Good News and Bad News

Another tremendous update last evening from Batchelor and Cohen.

There was good news out of Russia yesterday regarding their military presence in Syria but the situation there remains volatile after the bombing in Ankara last week. Additionally, the crisis in Ukraine continues to simmer. So, again, please be sure to stay on top of this New Cold War by listening to these weekly updates.

TF

 

8 Comments

LostMind's picture

First

Who to believe?!?!

According to "some" articles, Russia is pulling out because they are spread to thin. They jumped in to just turn the tide and "Buy" Assad more time...

This is Russia's only ME base of operations. They lose Syria, they lose the ME..

legacyelectric's picture

2ND

Second?

donnojackshit's picture

3rd

3rd!

I get the impression Putin is getting out so as to not be in the wrong place at the wrong time.

It would not take much to end in a conflagration with the Saudi's and Turkey when they have amassed so much war machinery in such close proximity.

So ironic that the bastion of a leader actually looking out for his nation is now in Russia.

cashonly's picture

dammit

not again

cashonly's picture

Iran caused 911 **overwhelming proof**

Only in the EMPIRE OF CHAOS could something like this take place:

US Government Blames 9/11 On Iran, Fines Iran $10.5 Billion; Iran Refuses To Pay

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-03-15/us-government-blames-911-iran-fines-iran-105-billion-iran-refuses-pay

here's the proof once again: 

"The actions of Iranian border authorities in refraining from stamping the passports of the Saudi hijackers vastly increased the likelihood of the operational success of the 9/11 plot.”

Owtovit's picture

@ dunno

The Russians have made it quite clear that nuke first strike is well on the table....

Putin: Hey Teyyip.....mine is bigger than yours.....make my day bitch!

Gollum: ......."yes Boss".... Gets coat and leaves the building......

Mr. Fix's picture

The good news, and the bad news...

The good news, is that the Rothchild banking cartel has completely failed to accomplish World War III.

The bad news is, they plan on igniting an American Civil War before November.

The destruction of United States is still very, very much on the agenda.

Prepare accordingly.

Nick Elway's picture

Joel Skousen chimes in on Russia/US/Syria

Copyright Joel Skousen. Partial quotations with attribution permitted. Cite source as Joel Skousen's World Affairs Brief (http://www.worldaffairsbrief.com).

WHY RUSSIA’S SUDDEN WITHDRAWAL FROM SYRIA?

The Russian intervention in Syria was the first and only major setback thus far in the globalist agenda to take down Iran and Syria—with the exception of the verbal misstep by John Kerry at a London press conference that gave Syria the opportunity to avoid a US led aerial assault by giving up its chemical weapons. The September intervention of Russia’s air power not only stopped the rebel thrust toward Damascus but it drove out many of the rebel forces in Aleppo and put recruitment and retention of rebel forces in total disarray. The Syrian Army, with reinforcements from Hezbollah and Iran, is now on the offensive in all areas of Western Syria. Russia also embarrassed the US by showing what limited air strikes could do to damage ISIS when a party was actually trying to destroy its oil tanker revenue supply line, instead of just faking opposition. Now, just as suddenly as they came, the Russian aircraft departed this week, as Putin claimed that Russia’s goals have been achieved. As I will analyze this week, that’s only partially true. Putin’s real reasons may never be revealed but many suspect financial problems.

Putin’s main goal was to impede the globalist agenda of taking out Syria. I think Syria is the first step in the war against Iran—in part to save the Israelis who will lead the attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities be overwhelmed by the retaliation from both Iran and Syria. Russia knows quite well that the US still intends to attack Iran, and that the nuclear agreement with Iran is a trap that can justify intervention once Syria is out of the way.

Because of the Russian intervention, that globalist plan is on hold—still pending, but in temporary abeyance. Will the Russian departure mean the globalists can proceed? Not necessarily. They were pleasantly surprised by the sudden pullout, but without knowing why, they aren’t celebrating yet.

As the NY Times pointed out, The announcement on Monday surprised people on all sides of the conflict. State Department officials, Syrian anti-government activists, Mr. Assad’s supporters and Syrian opposition negotiators all reacted with disbelief, not sure whether to lament, celebrate or laugh.

[snip]

So, here are the various possible reasons for the Russian withdrawal:

1. Russia gains diplomatic points: Putin may be confident enough now in Assad’s military stability that he can afford to step out and take the diplomatic high ground. This move solidifies Moscow’s influence at the negotiating table.

I even suspect that Russia knew they were going to pull out most of their air support over a month ago, and started pushing for peace talks as a way of making sure the pullout would seem logical, as well as to bolster Russia’s clout at the talks after the pullout happened.

