Net-Net Nothing
Does anyone else find this slightly amusing?
All of the hand-wringing and angst brought about by the FOMC meeting turned out to be wasted energy. Oh, there are several, interesting nuggets you need to consider but let's look at the gold price action first.
Heading into the Fedlines at 12:30 EDT, we were all wondering what was going to happen to gold (and silver) prices. Would they rise on some kind of QE announcement? Would they fall as they have nearly every time The Bernank has spoken in 2012? The answer to both is: Yes! And that's the funny part.
You've now read countless entries of mine where I've lamented the utter lack of participation in the metals pits, post MFing Global. The only entities left trading are Cartel monkeys and HFT algos. Because of this, we are stuck in an environment where The Cartel can very efficiently "game" the mindless spec computers. We saw this done again today.
Again the pattern for 2012 has been: When The Bernank talks, the metals get sold and the specs (both long and short) get fleeced. Usually, this plays out over a few days. Today, this played out over a few hours. It went like this:
- When the Fedlines hit the wires, gold was $1606. Over the next 6 or 7 minutes, it was hit for $15 and fell to $1591. Spec longs were crushed as their sell stops were hit.
- For the next 90 minutes, gold rallied $30 from $1591 to $1621. Spec shorts were crushed as their buy stops were hit, especially in one, joyous 4-minute interval were gold jumped over $15.
- Then The Bernank took the podium and began speaking. What happened? Well, of course gold was hit for $15 and fell from $1621 back to $1606 over the next 45 minutes.
And thus the title of today's blog entry. The net result is NOTHING. The only ones making any money continue to be The Cartel. Spec long = LOSER. Spec short = LOSER. The non-event of the Fed non-announcement is simply used as cover for The Gold Cartel to game price back and forth, thereby lining their pockets (and increasing their bonus pools) at the expense of the dumb money.

Continuing with the theme of "Net-Net Nothing", today's fun-and-games had ZERO IMPACT on the face of the charts. Gold and silver continue to be rangebound. Silver is particularly quiet and this will likely continue. The lack of volatility is bleeding premium from the July options and you almost have to expect this to continue through option expiry next week. Absent some unforeseen headlines, gold will likely remain below for a few more days, as well.


Back to The Fed. What did they actually say today? It wasn't as bland as LIESman would have you believe.
- They confirmed that they will maintain "extraordinarily low interest rates (ZIRP) through 2014". Why doesn't anyone ever talk about this? That's two and a half years from now! A minimum of 2.5 more years of negative, real interest rates! And how can they claim that, suddenly, beginning in 2015, things will get better and rates will go up? That's preposterous! No one can tell you what will happen next week, let alone 3 years from now but everyone just brushes aside the "ZIRP to 2015" stuff like it's nothing.
- They also lowered their 2012 GDP forecast (which they just made in April) from 2.65% to 2.15%. That's a 20% drop in expectations over the past 60 days. What changed?
- They also stated that they expect the BLSBS numbers to stay right here at 8.1 to 8.2%. This is also a change for the worse since April. Again, what has changed?
Additionally, the next FOMC meeting is 7/31-8/1 so we get to go through all of this again in just 6 short weeks. Hooray! But seriously, that meeting will be interesting. Besides having the June BLSBS data to consider, they'll also have the July data as it will be due to be made public on 8/3. Again, the next FOMC meeting will be the one to watch. Until then...well, we'll see.
Just a couple of other things for you. Two of our pals have released new articles over the past 24 hours. Jim Quinn hits us with a two-parter:
http://www.theburningplatform.com/?p=35850 & http://www.theburningplatform.com/?p=36196
and Mike Krieger uncovered this very interesting video from one of our Esteemed Leader's former allies. Pretty interesting stuff. ( http://libertyblitzkrieg.com/2012/06/19/harvard-law-professor-demolishes-obama/) Here's the actual video. Dude blasts Obama pretty hard and he's a Democrat! Pretty funny.
That's it for now. I hope you survived the day. I hope you're ready for tomorrow as who knows what it holds.
TF
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Comments
Home Depot
I was in Home Depot earlier this week... checking on the pricing of foam insulation. There was a couple nearby, they looked like they were in their early 30's, and the husband's cell phone rang. He answered it and his responses to the caller went something like this... "Hello... yes, yes... good morning... yes, I am... that's great news... yes sir... thank you very, very much, this means a great deal to me... I'll be there... goodbye". The husband hang up the phone, announced to his wife that he got the job. He started crying, she gave him a hug, and then she started crying. She told him that he would make a great manager. He thanked Jesus. I had to get out there before I started crying.
