whose economy is reeling and where the military has curbed his authority.

Mursi, 60, defeated Ahmed Shafik, who served as Hosni Mubarak’s last premier, election commission head Farouk Sultan said in a televised press conference. Mursi won 13.2 million votes or 51.7 percent, beating Shafik who garnered 12.3 million votes or almost 48.3 percent, Sultan said.

The announcement drew an uproar of cheers from tens of thousands gathered in Cairo’s Tahrir Square where supporters of the Brotherhood had been rallying for the past week against the ruling military council.

“The Brotherhood will use the office of the presidency to confront” the military council, Shadi Hamid, director of research at the Brookings Doha Center, said by phone of a Mursi victory before it was announced. “The Brotherhood feels it has a claim to lead Egypt’s government because it was elected to not only parliament but also the presidency.”

Before the announcement, the military council boosted its authority at the expense of the presidency after a court ordered the dissolution of the Islamist-dominated parliament. Decrees granted the military legislative powers and the ability to play a direct role in shaping a new constitution. The military defended its moves as being in the interests of national security and said that it plans to hand over power by the end of June.......

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-24/islamist-mohammed-mursi-elected...

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Egypt-Brokered Cease-Fire With Israel Declared by Hamas

Egypt-Brokered Cease-Fire With Israel Declared by Hamas

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the military is ready to use “greater force” to halt rocket fire from the Gaza Strip, after Hamas declared a cease-fire following a week of violence in the south.

Three rockets fired from Gaza have struck Israel today according to an Israeli army spokeswoman who spoke anonymously in accordance with military regulation. There were also no reports of Israeli strikes on the seaside strip.

The truce, or calm, is intended to halt a round of violence that left one Israeli and as many as 15 Palestinians dead while at least 150 rockets were launched at Israel.

“Regarding the events in the south - our army has acted forcefully against those who seek to injure us, and if necessary will act with even greater force,” Netanyahu told the weekly Cabinet meeting in Jerusalem today, according to a text message sent from his office.

“A deal was brokered by Egypt, after talking with both sides, to restore calm starting tonight,” said Ayman Taha, a spokesman for the Islamic movement that rules Gaza, last night on Palestine TV. “Hamas will be watching the situation on the ground within the coming hours and also the seriousness of the Israeli enemy’s commitment to the calm.”

The Hamas-announced cease-fire, the second it has said it agreed to since the bloodshed began with an attack on the Israeli-Egyptian border on June 18, came amid a delay in the announcement of the winner of the presidential election in Egypt....

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-24/hamas-israel-truce-holds-overni...

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BIS:Central Banks Face Limits of Powers as Debt Persists

Central Banks Face Limits of Powers as Debt Persists, BIS Says

Central banks in developed nations are confronting the limits of their ability to aid economic recovery as government efforts to strengthen their finances fall short, the Bank for International Settlements said.

“Central banks are being cornered into prolonging monetary stimulus as governments drag their feet and adjustment is delayed,” the Basel, Switzerland-based BIS said in its annual report, published today. “Both conventionally and unconventionally accommodative monetary policies are palliatives and have their limits.”

While central banks’ actions were key to limiting damage from the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., interest rates are now “as low as they can go” and debt purchases have swollen central bank balance sheets, the BIS said. European Central Bank President Mario Draghi has indicated that the ECB is close to exhausting its tools after cutting its benchmark rate to a record low and flooding the banking system with cash.

“In the middle of all this we find the overburdened central banks, pushed to use what power they have to contain the damage,” Stephen Cecchetti, BIS economic adviser, said on a conference call. “There are very clear limits to what central banks can do. It’s critical for the health of the global economy to break the vicious cycles and reduce the pressure on central banks.”....

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-24/central-banks-face-limits-of-po...

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Hong Kong-LME Deal Spurs Biggest Exchange Drop

Hong Kong-LME Deal Spurs Biggest Exchange Drop: Real M&A

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Ltd.’s pursuit of the London Metal Exchange is transforming the Asian bourse into the industry’s worst performer.

Hong Kong Exchanges’ $2.2 billion bid for the LME this month valued the world’s largest trading venue for industrial metals at 181 times earnings, making it the most expensive bourse acquisition exceeding $1 billion on record, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. With the Asian company’s stock tumbling since the first report of its interest in the LME, it has now retreated 33 percent in the past year, the biggest decline among the world’s 20 largest exchanges, the data show.