Russia was never going to get favorable coverage in the Western media without the pullout. US propaganda, even though false, was giving Russia a bad name—claiming Putin was responsible for civilian deaths, the increased flow of refugees, and thwarting the peace process. All of those claims have now been blunted, and suddenly Russia becomes the main facilitator of peace, as foreign minister Lavrov says,

“[O]ur Aerospace Forces operation helped create conditions for the political process... We have consistently advocated establishing an intra-Syrian dialogue in accordance with the decisions made in 2012. Our suggestions were met with a lack of will on the part of all our partners working on this process. But since the start of the operations by our Aerospace Forces, the situation began to change.”

In reality, the western globalists have always used the phony peace process as a means of stopping Russian air strikes, but the beating the rebel forces suffered raised the call for a cease-fire to a crescendo on the part of their Western sponsors. The cease-fire never involved ISIS or al Nusra, but it has been holding more or less as far as the Syrian rebels are concerned, mostly because they need time to regroup and rearm.

No real peace is going to come to Syria as long as the globalists want Syria removed as an ally of Iran and a threat to Israel, when or if Israel finally follows through with its globalist mandate to attack Iran (still in the future).

2) To pressure Assad to Negotiate: This is controversial and one that I find doubtful. I can confirm that Assad has, in the past, resisted the Kremlin’s call to release terrorist prisoners. Assad correctly objected saying that a release would only reinforce the rebel leadership. But Moscow has learned to play the globalist game of giving in to terror at times for diplomatic gains. In any case, Moscow doesn’t like client states telling them “no” and relations were strained.

But whether or not Russia is trying to actually undermine Assad’s position as president, I don’t think has been proven. In my opinion, the mild mannered, western educated Assad is never going to be replaced by anyone except someone much worse—especially if he comes from the US sponsored rebel ranks. The NY Times makes the case for Russia undermining Assad:

The Russian decision could signal a new confidence in Mr. Assad’s stability or an effort to pressure him to negotiate with his political adversaries — or both. There have been growing signs of differences between Russia and the Syrian government over the Geneva talks, which Moscow has pressed hard for, along with Washington. And for Mr. Assad, the prospect of Russia’s leaving him to fend for himself is sure to focus his mind on following its lead — advice that Russian officials have publicly offered him in recent days.

“I seriously doubt Moscow is breaking with Assad,” said Andrew J. Tabler, a scholar on Syria at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. Rather, he said, the Russian announcement appeared to be “putting the military burden back on Assad so as to soften up his negotiating position.”

Moscow has recently evinced a measure of frustration. Three times in the past two weeks, Mr. Assad and his advisers have made public statements noticeably out of sync with Russia’s declared goal of substantive talks — most recently on Saturday, when Foreign Minister Walid al-Moallem of Syria declared that Mr. Assad’s rule was a “red line” and that there would be no discussion of presidential elections.

Even the Washington Post chimed in:

Russia’s pullout will put significant pressure on Assad to work out a power-sharing agreement with the opposition, many analysts said, amid signs that the Syrian leader was being less accommodating to Putin than the Kremlin may have wished.

3) Financial problems: This, I believe, is the key issue. Russia has deep economic problems and its main source of revenue (oil) is down 60%. In saying this, I reject the notion that this was becoming an Afghanistan-style quagmire that neocons had longed for. Although it was costing Russia an estimated $3M a day to fight the war, their losses in personnel were minimal and the intervention was popular at home.

But with a major rearmament push going on, Putin can ill afford the loss of $3M a day, not to mention the depletion of his munitions supply. On the positive side, this campaign gave his air crews the real combat experience that even war games can’t fully simulate. Combat experience is invaluable in Russia’s long-term preparations for war with the West.

4) Keep Russian Military Tactics under cover: One of Putin’s major reasons for not intervening in Syria before was the importance of denying US military experts real time experience eavesdropping on Russian military operations. That’s one of the reasons why the Russians didn’t initially put in any of their air defense systems. As I said at the time, I think the major reason the US induced Turkey to shoot down a Russia fighter-bomber was to force Russia to bring out its S-400 system so the US could analyze its capabilities and radar signatures.

Even though Russia has allowed much of its capability to be revealed, it is possible that Russia wants to limit that exposure in the future. It has not revealed its electronic jamming capabilities and I think Russia wants to keep it that way.

I think the summary by the NY Times was well said, “It can be argued that Mr. Putin has little to lose: Russia can easily resume strikes from its base at will, and it can keep supporting the Syrian military and Mr. Assad’s other allies on the ground — Iranian-backed militias from Hezbollah, Iraq and elsewhere — with Russian weapons while floating cash to the Syrian government.”

In the aftermath of this intervention, Russia has clearly reasserted itself as a major global power as well as a major player in the Middle East. His pilot’s were welcomed as heroes back home where morale has improved after the struggles in Ukraine. Putin also made clear that he isn’t about to abandon Syria, in large part because it hosts Russia’s only naval base in the Mediterranean area.

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