I've been through my own rough times in this stinking economy... 2008 and 2009 were pretty bleak (I'm a builder) but the last couple of years things have gotten better for me. This encounter really was a refresher in how those right around me are still suffering.
Thank You Blythe and Monkeys
Went out and grabbed some more physical today. It was a shame one of the saddle bags of the motorcycle was missing when I arrived home. Just happened to be the one with the Silver in it. DARN IT.
Anything below 50 an Oz. is a pure gift,
Anything below 30 an Oz. is Christmas.
Please enjoy this wonderful Holiday Season
W
foggyroad
Too funny.
imo
Considering today's events and gold is above $1600, we are setting up to rock and roll. Just thinking, the markets really have no where to go but down. Why? Where is the growth going to come from? No one is spending or making money. Small companies are not growing or hiring. Big companies are not giving even half decent raises. We all know
the 99 weeks Obama paid vacationers are running out
of time. Europe, as you know, is in big trouble
So, markets will slow but surely drop. More printing to come.
And yes, I love low interest rate until end of 2014.
This gives us a little bit more time to buy at lower prices. As I see it, the debt is still going up. Soon to be $15.8 trillion.j
Good afternoon to all of
Good afternoon to all of you. I have not posted in quite sometime yet continue to learn from every ones posts and the charts are becoming easier to understand. Thank you to all..:)
I must say while I read the posts about when it would be a good time to buy for our stacks, I see quite a bit of negative replies. Well today I got my alert from Apmex for the next ATB 5 ouncer and came back to this site to see what folks were saying and to look at the charts. As usual, I see them going all over the place after todays Bernank blabber, and then I saw silver drop below 28. After sitting on this dust for sometime, I could not help myself and went ahead and ordered the Chaco coin and added three rolls of generic rounds as the premiums are the lowest. I am in for the long haul and am actually enjoying the sales that pop up from time to time. Of course I want silver to take a moonshot like everyone else, but.....Not just yet, I still want more.
Keep stacking before that happens. Just make sure your boat can handle the weight unlike my last one. I did take a GPS reading when it went down so I can maybe find a couple of the coins in the future...:)
GG
Twogun
I have dry washed in Nevada, Arizona, and California. Ran a highbanker in Alaska and panned in Washinton state. Never found a lot, but always some. There is no better feeling than when the color starts to show in the bottom of your pan. Funny things is, some metal detecting friends of mine came by my farm in SE Ohio to detect some old home sites on my farm. We got to talking about panning techniques and I gave them a panning lesson in a creek on the farm. That is where I was surprised, swished the black sand around and there were a couple gold specks. Gonna have to get a sluice box and try some more. Maybe start an Ohio gold rush. Once gold takes off, a lot of areas that weren't profitable to work will be.
lately, the worst thing
that happened to america was the QUICK real estate run up.
that happened to silver was the QUICK april '11 runup.
that happened to gold was the QUICK july-august '11 runup.
there has been technical damage [paper price still determines phyz price].
we have almost worked thru it.....balancing......
yeah, its just the machinations of the hedge funds, but thats the game......'til it isn't[coming]
US debt does drive gold price ivars but here we are at 110$ above last years price while they skyrocketed the debt ceiling.
yes, we've been to 1926$ REAL FAST but it COST US.
almost thru paying for it.
you go for it BOATGOPHER GUY.
been good for 'stackin.
we will look at this as 'the good old days'
The dollar and deleveraging
This is what I believe. While deleveraging of US households and corporations continues, America will not be able to escape either recession or more debt. Ben Bernanke didn't hit the print button today, but sooner or later he will have to. But here's the kicker...
...it won't work. Solvency, not liquidity, is the problem. Monetary policy is powerless to cure this ill. Only fiscal policy can do that. And that won't happen.
Bernanke must have worked this out by now, but he has only this one tool left in his tool box. And he's trapped in the politician's syllogism. 'Something must be done. This is something. Therefore I must do this.'
So if you detected a certain lack of conviction in the chairman's remarks today, listen closely outside his bedroom window tonight. That sound you hear is an academic sobbing gently into his pillow.
Gold being played no question.
Had no clue whatever until becoming a Turdite and since adding real time charts there is do doubt in my mind at all. Tis a real trip some days watching the price action. Amazing.
http://pennystockjournal.blogspot.ca/p/gold.html
Small Minds = Small Thoughts
Not one post about the subject matter of Robert Mangabeira Unger's video, kindly included in Turds lead post. I am disgusted. Instead we have all the above palaver about short term occurrences that will have short term effects.
