Odds. Ends. Out.
Just a few items as we wrap up Thursday and prepare for Friday.
First, I must chuckle and fart in the general direction of the Bullion Bank Cartel. As they arrived this morning, they thought they were going to put the hammer down today. The POSX was rallying and it was game on. As documented in the previous thread, from the opening bell The Cartel attacked...and attacked...and attacked. They soon ran into two, fundamental problems.
- The Pig suddenly reversed. (Do you see what I mean about Forex ripping you to shreds if you let it?)
- Over a thirty minute period, four stabs below 1710 were all met with plentiful buy orders.
Oh how The Forces of Darkness must be angry and confused this evening. This is not supposed to be how it works! Everything was set for a raid today. Gold would finally be taken back under 1705 and silver would be pushed below $33. OOOOoooops. As Coach Corso would say: "Not so fast, my friend". As quick as you can say "Sergey Aleynikov", the WOPRs flipped over to BUY from SELL and the metals charged back higher.


This all sets up a rather interesting day tomorrow. As you know, silver has painted red candles on the last two entries to the weekly charts and gold was red last week. Will they do so again this week? Silver needs to beat $33.58 tomorrow and gold's level is just $1723.
Adding to the intrigue is a big jump in OI yesterday. On a day where gold traded higher by about $10, total OI jumped by 7010 contracts, with 6,000 being added to the front-month April12. At 438,174, that's the highest total OI since 1/20/12, three days before the FOMC minutes that sparked gold over $60. Silver also saw it OI jump by almost 2000 contracts on a day where price rose just 6 cents. At 106,621, the total OI is now the highest it's been all year. Hmmmm. The silver picture is particularly interesting given that 1-month lease rates are again approaching -0.40% tonight. Caution is definitely still warranted.


Just for fun, here's a POSX chart that has lines drawn all over it like I'm some kind of actual, fancy-schmancy technician. It's probably useless but it's worth looking at, anyway.

Here are a few items I've picked up along the way today:
A solid chart summary from Trader Dan.
http://www.traderdannorcini.blogspot.com/2012/02/s-500-once-again-bumping-up-against.html
As if you needed more evidence that infinite QE is necessary and coming:
Gonzalo has written a timely, new piece:
http://gonzalolira.blogspot.com/2012/02/deflationary-undertow-before.html
You absolutely MUST READ this:
http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/greece-not-lehman-20-ill-show-its-much-much-worse
This is pretty solid from Denver Dave:
http://truthingold.blogspot.com/2012/02/economy-thats-gone-off-cliff.html
And this is certainly interesting, too:
http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/291218/ron-paul-s-delegate-strategy-katrina-trinko?pg=1
That's it. Have a great overnight! TF
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Comments
1st
First!
Holy balls, I can join the club!
Edit* I used to be one of those people who always thought people who posted "first" were immature, annoying, etc. But for some reason, when I saw the opportunity to be that person, I couldn't resist the urge. Now I understand, turdites... it feels like I'm on top of the wooooorrrrrrrlllllddddd!
Ok I'm done now
-_D
Missed it by this much!t
....
Really First?
Back to lurking duties.
Bix Weir out with an interesting note
Guess who they are grooming
Guess who they are grooming for the world bank!( geithner is listed too)The next World Bank president: Bill Clinton?
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/richard-adams-blog/2012/feb/15/world-ban...
I give up...
Even the laws of nature are "not so" randomly rewarding the 1%
Same person wins the lottery....... again! WTF is wrong with reality!
http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/sideshow/cnn-producer-third-person-win-georgia-lottery-second-173440037.html
2012 Gold
2012 Gold and Silver predictions compiled by RealMoneyTracker:
I just want to openly admit
I just want to openly admit that I might have a man-crush on the Turd. I can't remember ever reading anything financial related with a big Cheshire grin on my face. Yet, here I am, smiling as wide as I can.
Love the Pig chart with "lines drawn all over it".
Turd seems highly optimistic.
Turd seems highly optimistic. He shouldn't be. The market is controlled. It begins and ends where THEY want it, and it will continue to be that way until the industrial users realize there is no silver (or until the whistle is blown and someone actually listens).
Think what you want, though. So long as you stack the phyzz.
In the general direction of...
... the Bullion Bank Cartel.
Thanks for the new thread and links.
