Compilation of Comments
For a weekend open thread and discussion, I though I'd give you a compilation of the comments I've added throughout the day to the previous thread. I do this for three reasons:
- There are some pretty good insights that would be missed otherwise by those who only read the main threads and not the comments that follow.
- I'm too lazy to type a new thread.
- I'm out of time and I need to go cut the grass. Not that the grass needs mowing per se. But I need the stress relief and the Friday afternoon beer always tastes that much better after working up a good sweat.
Remember, BoA recently repositioned $53T in CDS from their ML subsidiary to their BoA NA sub. In preparation for a default which they can pass along onto the American taxpayer??
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/gift-keeps-taking-bank-america-facing-62-billion-collateral-call
Re: The Dying Comex
This chart lays it out pretty well.

What is the bond market telling us?
Based on bond prices alone, overt QE does not look imminent. However, why the rally today? And why is the 30-yr not participating at the same rate as the 10-yr? Note that the spread has compressed to just 120 basis points. And who, for the love of pete, is willing to give money to Uncle Sam for 30 years at an annual yield of just over 3%?
Regardless, block out all the noise about WOPRs and OI and CoTs and the like and you're left with an investment climate of negative, real interest rates. Negative, real rates have always been and always will be one of, if not the, driving factor behind precious metal accumulation. More here:
http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/blog/3325/case-you-missed-it


Here's a great Rick Santelli video from this morning:
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000088399&play=1
Lousy CoT
GOLD
The rise of OI from the bottom near 395,000 was due to some new spec longs and some new bank longs absorbed by a 15,000 increase in The Cartel short position (net short addition of nearly 11,000). Looks like The Cartel is not ready to see gold rise anytime soon.
SILVER
The drop of OI was due to everybody exiting at once. Spec longs, EE longs, EE shorts all down and the EE net short ratio expanded to 1.56:1. Again, yuck.
After the good CoTs of the past few weeks, this one is s real downer. Looks like The Cartels are not expecting, nor are they going to allow, a significant move higher anytime soon.
On that note, have a happy weekend!
And, finally:
I've always thought that
I've always thought that Louise Yamada was the best technician on the planet. Heed her words:
I HOPE THAT EVERYONE HAS A SAFE AND RELAXING WEEKEND! TF
p.s. I've got Bodemeister in The Derby tomorrow. Yes, I realize that no horse that was unraced as a 2-year old has won The Derby since, like, 1887 or something. Who cares. I'm on him!
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Comments
Feds 99 year lease
Feds 99 years lease was amended to perpetual or until the congress votes to abolish the Federal Reserve, and we know how tall of an order that would be for those sh-t haids inside the beltway.
munger ~~ got two for you
╭∩╮(︶︿︶)╭∩╮
monthly gold
I'm not sure why I can't post images here, but I think the monthly gold chart, going back all the way to early 2001 (here: http://screwtapefiles.blogspot.com/2012/05/sunday-pre-game-562012.html ) is worth looking at. It shows how atypical the past several months have been. For the entirety of this trend upwards, there hadn't been more than 2 red months in a row. Even during the cataclysmic seeming action of mid-2008. Now we've begun the fourth red month. Still, the monthly drop has been very controlled. Also note that there have been two instances of 5 out of 8 months red. Both marked very important bottoms. Well, 5 of the last 8 months have been red. The 21-month MA at $1561 should hold any further drop, IMO.
@John Galt
You stated:
In my opinion it would also be good to stock up on soap, TP...
I was going to ask a question of the board but didn't want to go too off-topic or bogart the discussion. But since YOU brought it up....
How many roles of TP does the average TF reader have at any given time? I'm assuming if were all preparing for the end of the great keynesian experiment, we're prepping more than silver and gold. So I"ll share my TP # if you share yours:
Me=80
rolls, that is.
@ TexasStacker
My TP stack was a Texas sized stack - well over 500 rolls at one point.
My wife was frosted to lose all kinds of cupboard space. I've since relented on the buy side, and the stack is whittled down to about half that now.
But if I see a good TP sale I still chomp at the bit to BTFD.
TP...
The Great Panic of 1973, when Johnny Carson joked about a shortage of toilet paper and everyone took it seriously. Johnny was forced the next night to point out he was joking, but apparently, he had touched such a nerve that it took three weeks of 24 hr production for toilet paper stocks to return to normal in the United States. It is still firmly embedded in the national psyche.
http://www.tv.com/shows/the-tonight-show-starring-johnny-carson/ (drop down history)
http://www.thedailylegend.com/?p=47 (true or false? = True!)
Only in America!
500! the mind boggles!
500! the mind boggles!
500
There`s plenty of bark and pine cones around here, but I`ll ration my TP square by square before using those things to scrap my *ss.
