TFMR Podcast #19 - Jim Willie
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Like many of you, I know what is coming. I can see all of the pieces of the puzzle but I don't quite have the knowledge and expertise needed to bring all of the pieces together into a clear picture. Jim Willie does.
In this podcast, Jim takes today's seemingly unrelated headlines of European sovereign debt, JPM hedging losses and paper gold price drops and ties them all together into a tidy little package that clearly shows where we are headed in the not-too-distant future.
I think it's safe to predict that you will greatly enjoy this podcast and rank it among the best we've had to date.
TF
Jim Willie

Jim Willie is an original. If you want to be official about it, you can call Jim a "statistical analyst" as Jim has a PhD in statistics from Carnegie Mellon. Since 2004, however, he's simply been known as "The Golden Jackass".
Through his website http://www.goldenjackass.com/ Jim has developed a subscription-based newsletter service which is second-to-none in its quality and its "outside-the-box" thinking. Jim's very affordable service, The Hat Trick Letter, can be found here: http://www.goldenjackass.com/subscribe.html
p.s. As you can tell by his bio picture, he has an extraordinarily large brain, which he uses to all of our benefit.
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Comments
GREAT POD CAST
Thanks Turd and Jim great pod cast spot on as usual, Jim does a hell of a job explaining the situation banks are in that anyone can understand.
S&P @ 1350
Trader Dan Norcini said that if the S&P closes the week below 1350 he expects it to fall next week.... as 1350 up to now has been defended by 'someone'.
I was watching the minute chart just now and [on my chart] it hit 1350.00 exactly right on the second.... :-!
Jim Willie - Making Sense of the Paper Ponzi
My guess:
There is a gentlemen's agreement between USA and China: China will not sell their bonds therefore they are allowed to drain the west from PMs at favored prices. Lets the ponzi work a little bit longer...
WOW
http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2012/5/11_Ri...
Podcast
Can not seem to open the podcast
Can I Groan?
Where are the buyers in gold/silver? Waiting for a better price I guess.
It would have been so nice today to see gold hold up better, say near $1590.. Note how many times it tried to cross, finally did, then smacked right back down.. they are just trading it..no holders and then there is the scumbags selling.
Silver did a much better I think in holding up.
Oh well.
hat contest
@ turd
you haven't run a hat contest in a while - what if you run one on what the 'JPM' fiasco total 'ooopsy' is going to turn into..
probably sure $2bn is probably the tip of the iceberg.
This week's CoT is FANTASTIC
WOW! Simply, WOW!
Remember, the CoT is:
GOLD
Massive and huge change, which we must assume has only continued to "improve" since Tuesday. The spec net long position was reduced by over 17,000 contracts. I can't ever remember seeing that type of change in a single week. The Cartel change was equally dramatic as the Cartel net short position dropped by 26,500 contracts and the net short ratio now stands amazingly at just 1.94:1 !!! Small spec net long had a change of over 8,400 contracts. In short, massive spec selling was met by equally massive Cartel buying.
SILVER
Equally compelling with a HUGE rise in both large and small spec shorts. The Evil Empire also adjusted their net short position by nearly 6,000 contracts, which has caused the EE short ratio to decline to just 1.39:1 WOWOWOW!!
AGAIN AND PLEASE LET ME STRESS, THIS DOES NOT MEAN THAT THE METALS WILL TURN ON MONDAY. REMEMBER, THIS IS DATA AS OF TUESDAY AND LOOK WHAT HAPPENED ON WED-FRI OF THIS WEEK. HOWEVER, THIS IS AN EXTREMELY BULLISH CoT. EXTREMELY BULLISH.
Be patient. Keep stacking. Much higher prices appear to be coming very soon.
I think there is a genuine misunderstanding here
Hopefully, this podcast helped clear it up a bit.
Massive, physical orders take place in London, based off of prices affected by the action on The Comex. YOU MUST UNDERSTAND THIS.
DO NOT be waiting for massive paper buy orders in NY. That's NOT the deal. The huge orders for physical go through London, not NY. The orders increase in size as price declines so, as paper price is driven lower by HFT selling, more and more gold exits the vaults in London and is moved to China etc.