While the merger will give Hong Kong Exchanges control of about 80 percent of global trade in industrial-metal futures as it grapples with falling profits and a slump in initial public offerings, the New York Stock Exchange (NYX)’s head said the price would have been too rich for the biggest U.S. bourse operator. An increase in trading by Chinese companies on the LME is vital to justify the deal, making the takeover’s success dependent on China’s regulators who have so far resisted granting the LME access to the mainland to protect its rival in Shanghai, according to Core Pacific-Yamaichi International (H.K.) Ltd.

“In the short-term, this acquisition will be a huge burden,” Michiya Tomita, a Hong Kong-based fund manager at Mitsubishi UFJ Asset Management Co., which oversees $65 billion, said in a phone interview. “The valuation they’re buying LME for is expensive. This investment could pay off eventually if they are able to boost China’s trading volumes on LME, but that’s not easy to achieve given current regulatory restrictions.”  (IS7: Therein lies the solution. They'll change the regulation.)

Benchmark Prices

Hong Kong Exchanges, formed a decade ago through the combination of the city’s equity and derivatives markets, has focused on stocks, options and futures on equity indexes and interest ratesThe 135-year-old LME, which reported record volume of $15.4 trillion last year, sets global benchmark prices for metals including copper, aluminum and nickel, of which China consumes more than any other nation....

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-24/hong-kong-lme-deal-spurs-bigges...

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***BIS backs pan-European banking system***

June 24, 2012, 2:32 p.m. EDT

BIS backs pan-European banking system

By Greg Robb, MarketWatch

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — The Bank for International Settlements, a global forum for central banks, on Sunday backed moves to create a pan-European banking system.

The BIS said the creation of one regulator, one supervisor and one deposit-insurer would help ease the European debt crisis.

“The conclusion is hard to escape that a pan-European financial market and a pan-European central bank require a pan-European banking system. Banks in Europe must become European banks,” the BIS, a global forum for central banks, said in its annual report published Sunday.

“If adopted, these measures will break the adverse feedback between the banks and the sovereign and other destructive links that are making the crisis so severe,” the report concluded.

There are concerns that fiscal authorities in countries like Spain can no longer support their banks or their economies.

In its review of the global economy, the BIS complained that central banks ”are being cornered” into prolonging monetary stimulus because governments are dragging their feet and delaying adjustments.

The BIS expressed some discomfort that rates are staying so low for so long.

“With nominal interest rates staying as low as they can go and central bank balance sheets continuing to expand, risks are surely building up,” the report concluded.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/bis-backs-pan-european-banking-system-2...

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India Readies Measures to Counter Rupee Slide

India Readies Measures to Counter Rupee Slide Spurring Inflation

India Readies to Counter Rupee Slide

 Prashanth Vishwanathan/Bloomberg

India’s currency is Asia’s worst performer of the past year, having tumbled 21 percent versus the dollar 

  

India plans to unveil measures today to support the rupee as its slump to a record low against the dollar threatens to intensify price pressures and boost the cost to companies of repaying foreign debt.

The government and central bank will make the announcement, Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee told reporters in Kolkata on June 24. The ruling Congress party’s nominee for president, Mukherjee told the Press Trust of India he will resign from his current post tomorrow. A group of federal and state legislators elects the next president July 19.

India’s currency is Asia’s worst performer of the past year, having tumbled 21 percent versus the dollar, and its decline has contributed to an inflation rate that the central bank deemed last week too high to allow an interest-rate cut. Chakravarthy Rangarajan, the prime minister’s top economic adviser, said last month one option to shore up the rupee was a deposit program to lure funds from citizens based overseas.

“The situation is quite worrisome,” Dharmakirti Joshi, Mumbai-based chief economist at Crisil Ltd., the local unit ofStandard & Poor’s, said in an interview. “You have to increase the supply of dollars. A lot of foreign-currency convertible bonds and other payments are due and it does create stress on those who have borrowed abroad.”

Indian companies face a record $5.3 billion of maturing foreign-currency debt this year, data compiled by Bloomberg show. At the sovereign level, Fitch Ratings cut its outlook for India to negative on June 18, joining S&P in signaling the country is at risk of losing its investment-grade status......

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-23/india-plans-measures-to-curb-ru...