This video is VERY important. Listen to what he says. I mean REALLY listen! He speaks the unadulterated truth.
It may take a few times listening to it for the intellect challenged, before the light bulb turns on.
All this sophomoric palaver, while intentionally ignoring the most pressing of issues facing the nation, tends to misdirect constructive energy, channelling it into useless pursuits.
If you have your stack - good! If not BTFD now! Then sit back and ignore this short term BS and begin concentrating on what really matters, or very soon, we will wake up one morning and not have a country, house, window, or pot of piss to throw it through!
Watch and listen to the video. Really listen. He speaks extremely well.
Eric Janszen Scenario "macro fatigue"
One of my friends follows Eric, has done very well. He sold silver in April 2011.
I haven't paid to follow (I bought his book and couldn't stomach his suggested "public-private partnership"), but I must admit he's good.
He was : From 2001 to Aug. 2010, 10% cash, 15% gold, 75% 10-year Treasury bonds.
Snip:
CI: The main memes in the financial media since we last talked are synchronized global slowdown, falling stock markets, gold bear market then not, euro breakup, China weakness and stimulus, and QE3 anticipation. And "fiscal cliff."
EJ: Anything to fill the time between the last shoe to drop and the next, I suppose. The anticipation is driving everyone nutty. A friend told me the other day he’s suffering from “macro fatigue.” I don’t think he’s alone.
IMO worth reading:
http://www.itulip.com/forums/showthread.php/showthread.php?p=231428#post...
Metals Net Nothing, Financial Message Instead
As Turd notes, the FOMC today did nothing for metals since there was no material policy change/response. Europe's financial difficulties were barely mentioned and extending Twist through the end of the year will do nothing for them. But European problems still exist and are about to get worse, fast.
Some highlights from around the continent for the last 2 weeks:
Spain goes from our banks do not need a bailout to nationalizing Bankia and declaring the banking system needs 100 billion euro's for openers. The request is made to the ECB to buy Spanish bonds so Spain can bail out their banks (or make a down payment on the process). Germany says the ECB can't do that as it is against the rules. Germany does float the idea of issuing bonds with the national gold backing those bonds. Nobody salutes that idea so far.
Yesterday LCH (London Clearing House) ups the margin on Spanish bond positions. Today they up the margin on Italian bond positions. And speaking of Italy, Italian bond bond yields are at the point where if this interest rate is maintained for a week then Italy is declared insolvent. But the ECB cannot buy Italian bonds either. The 3 and 4 letter acronym's that Europe was going to use to firewall things (which could buy government bonds) are not set up yet and are not funded.
Monday and Tuesday the G20 met and ate. Speeches were made, none notable or worth reporting about. No solutions and certainly no funding to Europe or the IMF were made. Basically the top brass of the world punted (Obama did play golf, for variety I suppose).
And today, like Sherlock Holmes' dog that didn't bark, Bernanke says basically nothing about imminent European meltdown. I guess those hundreds of trillions in derivatives in various flavors won't be affected by Spain, Italy, Greece, Slovenia, Cyprus, Ireland, Portugal and soon France being unable to raise any money in the capital markets to roll debt and pay the current bills. The only current response has been the ECB keeping European banks supplied with enough banknotes so depositors have something to withdraw. Evidently the ECB can fund bank runs.
Worldwide, everybody is pointing at someone else to go first and pony up funds. Everybody so far is, in rotation, checking to the next guy to go first. Santa, some of you will recall, said either they print this month or things go belly up. TPTP don't appear to be printing to meet the need. Maybe there is a Plan C in the wings in reserve. Based on the non-action in the metals it must be a slam dunk doozy of a fix. I, for one, don't see it so I'll continue to watch and eat my popcorn.
Say what you will...
... but God Bless Amerika, that silver yo-yo today was the stuff of dreams for me. I keep mostly fizzle-stuff, but I always have some toy paper to play with in the market. I can stand to lose it. I'm prepared for that eventuallity. I just keep it for the amusement value. And today I got nicely paid on the down and then a short time later after a reset, scalped just a smidge of change on the up too. For the first time EVER. I was doing the gopher-dance big-time.
I'm giving this whole roller-coaster two more days before I siphon-off the profits and put them into physical. I've already backed it waaaay down. Dumb luck? Or good guessing. Whichever, I'm glad to have it.
For those who got pounded today... my heart goes out to you. To those who profited... cash it out and put the fiat into physical before the music stops.
hey Outlookingin...
what do you think you're the only 1 with ears? i watched it, i heard it.......what do you want? a book report on it?
saying the "truth" in a video.........is a far cry implementing it. Most people here are awake......so ease off the back door insults....