Cartoon time
Did everyone see this story?
From ZH: Ron Paul could still win
Tonight, Tonight ~ Smashing Pumpkins
Has anyone noticed how bright the moon is tonight?
Just came in from outside and had my small telescope out. Wow, was that bright!
I also saw Venus partially eclipsed. I'm still not sure by what, but it was fairly low on the horizon.
TFMR-Turd Ferguson Meteor Report
On the hunt with California's 'meteor zombies'
One of the most important meteor strikes in a generation has brought treasure-hunters flocking to a small town in northern California for the second time in 150 years.
The great gold rush began in the Coloma Valley in 1848, and now a meteor rush is underway as stardust fragments sell for 20 times the price of gold.
The meteorite is thought to have been the size of a minivan as it hit the earth's atmosphere and broke up, scattering rare rocks across the California countryside.
It is a very rare type of meteor containing water and the building blocks of life, so collectors are paying as much as $1,000 (£600) a gram for prime specimens.
The locals have been searching fields, hillsides and even their own back gardens to cash in on the gift from above.
The BBC's Alastair Leithead joined the hunt for rare rocks in Coloma.
Rick Rule, Doug Casey etc.
I find it hard to believe that people as intelligent and observant as they are unaware of the manipulations that are taking place in the areas of their expertise (i.e. resource stocks, miners, precious metals). I think that they've figured that it would be bad for their businesses if they talked about it openly. The only other possible explanation is incompetence and neither of them strike me as such.
Journey from Earth to the Edge of the Cosmos
Narration starts around the 1:00 mark/Carl Sagan
Supermoon
@Indigo
Saturday's event is a "supermoon," the closest and therefore the biggest and brightest full moon of the year. The moon will come within about 221,802 miles (357,000 kilometers) from Earth. That's about 15,300 miles (24,600 kilometers) closer than average.
Grey Mare
Thanks for those stats. It was pretty friggin' bright! I don't have a lunar filter lens.
But I could easily see craters and the irregular outer edge that looks all bombarded and raised up.
This following video was uploaded 30 minutes ago and I'm the 1st viewer tonight. So if you missed the moon tonight here it is from moonrise as it gets darker.
'toons
Some dislike the tunes about which I am ambivalent but I really appreciate the 'toons!
Thanks so much for yours,Dr. J!
Clinkin, Clinkin....can you hear me now?!!?
Many Thanks, Guys!
Suggestion for Convention Location: Milliways
Penson
I used to have an account with them (i.e. they were the clearing agent). I got out last year based on the scary chart they had. I am praying for those that are still stuck there that it all works out for them and that they can recover their property as smoothly as possible.
The Moon is spectacular tonight
15% bigger and 30% brighter than avg. is what I read.
Got out to the country a bit. Always nice, but I noticed many fields that had always been planted had nothing planted or prepped for (that I could see). I don't know enough to think too much of it...maybe crop rotation...old farmers retiring...I'm confident that obamugabe didn't get them yet
... an EPA ban on growing edible substances?
...
Damn You Internet and Your Doom Prophecies! (unless there's really no food being planted anywhere
and the great culling is on, then thanks for the heads up and all. good lookin' out
).
nice preview
Thanks Indy. I'm in the west. Still light here - waiting for sunset...
SUPERMOON
This is easily the best Supermoon video from tonight. Definitely check this one out in HD if you can. It gets closer and closer until...
hope you had him each way Turd
Good run though,you got close there.
Hyperinflation in Zimbabwe:
Zimbabwe
In Zimbabwe you've come up with the most freakish, unfortunate and temporary example of gold being used to barter for consumables. There is no similar case in any other modern hyperinflation, like say Argentina, Mexico, Russia, Serbia, Hungary and so on.
Now I know you like to mock me and others who suggest precious metals are not going to return as currency, but perhaps you'll listen to Hayek - a man who knew a thing or two about money:
"I do believe that if today all the legal obstacles were removed… people would from their own experience be led to rush for the only thing they know and understand, and start using gold. But this very fact would after a while make it very doubtful whether gold was for the purpose of money really a good standard. It would turn out to be a very good investment, for the reason that because of the increased demand for gold the value of gold would go up; but that very fact would make it very unsuitable as money. You do not want to incur debts in terms of a unit which constantly goes up in value as it would in this case, so people would begin to look for another kind of money: if they were free to choose the money, in terms of which they kept their books, made their calculations, incurred debts or lent money, they would prefer a standard which remains stable in purchasing power."
I can just imagine the howls of protest: "Hayek is a paid shill!" Well, Freddy isn't trolling and the central bankers and international technocrats crafting our future monetary system understand his point well. Precious metals will not be returning as currency.