The Cartel will soon be forced to make paper prices move higher (manipulating the shorts in the same way they've always manipulated the longs) or they risk total and rapid depletion of their physical gold reserves.
A good week
Nothing tragic happened, I remain invested in my 500 oz XAG USD at 30,05, looking forward to bottoming out soon. Also today, 78,6% fibo retracement from Dec - Mar uptrend was NOT broken, though an attempt was made. Let's see if GSR starts to flatten around 54,7-55 next week.
Also interestingly, USD is moving up in quite sure way, as expected-is this the moment when USDx moving up and silver moving up in USD will become a quasi permanent reality? It only depends on USD additional value as commodity compared to other currencies-commodity whose use is also to store value (=reserves- so far and for some time in the future),not only work as medium of exchange , but in no way with easing all around the globe USD can maintain its value in PMs. This remains to be seen in the next weeks and nearest months.
i am so confused right now
amazing interview, Turd!
but who, oh who is that Craig that Jim keeps talking about? Seems to be a nice and fun guy.
I hope everybody has a good
I hope everybody has a good weekend and is able to relax.
The last time gold had a weekly close below 1600 was roughly 5.5 months ago. Until the death cross (200 MA over the 50 MA) is reversed I'm not a buyer.
Silver probably trades lower from here as well.
Turd's posts about CoT and London purchasing are excellent. All of that will help resolve this downtrend, but it could take some time. Have faith and don't cry about lower prices. If what Turd says is true (and if the fundamentals are true), then one day eventually you will look at the metals and think "I can't afford to buy that right now".
So if you can afford to buy it now, just be happy that you can.
Spot On!
Great podcast TF and Spot On! (pun intended).
It's good to hear the voice behind the articles I read each week. Go JW!
As an aside for the suggested hat contest, put me down that JPM will be on the hook for no less than $50B.
I get that Turd...The fun paper gold and silver game is over
What a great ride Aug-Oct 2010 and Feb-Apr 2011 were...
But that's never gonna happen again! It has gone over the cliff over an uncertain deep dark chasm and my physical parachute is descending with me while I lose altitude waiting to see how and when it will open.
Figuring out how physical is going to be priced and valued and in what form that will come in requires a PhD in Statistics, History and Economics. How will value be expressed, traded, bought and sold? Rhetorical question...don't expect an answer.
Greetings Turd
Thanks to you and Jim Willie, great interview.
Before the Hat Trick letter, Jim was sounding the alarms on Silicon Investor about the dangers of CDS, MBS, etc. and the risks they posed to all of us. Opened my eyes and set me on the path to warn others. Those that listen have learned to question the status quo and are taking measures to protect themselves, becoming stackers and in turn warning others. It sounds corny but the tide is turning.
But, it takes folks like you and Jim Willie with the courage to step out in the open and offer up pieces of the puzzle. I, for one, admire that.
podcasts
can we get these shifted over to the youuuuuuuuuutube? For some reason the casts arent working here at work. I think websense is somehow seeing them as mp3 downloads wich are a no no
Great COT report Turd!
We should see a turn around very soon. Miners should start to really take off now.
Interesting to hear Harveys report tomorrow too. He said a raid was coming and it hit.
Is that a black swan circling over JP Morgue?
Looking to drop a load?
With a silver explosion?
Blood in the water?
This great fiat experiment will only come to an end when the sharks (banks) turn on their own and eat each other. Always circling for the next victim.
Nothing to see here, no
Nothing to see here, no no..........move along.........just another ship jumper........hehe........I can see the interview now...."Yeah, no, well, I came and worked here but nah after I made a squillion (wink wink, actually after that upcoming IPO) I thought no well it wasn't a right place for me. I mean I need sunshine and well....you know........Singapore is so nice this time of year"
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-05-11/facebook-co-founder-saverin-giv...
Keep stackin' the lack'n!
Guest Post: How Long Before Massive Government Debt Buildup Triggers Another Financial Shock?
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/guest-post-how-long-massive-government-deb...