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Betting on China: Qatar Seeks $5 Billion China QFII Quota

Qatar Seeks $5 Billion China QFII Quota, Securities Journal Says

Qatar’s sovereign wealth fund is applying for a license and a $5 billion quota to invest in China under the Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor program, the China Securities Journal said on its website yesterday, citing Energy and Industry Minister Mohammed Bin Saleh al-Sada.

Qatar will allocate the funds mainly for the domestic A-share equity market and initial public offerings, with some investment in bonds, al-Sada said in Beijing, according to a separate report by the Xinhua News Agency yesterday. The decision was made based on Qatar’s confidence in China’s long-term growth potential, Xinhua cited the minister as saying.

Central banks, sovereign wealth funds and financial institutions are looking to China to diversify their assets as Europe’s debt crisis roils financial markets. China said this month it will lower the entry barrier for foreigners seeking to invest in the nation’s capital markets under the QFII program after more than doubling the total quota to $80 billion in April.

Introducing more long-term overseas funds will help improve confidence, promote stable growth in China’s capital markets and provide “robust” returns to domestic investors, the China Securities Regulatory Commission said in May.

The commission said on June 20 it plans to cut the minimum requirement for assets under management to $500 million from $5 billion for companies seeking a QFII license. It will also allow them to invest in the country’s interbank bond market....

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-24/qatar-seeks-5-billion-china-qfi...

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Soros Pushes EU to Start Joint Debt Fund or Risk Summit Fiasco

Soros Pushes EU to Start Joint Debt Fund or Risk Summit Fiasco

Billionaire investor George Soroscalled on Europe to start a fund to buy Italian and Spanish bonds, warning that a failure by leaders meeting this week to produce drastic measures could spell the demise of the currency.

Policy makers should create a European Fiscal Authority to purchase sovereign debt in return for Italy and Spain implementing achievable budget cuts, Soros said in an interview in London yesterday. Funding for the purchases would come from the sale of European Treasuries, which would have low yields because they would be backed by each euro member, he said.

France and Italy are urging Germany to take decisive action to end the 2 ½-year-old debt crisis after Spain’s 10-year bond yields jumped to more than 7 percent last week, a level that economists consider unsustainable. Leaders are at an impasse as they prepare to meet in Brussels on June 28. That risks disaster because Europe is running out of time to show investors it will do what’s necessary to save the euro, Soros said.

“There is a disagreement on the fiscal side,” Soros, 81, said in an interview with Bloomberg Television’s Francine Lacqua at his home in London. “Unless that is resolved in the next three days, then I am afraid the summit could turn out to be a fiasco. That could actually be fatal.”

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-24/soros-pushes-eu-to-start-joint-...

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BRICs Biggest Currency Depreciation Since 1998 to Worsen

BRICs Biggest Currency Depreciation Since 1998 to Worsen

The largest emerging markets, whose economies grew more than four-fold in the past decade, are making losers out of everyone from central bankers to Procter & Gamble Co. (PG) as their currencies post the biggest declines since at least 1998.

For the first time in 13 years, the real, ruble and rupee are weakening the most among developing-nation currencies, while the yuan has depreciated more than in any other period since its 1994 devaluation. P&G, the world’s largest consumer-goods maker, cut its profit forecast for the second time in two months last week in part because of currency losses. Brazil’s Fibria Celulose SA (FIBR3), the biggest pulp producer, asked banks to loosen restrictions on dollar loans after the real hit a three-year low.

Investors are fleeing the four biggest emerging markets, known as the BRICs, after Brazil’s consumer default rate rose to the highest level since 2009, prices for Russian oil exports fell to an 18-month low, India’s budget deficit widened and Chinese home prices slumped. Investors are bracing for more losses as economic growth slows.

“I am quite bearish,” Stephen Jen, a managing partner at hedge fund SLJ Macro Partners LLP and a former economist at the International Monetary Fund, said in a phone interview from London. “When the global economy and capital flow slow down, it’s going to expose a lot of problems in these countries and make people stop and ask questions. A run on the currency could be particularly ugly.”

Ruble’s Retreat

Currencies from Brazil, Russia and India will probably decline at least 15 percent by year-end, said Jen, the former head of global currency research at Morgan Stanley.

Brazil’s real lost 12 percent so far this quarter, the biggest drop among the 31 most-actively traded currencies tracked by Bloomberg. The 11 percent depreciation in the ruble and the rupee was twice the retreat in the euro. China’s yuan, which was kept unchanged during the global financial crisis in 2008 and 2009, fell 1 percent since March after the government widened the amount the currency is allowed to fluctuate each day....