Or until mining->minting an oz worldwide average cost exceeds...
...the paper price! At which point its purely a commodity that would cease production as its no longer cost efficient!
I would love to actually have somebody calculate the average worldwide mining->minting cost for all the PM's
Iran False Flag?
Lookey here: http://www.newsmax.com/Headline/iran-alqaida-planning-attack/2012/02/16/id/429684?s=al&promo_code=E31A-1
I am not buying that there will be a terrorist attack as noted. I am, though, pointing out the increasing frequency of the news articles that themselves are announcing all sorts of bad Iranian intentions.
I HATE to be the chicken little, but, caution is warranted to at least pay attention to the headlines. One need not believe what is written; one need only pay attention to the headline and question WHY the headline appears.
In my line of work, proof of a fact may be direct, or indirect. Sometimes, the ABSENCE of facts proves point.
Where are any headlines from ANY source, pointing out that Iran is suffering from the US sanctions, and wants desperately to avoid a conflict with Israel or USA? Hmmm . . .
By the way Turd, sorry to hijack your thread
Nice chart work, though. Thanks!
What were their predictions and average for each of the last 5..
...years?
See if we can find Nostradamus from the group, or if a group Nostradamus was close to reality?
Ask yourself 2 simple questions
1. Do the Rothschilds/Owners of the Fed/ECB etc.... want Obama for 4 more years?
2. Does a false flag event hurt or hinder answer to number 1
THINGS ARE FAR WORSE BEHIND THE SCENES...
Hello everyone. It has been over 10 days since I wrote a post here or anywhere on the internet. I have had my nose and brain stuck in research. Let me tell you, what I have found AIN'T PRETTY. My wife told me several years ago, I should get a hobby. I did... it was researching and now writing. It is a very cheap hobby. My father builds and flies those expensive Radio controlled model airplanes. Some of my other family members do other expensive hobbies, whereas I just waste it away on the internet.... only pennies a day.
Anyhow, the world is going to get a LIQUID ENERGY SUPPLY ENEMA of its life here shortly. Very few realize that actual AVAILABLE NET EXPORTS of oil (minus China & India), have already declined from their peak of roughly 38 mbd (million barrels a day) in 2005 to only 35 mbd in 2010. Available Net Exports are forecasted to decline to a staggering 16-18 mbd by 2020. This is about half.
Mining analysts still forecast higher and higher global output of metals of all kinds for the next decade. Here we can see that BRAIN DAMAGE is everywhere, not just in the Financial-Paper industry.
SILVER EAGLE SALES FALL COMPARED TO 2011
So far this year, the US Mint has sold 6.9 million silver eagles. In the first two months of 2011 the US Mint sold 9.6 million silver eagles. I do realize, that there will be more sales in Feb, but lets look at the numbers:
2011: First two months = 9.6 million silver eagles
2012: First 6 weeks = 6.9 million silver eagles
DIFFERENCE Of -28%
Again, we should have another 750,000-1,000,000 silver eagles for the rest of the month (maybe less). But even though this looks bad, GOLD EAGLE SALES are even worse:
2011: First two months = 226,000 gold eagle oz
2012: First 6 weeks = 142,000 gold eagle oz
DIFFERENCE of -37%
So we can see that its ALL PRECIOUS METALS sales that are down. A great deal of investors are DUMB as a BOX OF ROCKS. There should be record volume of sales in both of these metals as the situation in the USA and World continues to disintegrate. If the country and world stumbles along this next year, we could actually see a decline on Gold and Silver Eagle sales due to the INEPTNESS of investors.
I believe sales of gold and silver eagles will only go exponential right at the end the system. And of course, this will be when it is TOO LATE. Precious Metal Analysts have no clue just how bad the situation will become in the liquids fuel market in the next several years. My fear is that a good percentage of JUNIOR MINING COMPANIES may become worthless due to the fact that both the supply of diesel (that runs the industry) and price will become prohibited for these mines to be commercial.
My gut tells me that if a METAL MINE is not commercial by 2015-2017, most will not become mines, but rather their low grade ore will stay firmly underground. I hope I am wrong about this.
HAPPY TRADING....
Position Limits?
I thought the position limits didn't matter?
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/guest-post-jp-morgan-wins-cftc-position-limits-do-not-apply-them
Am I missing something?