I find myself...
... better off financially because I stopped listening to people like Jim Willie a long time ago. Out of curiosity I listened to the beginning of the interview where Willie says his "sources" have told him that the losses at JP Morgue are closer to $18 billion. Give me a break. That guy just makes it up as he goes.
Great Interview
Wow! That was informative! Thanks for the interview, Turd!
Happy Mothers Day!
To all you mothers ( not you bankers ..you're a different kind of mother ) have a great day on Sunday. You deserve it.
To you kids and fathers, daddys etc, remember your mother brought you into this world. Treat her nice. Maybe part with part of your stash...
We should also remember to thank The Mother of us all....Mother Nature.
RA
Not a distorted photo
1.) Jim Willie came in on the same ship as me. Hell of a nice guy.
2.) After today's metals action I think a quote from a famous person is in order :
"My Balls Itch!!!" ; Cheech Marin
Re: Front Cover
@adrock: RE: Time Magazine cover. One of the funniest things I have seen!!
Just about messed my pants laughing when I saw that - I had seen the "actual" Time cover that this was based on yesterday - your version is way - way better!
Jackass clearly states
That he got the $18B figure from Rob Kirby at Kirby Analytics. Rob is a pretty smart guy. Can you provide info as to why we should believe you and Jamie instead of Rob?
At any rate, I guess your beef is with Rob, not Jim.
Nixon in on Kennedy assassination????
So, I downloaded the Jim Willie podcast, listened to it while I walked, and almost fell over when he went off on the tangent about Nixon being in on the Kennedy assassination and how Jackie married Ari O. afterward so she could watch over John F. Kennedy as he lived out his final years in a vegetative state on a Greek Isle.
And, now, having returned from the walk, I find, incredibly, that no one so far has even seen fit to mention this excursion into the wild, blue yonder.
I see an earlier poster noted that Jim Willie seems to make it up on the move, citing unnamed "sources." I guess the Nixon shocker came from such an unnamed source, although that gent, or gal, must be getting up in years now considering that to have been at such a high level in the operation, they had to have been in their 30s or 40s in terms of years of age back in 1963.
A redeeming aspect was earing Jim Willie was somewhat nostalgic for me, reminding of the waning years of my grandmother's life, when she was given to proclaim that my mother had been an Indian (as in Native American) princess who once had ruled over our entire area. This was news to many, including my mother.
Bottom line, Jim Willie lacks a certain credibility with wild claims such as the Nixon link to the Kennedy assassination. Perhaps in the future he should take off his tin foil hat before going near an operating microwave. Maybe his "sources" should do the same.
Kenneth, what is the frequency?
Willie
certainly entertaining. Much of it is over my head. But much of it is conjecture. I enjoy reading Jim but timing is everything and none of the dire consequences he forecasts consistently have really come to pass. What was his remark about JFK? Did he mean to imply that he survived the assasination and then lived out his life as a vegetable on a Greek island. That inference alone disqualifies the Willies from the arena of sanity. People will believe what they want to believe when they listen to an interesting guy like this. These are huge paradigm shifts he is projecting. He is swinging for the fences. He always swings for the fences.
"someone I know" or "a friend on the inside has told me" does not the truth make. The dollar is the world reserve currency and as such it will be defended tooth and nail every step of the way. The conjecture on gold drainage from the largest criminal banks in the world is over-the-top and is a guess. He has no idea what is really happening and these banks covet the gold they have and want more of it.
He has been calling for the implosion in GLD and SLV derivatives for a very long time now.
Just finished Listening ..
Just finished listening to the podcast. Great Turdcast! Great interview! Thank-you Turd and Jim.
Big banks getting margin called - too bad for them. Too bad for GLD and especially for the GLD investors that JPM is likely digging in to the vault because they can. Too bad for us all.. that this corrupt system is driving the entire economy into the cabbage patch.
Someday .. someday, the real value of metals will be revealed. [Patient China (and the East as a whole) has this endgame in mind].
Stack while and as you are able. Unfortunately our uninformed friends and neighbors will only get the notion to do so after it is too late.