One thing worth noting is that the use of gold as currency inevitably leads to gold lending and credit expansion, which subsequently causes an undervaluation of physical gold. Gold as a savings asset alone is what will guarantee its unfathomably large monetary premium, sufficient to balance international trade.
Mugabenomics
I have a friend from Zimbawbwe, Rick. His parents own a store there, so his family been only at the periphery of the situation in farming. He told me that Mugabe gave large farms to his thugs that helped him take control of the country. These "farmers" sold anything of value and scraped the aluminum irrigation pipes in his area for cash. Next they reverted back to primitive farming methods. The de-landed "white" farmers were not resistant to the nationalization. They offered to help the newly nationalized farms to learn modern farming methods and stay productive, but their offers were turned down.
Larry White and Russ Roberts on Hayek and Money
Larry White of George Mason University talks with EconTalk host Russ Robertsabout Hayek's ideas on the business cycle and money. White lays out Hayek's view of business cycles and the role of monetary policy in creating a boom and bust cycle. The conversation also explores the historical context of Hayek's work on business cycle theory--the onset of the Great Depression and the intellectual battle with Keynes and his work. In the second half of the podcast, White turns to alternative ways to provide money, in particular, the possibility of private currency and free banking explored by Hayek late in his career. White then describes his own research on free banking and in particular, the more than a century-long experience Scotland had with free banking. The podcast concludes with the economics rap "Fear the Boom and Bust," recently created by John Papola and Russ Roberts. The song itself can be downloaded at EconStories.tv where viewers can also watch the video, read the lyrics, and find related resources on the web for Keynes and Hayek.
Larry White on Hayek and Money
partial list of 20th/21st century countries' hyperinflation:
"Below is a partial list of countries that suffered hyperinflation in the 20th and 21st centuries. It is important to note each country listed, suffered hyperinflation due to the destruction or failure of its own fiat currency. Throughout history fiat currencies have always failed, bringing down entire empires.
• Poland: 1921 - 1924 Hyperinflation peaked at 988,223%
• Austria: 1922 - Hyperinflation peaked at 1426%
• Germany: 1923 - Hyperinflation peaked at 325,000,000% in November
• Greece: 1944 - Hyperinflation peaked at 11,300%
• Taiwan: 1945 - 1952 Hyperinflation peaked at 2,420%
• Hungary: 1946 - Hyperinflation peaked at 1.3 X 10 (16th power) %
• China: 1949 - Hyperinflation peaked at 4,210%
• Israel: 1971 - 1985 Hyperinflation peaked at over 900%
• Chile: 1973 - Hyperinflation peaked at 600%
• Mexico: 1982 - 1993 Hyperinflation peaked at over 10,000%
• Bolivia: 1984 - 1985 Hyperinflation peaked at 20,000%
• Argentina: 1989 - Hyperinflation peaked at 5000%
• Brazil: 1990 - 1994 Hyperinflation peaked 30,377%
• Yugoslavia: Oct 1, 1993 through Jan 24, 1994 had cumulative inflation of 5X10 (15th power)%
• Bulgaria: 1996 - 311%
• Zimbabwe: Nov 14, 2008 - Hyperinflation peaked at 79,600,000,000%. For all 2008 Hyperinflation was at 89.7 Sextillion%
Frequently hyperinflation is caused due to a Central Bank's decision to increase its money supply to finance its nations over-extended government debt and spending. Consequently there is a decrease for the demand on the nation's money relative to the money supply that in severe cases will cause a total loss of confidence in the money such as a "run on the banks". This transforms into a swift increase in the rate of spending causing rapid increases in prices. The continuation of hyperinflation will remain until such a time that excessive money printing or increased bank credit stops the promotion of excessive money creation."
Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/6861879
Top 5 Hyperinflation Horrors
Top 5 Hyperinflation Horrors
During my seminar titled ‘Why Gold & Silver’, I talk about the massive money printing of the world that causes the rising cost of food and fuel and how it is affecting our lives. When I start talking about hyperinflationary possibilities, many people start questioning if it is possible for such scenario to happen. Now, if you think that what I’ve been sharing is extreme, I want you to keep in mind that hyperinflation has already happened in over 30 countries in the last 100 years alone. Here is the top 5 Hyperinflation Dooms Day that have occurred over the last one century.
5. China
Year: 1948 – 1949
Inflation Rate: Maximum Monthly Inflation Rate was 2,178% in May 1949.
What Happened?
China’s nationalist government took over the nation’s banks and switched from silver standard to fiat currency. It then used the currency to monetize its debt. China continued printing more and more money during the war with Japan.
How It Ended?
A revaluation saw 1 New Renminbi equal of 10,000 of the old currency....
http://www.jonathan-quek.com/?p=8743
not exactly fiat currency.....
they would prefer a standard which remains stable in purchasing power."