I hate to ask folks but I
I hate to ask folks but I need really good vibes and prayers for tomorrow. Have a job interview. Thank you so much in advance!
@ CA Lawyer
I have read that Iran is experiencing hyper-inflation because of US policies. Do you contend that this is a lie?
Good luck Doc
Wishing you luck and any good vibes/prayers I can send your way.
Silver Monkey
I have read that as well, only more like an anecdote, not as a full news story. Also, the context of what I recall reading was that monetary sanctions was causing currency issues but this only was a precursor to pointing out that Iran's leaders did not have the interests of their people in the forefront.
In short, it reinforced the Iran's-Leader-Is-Crazy theme, rather than pointing out any facts from ANY source showing that Iran's citizens want peace just like we do.
That is all I am saying. I am not taking a position. I am just analyzing what information is being presented, and drawing conclusions by asking "Why did the article present that information, and not other information?"
@Silver Monkey Not sure but I
@Silver Monkey Not sure but I can tell you the US might have hyperinflation due to its own policies, so you never know!
GSE Addendum
At risk of beating a dead horse here but I want to make an addendum to the chart I posted earlier. As you can see Silver has definitely broken the green downtrend line vs gold just
as it has doneI hope it will soon do in the silver vs dollar chart. What's not to like?In case you missed it the original post follows the chart...
Here is a chart of the GSR, flipped so we can see silver action properly expressed in terms of gold. Some features: first we have a significant low in silver vs gold in 2008. In terms of Fibonacci retrace levels we are are right at the overhead resistance level of 38.2%. We have just recovered from a full 50% retrace of last springs high. We have 2 tests of the 50% level and have rebounded from there. Also notice that the 50 day moving average looks like it has turned a corner and is now headed up while the 200 day is moving down. If you look back in time to about August 2010 you can see that silvers huge up move from then to last spring took place after the 50 crossed the 200.
I am no expert at TA but I would say that it would be very bullish for silver vs gold if silver were to break the fibo retrace level of 38.2% and even better if we get the 50 crossing the 200 SMA. Also we might look for a test of the 50 day line before going higher.
So is it time to swap gold for silver? I just did a little bit of that but am waiting for a breakout to go deeper in on silver.
Please add your comments and analysis. I would like to know what you guys think! Also I wanted to note that last spring when Silver hit 30 vs gold I traded the other way.
EDIT: One more comment. It seems significant to me that the trend line has just crossed the 50% retrace level. That should provide strong support at that level, no?
California Conference
Hey Turd and All,
.
From ' The California Resource Investment Conference...
Keynote speaker David Morgan?
.
A lot of solid facts and interesting thoughts...bullish stuff.
.
I recommend all you experts to view as i would like to know your thoughts... video is not a waste of time or rubbish...
Silver investment of the century...
.
.
http://www.kitco.com/events/2012/cambridgehouse/california/keynotewinner.html
.
.
Can one of you fine Turdites please help me post the video properly so it looks more appealing to view... im too baked.
.
.
Fried(e)
[Done, as requested. Mod. Jeff.]
Wow
just finished watching the video and honestly, this guy will make you go out and buy a 100oz of Silver...
Some Highlights...
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In 52
5i5ty twoooo countries... the word for Money is Silver
In other words the word money (silver) is synonymous
.
.
.
Only in NORTH AMERICA have the hard money people been BRAINWASHED to think of silver as only industrial...
.
Fried(e)...good stuff
TheGoodDoctor
Never apologize for that- you are among friends here. May your path be illuminated, may doors open before you, and may you stride confidently through them to better things. All the very best, brother.
Interesting thoughts SRS. I
Interesting thoughts SRS. I have been wondering as to the run up in fuel prices especially. My job takes me overseas with little to no news/internet connectivity for months at a time. Therefore upon a return I am always more aware of the price shocks that everyone else experienced gradually. I was surprised to see gasoline at $3.40 a gallon (now $3.45) after being in the $3.20s for so long. I was thinking about how this may effect the election. It seems to me the administration is fully in control of managing the recovery facade in most areas, such as the unemployment numbers, extending unemployment benefits, payroll tax cuts, mortgage schemes, stock market pumping, and of course, free birth control for everyone! But gasoline prices, now those may be the Achilles heel for this flaming pile of V-shaped nonsense that is crammed down our throats through the media. How can they be controlled when war with Iran is already underway? Sanctions are an act of war, and if not convinced remember that the first thing Britain did after the skirmishes at Lexington and Concord were to close the port of Boston. Will voters tolerate $4 gasoline just because the president wants to install a Goldman-backed bank in Tehran?