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-24/brics-biggest-currency-deprecia...

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Merkel Backs Debt Sharing within German States

Merkel Backs Debt Sharing in Germany Amid Closer EU Push

Chancellor Angela Merkel’s government agreed to underwrite the debt of Germany’s states, backing a form of burden-sharing that she is resisting at the euro-area level to combat the financial crisis.

The federal government, facing pressure from the 16 states over tighter European Union budget rules, dropped its opposition to a form of shared debt sales to help the states escape a deficit squeeze and meet constitutional limits. The two layers of government plan their first joint debt sale in 2013, the government press office said in an e-mailed statement yesterday.

Merkel’s coalition backed down in a deal the opposition, which controls the upper house of parliament, said will help secure ratification of the EU’s fiscal pact in Germany. With EU leaders due to discuss further integration at a summit on June 28-29, the accord in Germany doesn’t mean the bloc’s dominant economy is ready to assume liability for the entire euro zone, Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said.

Joint debt sales in the 17-nation currency region “don’t make sense” as long as budgets are set by national governments, Schaeuble told ZDF television late yesterday. “As long as the national states make the decisions, they have to be liable. If you can spend money on my tab, you won’t be thrifty.”

Bonds Rise

German bonds rose today, outperforming their euro-area peers, as investors sought safety before this week’s EU summit, the 19th aimed at crisis resolution. Ten-year bond yields slid seven basis points to 1.51 percent as of 11:41 a.m. in Berlin. The euro dropped 0.7 percent to $1.2488....

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-24/merkel-backs-debt-sharing-in-ge...

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Merkel in pickle after ‘Germany bond’ concession

June 25, 2012, 9:55 a.m. EDT

Merkel in pickle after ‘Germany bond’ concession

Move seen negative for bunds, could undercut anti-euro-bond stance

By William L. Watts, MarketWatch

FRANKFURT (MarketWatch) — Chancellor Angela Merkel’s decision to back a debt-sharing plan by Germany’s federal and state governments could come back to haunt her as she attempts to hold a hard line against calls for joint issuance of euro-zone debt when she meets with fellow leaders of the currency bloc in a summit later this week, economists said.

Merkel over the weekend reversed her opposition to allowing state governments to share borrowing costs with the federal government through the issuance of so-called Germany bonds. The chancellor agreed to the demand by Germany’s Social Democrats and other opposition parties in order to secure parliamentary approval of the European Union fiscal pact.

But some observers said the reversal could make it more difficult for Merkel to maintain a hard line against calls for a similar debt-sharing exercise at the euro level.

“She will be accused of a ‘Deutschland Erster’ (Germany First) approach” after signaling a rejection of joint euro-zone debt as recently as Saturday, when she insisted “liabilities and controls” must go together, said Stephen Pope, managing director of Spotlight Ideas in London, in emailed comments.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/merkel-in-pickle-after-germany-bond-con...

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A Syrian general and 38 other soldiers defected...

ANKARA | Mon Jun 25, 2012 10:12am EDT

ANKARA (Reuters) - A Syrian general and 38 other soldiers defected to Turkey overnight, state television said on Monday, days after Syria shot down a Turkish warplane, escalating tensions between the two neighbors.

Turkey has summoned a NATO meeting for Tuesday to agree a response to the downing of its military reconnaissance jet in what it says was an attack without warning carried out over international airspace.

Turkey's cabinet was to meet on Monday to discuss Friday's attack, which lent a more menacing international dimension to the 16-month-old uprising against President Bashar al-Assad. Britain said it could press for more serious action at the United Nations Security Council.

European Union foreign ministers meeting in Luxembourg called for a calm response from Turkey, saying they would increase pressure on Assad. There seemed little appetite, however, for any military retaliation against Syria

"Military intervention in Syria is out of the question," said Dutch foreign minister Uri Rosenthal. "It is not a matter of consideration for the Dutch government. That is also at stake in the ... context of NATO."

The new defections from Assad's armed forces could encourage those awaiting a disintegration of Assad's army. But there has been little indication of any broader trend to desertion in the senior ranks of the armed forces, bound often to Assad by their Alawite background.