Ruprecht argues w/ President on Course
You know what we need right now?
A video w/ the Wicked Witch!
~Doodle~da-doo~doodle~da-doo~doodle~da-doo....
The Wicked Witch can be bored to tears w/ the range, as are the rest of us. Then, she could start fantasizing about Olivia Wilde. Yeah, that'd be cool.
Ruprecht could get sent to the golf course where he trips over the President's 101st official golf ball.
The Patients are in charge of the asylum
http://theeveningchronicle.blogspot.com/2012/06/patients-are-in-charge-o...
When The Levee Breaks / Zepparella
I'm pretty sure you Zep purists will tolerate this one and even be impressed on some level.
Give it a minute.
probably just one or two more
probably just one or two more listens and i'll figure this unger guy out.
Robert Mangabeira observations
@OutLookingin A sober man, correct in most of his message ie. 'remove money from politics' ,this is the most important point imho. Drastic thinking re. reforming Banking system via Romney, who's five biggest campaign contributors, are top five banks. hmm..
Destroy to rebuild concept valid, education priority valid , but talk without a viable step by step solution, ie how to bring back rule of law, monetary economic sustainability, productivity, good abundant full time middle class jobs.
Eradication crony capitalism etc.
Well spoken concepts, but more concrete planning would have to be fleshed out for My ears to perk up.
JMHO.
A good start none the less
re: When The Levee Breaks / Zepparella
Is the drummer smuggling a yo-yo?
Thanks Indy
Enjoy those ladies! luv the Zep!
Latest from Uncle Ted Butler
You'll remember last week that Ted saw the light and finally realized that it was the PPT that was manipulating silver. I e-mailed him to ask: why won't they be able to continue to do so indefinitely?
He answered the question in today's mid-week update to subscribers. The answer is that physical demand (mostly investment demand) will eventually lift prices, as it has done basically since SLV started. The short-term games in the paper silver market will eventually be outweighed by the forces of demand outweighing supply. OK, Ted, I'm with you on that.
His other interesting point today is that the current short set-up is different from the past. Usually, JPM has been joined by other commercials on the short side. This time, however, it's only JPM. Other commercials are long, not short. So, it's not simply a case of the crooked commercial cartel vs. the specs. It's JPM vs. the specs and the other commercials. His point is that the longs aren't going to fold as easily as they usually do, so JPM might be in some trouble trying to buy back their shorts, thereby forcing prices higher. I like that.
RE: Zeppie
Qu'est que c'est "give it a minute"?
The Coricidin bottle on her finger was all it took.
Nice call on the Head East last night btw.
Check out these beauties from Ranting Andy's latest...
have you seen this ?
Illinois rep EXPLODES on the House floor!
I bought gold coin today at 1593
following Turd's advice that the price would be smacked down just before the 12:30 p.m. Fedlines announcement. I almost caught the lowest price and then I watched the price bounce back up as Turd predicted. So, although I did not make money, I saved a couple of hundred CAN$. Thanks Turd, I will pull the trigger again, the next time on 7/31-8/. Unless, of course something dire happens in the mean time.
unger vid
while i like his obozo bashing and he is correct there.
tax the wealthy to pay for a 'privileged class' of educators so everyone can be successful?....it penciled out for the teachers in 1971........if not they would have QUIT.
kids in school nowadays think its a big joke.......almost no one is serious about learning [i have taught high school].
i learned in an unairconditioned schoolroom out of a book in florida[u think it was hot?].......i had to.....my mom was waiting at the front door on report card day.
not happening now...its all about going to disney world......."i gotta get home to play vid games, man, i'm outta here"
a small fortune to go to college now...why?.......ITS NOT about EDUCATION or the kids, ITS A MONEY DEAL.
my buddy was paid 3 mil$[including everything] to fix ACs for the school board here for a total of 25 yrs.....retired at 42!!!!!!!!
thats 3 milllllll-lion dollars........we figure he would have made $800,000 in the private sector in the same time.
that is literally a FACT..............FACT..........FACT.
CAN YOU SAY GREECE!
welcome to absurdity and the death of common sense [and journalism]
Zeppelin~R&R/Black Dog live - HD
Modern technology and being able to clean up and enhance old film footage and audio is pretty incredible.
Turdle
Thanks for sharing that. Pretty interesting info. and cool that Ted took the time to answer that.
I also bought phyzz Gold -- at 1595
Thanks Turd, I was contemplating a purchase last night but held off until the morning beatdown. 3 ozs at $1595 before the day's yo-yo action.