It seems you have discovered some alarming trends in your research. As to research as a hobby, I applaud that direction over many other things you could be doing with your time. I have found this to be worthwhile as well. My education began the day I graduated and didn't have to worry about test scores and regurgitating the established theses of academia. I can probably learn more from the city library and youtube than I did in 22 years of federally-funded education. Just remember to get out once in a while, and my simple rule is any activity that wasn't mass-marketed to you is a good thing. Sometimes even a mass-marketed activity is fine too for your sanity, as long as you recognize the marketing beforehand and make a conscious decision to partake. This is the distinction of a well-rounded individual over a Real Housewives of Peoria drone.
Ron Paul: Gold Prices Could Hit $10,000 (Video)
Can't get the video to embed but here's the link
Presidential candidate and Congressman Ron Paul tells Alix Steel, of the Street, that a gold standard will become a reality when the current system fails and it’s in the process of failing.
http://blog.bmgbullion.com/preciousmetals/gold/ron-paul-gold-prices-could-hit-10000-video/
Silver analyst Ted Butler had his mid-week commentary
"Let me confess one of my greatest fears about a potential future bubble in silver. If a silver bubble does develop, by definition large numbers of uninformed investors will join in the fray, eager to capture sure profits. The concerns for risk will be cast aside, as they are in any bubble. Undoubtedly, many of my former bullish arguments for buying silver will be trotted out as current reasons for buying even as price and risk grow. I doubt very much that I will be pounding the table to buy in a silver bubble and instead will probably be way too early in suggesting its sale. Yet new uniformed buyers will mistakenly view my past pronouncements as reasons to buy after a bubble is formed. The thought that I will inadvertently be responsible for damage to the latecomers is troubling."
"Of course, the risk to latecomers only grows deep into the bubble, should it form. The risk of a silver bubble bursting now is remote, because it hasn’t formed yet. Yes, there is always the risk of short term sell-offs for reasons related to manipulative activities on the COMEX, but those sell-offs should be viewed as buying opportunities as has been the case for the life of the silver bull market to date. In terms of a bubble-like collapse in silver prices, that risk will not exist until a bubble first forms."
"In the meantime, since a bubble has not yet formed in silver, what are the possible effects on the price should a silver bubble form? Certainly, I have not been particularly surprised by the 8 to 10 fold increase in price over the past 5 to 10 years. If anything, the price performance to date in silver, given all the facts, has been somewhat muted. Leaving out a possible bubble forming, it would not surprise me to see eventual long term silver prices at $100 or even $200. That’s without a bubble. If a silver bubble does form, it is hard for me not to imagine some multiple of those prices."
Reader Scott Pluschau, a frequent contributor to this column, sent me this short note yesterday..."Since you mentioned TA and equities the other day, Wednesday was a key reversal day in the Nasdaq 100 on a surge in volume...if you have any interest." I did...and his blog from yesterday is well worth a look. The chart is a standout...and the link ishere.
Eric Sprott - When Money Dies - Casey Research
JPMorgan, HSBC Among Firms Accused
JPMorgan, HSBC Among Firms Accused by Informant Bank in Canada Libor Case
JPMorgan Chase & Co., Deutsche Bank AG and HSBC Holdings Plc are among at least seven firms accused by another bank of participating in a conspiracy to manipulate the price of derivatives worldwide for more than three years.
The unnamed bank, seeking immunity, told Canada’s Competition Bureau that traders and cash brokers conspired to influence the Yen London interbank offered rate from 2007 to 2010 to profit on interest-rate derivative positions linked to the benchmark. The bureau spelled out the probe in documents it filed with the Ontario Superior Court in May.
The documents, shown yesterday to Bloomberg News by court clerks, offer one of the most detailed accounts yet as watchdogs in Europe, Asia and the U.S. look into concerns that firms conspired to manipulate interest rates serving as benchmarks for trillions of dollars of financial products. Canada also is investigating Citigroup Inc., Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc, ICAP Plc and RP Martin Holdings Ltd., the court documents show.
The link is here.