A Syrian general, two colonels, two majors, a lieutenant and their families - altogether 199 people - crossed the border into Turkey overnight, CNN Turk said. Thirteen Syrian generals are now in Turkey which is giving logistical support to the Free Syrian Army, though Ankara denies arming the rebels....

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/06/25/us-syria-crisis-idUSBRE85D0IS20120625

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CME price shift decision headed for court battle

June 25, 2012, 5:41 p.m. EDT

CME price shift decision headed for court battle

By Gino Vicci of Medill News Service

CHICAGO (MarketWatch) — The Chicago Board of Trade is a place where hand signals are thrown wildly, orders are shouted, papers and coffee cups are scattered across the floor — and where daily settlement prices are established for the agricultural futures markets.

This may change soon, as the CME Group Inc. /quotes/zigman/107063/quotes/nls/cme CME -1.88% , the operator of the world’s largest futures market, moved Monday to implement a plan to change its price discovery mechanism.

A group of traders, though, has sued CME Group in Illinois state court in Chicago. The complaint filed Friday aims to block a shift to a “blended settlement,” which includes both open-outcry and electronic trading information in settling prices. Currently agricultural futures are settled via open outcry, even though most of the volume is electronic.

Heather Koch, director of ProtectAG Futures Inc., an organization that protests the change, said Monday that the case will be moved to federal court, with a hearing set for Tuesday morning.

Traders claim the new system would decrease trades and result in job losses at the CBOT. The number of floor traders would likely drop if the CBOT moves to a process that downgrades the role of floor trades in determining settlement price.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/cme-price-shift-decision-headed-for-cou...

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Moody’s Downgrades 28 Spanish Banks on Sovereign Risk
 

Moody’s Downgrades 28 Spanish Banks on Sovereign Risk

 
Banco were among 28 Spanish banks downgraded by Moody’s Investors Service, which cited the country’s sovereign debt and rising losses on real estate loans. Santander SA (SAN) and Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA (BBVA)

The lenders’ long-term debt and deposit ratings were cut by one to four levels, Moody’s said today in a statement. The New York-based rating company also downgraded 16 Spanish banks on May 17.

Moody’s issued a three-step reduction in Spain’s credit grade on June 13, citing the nation’s increased debt burden, weakening economy and limited access to capital markets. Spain was lowered to Baa3, the lowest investment-grade rating, from A3 and remains on review for a further cut after announcing plans to borrow 100 billion euros ($125 billion) from European Union rescue funds to recapitalize banks.

The latest downgrade of banks reflects the government’s reduced creditworthiness, which lessens its ability to support the lenders, as well as Moody’s expectation that losses linked to commercial real estate will keep rising.

Moody’s downgraded 15 global banks last week, saying theircapital-markets businesses suffered from volatility and the potential for “outsized losses,” according to a statement. The ratings firm also cited the companies’ exposure to Europe. The ratings on Bank of America Corp. and Citigroup Inc. (C) were cut to two levels above junk.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-25/moody-s-downgrades-28-spanish-banks-on-sovereign-risk.html

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Private Wealth Fuels Record Singapore-Dollar Bond Sales

Singapore-dollar bond sales rose to a half-year record as private-wealth clients in the city-state, which has the world’s highest density of millionaires, sought refuge in the local currency.

Genting Singapore Plc (GENS), Asia’s second-biggest casino operator by market value, and Keppel Corp. lead a 44 percent increase in issuance this year to S$15.7 billion ($12.3 billion), compared with the second half of 2011, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Private-banking investors bought as much as 35 percent of Singapore-dollar notes this year, about twice as much as two years ago, according to Deutsche Bank AG. (DBK)

Top-rated Singapore’s appeal among private-banking clients has risen as the local currency gained 12 percent since 2009 andEurope’s financial turmoil deepened with Greece’s new government struggling to meet targets for cutting its deficit. Singapore-dollar bond sales will at least match last year’s issuance, barring any major market disruptions, according to DBS Group Holdings Ltd. (DBS), the biggest underwriter since 2009.

“Private banks have been the primary driver of Singapore dollar bond issuance,” Debashish Duttagupta, Asia-Pacific head of investments at Citigroup Inc. (C)’s wealth management business, said in an interview from Singapore yesterday. “The Singapore dollar looks like a safe harbor in these stormy conditions.”

Citigroup ranked second among wealth managers for high net worth individuals in the Asia-Pacific region, according to a Private Bank International survey in 2011.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-25/private-wealth-fuels-record-sin...

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