What if we are wrong?

In the spirit of considering both sides of a question, why not take a thought trip and explore a future where all of our relatives and friends who have rolled their eyes at us turn out to be right? What if we have been deluded all along…

  • that Keynesian fiat is a superior form of economics to commodity backed currencies
  • that gold’s only value is for jewelry and an industry
  • that a large war jump starts the economies of the world
  • that Obama does not lie—ever, nor is he wrong

Who am I kidding? I gotta take another angle on this…

What if TPTB actually win and manage to somehow switch the world over to the SDR as a trade currency, that precious metals are prohibited for private ownership, that the militarized police and invasive citizen-spying clamp down on black markets (except for drugs of course) and force everyone to conform and stay in the sheep pen.

Now, I am convined that it only through the power of propaganda tactics that they could pull this off. But they have the most powerful media networks ever created and are adeptly managing to keep the conformist citizenry distracted with celebrities, mini-series’ on TV, movies, video games, alcohol, porn and consumerism. Meanwhile, personal debt levels have risen, forcing young people to work two jobs. They come home so exhausted; they just want to distract themselves until the alarm goes off again.

So far, so good. Only a small minority in the West hold our views. And at some point, the internet will be tightly controlled, just as the TV and cable media are now. Dissenters will not be heard except for some newsletter they write, print at home, and secretly mail out to their few subscribers—like it was two decades ago.

What if they somehow pull of this one-world government, getting China and the BRICs nations to sign on by letting them lead it, forcing the west back into 3rd world status along with everyone else. They avoid WW3 by recognizing that fiat is failing and gold-backed assets MUST become the foundation for the economies. Metals are confiscated, but worse, the black markets are forced out of business by overzealous military police who make that their main task. And then the mysterious blue-bloods castrate the neo-cons, disempower our congress and set up their cherished dream.

But for most, life in the US and Europe just goes on. We do not see the shifts in our daily lives except that we are poorer. I never get to hold a SDR note in my hand. I just see pictures. People in my town will increasingly move into old trailer homes and live on cheap GMO foods. At some point, the large beautiful homes are converted into to three and fourplex apartment buildings—just like the Victorian mansions are in downtown areas of the old Midwest cities today. And the Big reset will have occurred right under everyone’s nose, but few will be the wiser.

If that is our future, will you be happy with the place your preparations have taken you? Enough food to get through smaller economic crises? A paid off home? A home business that can meet basic needs. Gardening, fruit and nut trees, livestock, chickens? Naturopathic or herbal health care? Solar power or some other home generated source for electricity. Hey! How about no power at all, just like our great-grandparents. (My grandmother and uncle are pictured at right in about 1927--she was tough!) A bit of distance or other form of security from untrustworthy neighbors. Life on a small farm? A stack of metals cleverly hidden that you find increasingly difficult to use. You are wealthy, but have to dodge the law to use it.

I feel bad for those who prepped radically in 2008, with a bug-out property, hoards of food and lead, then lost it all as bankruptcy, foreclosure and tax liens overtook them. There were dozens of homes for sale in remote areas near my town with solar systems, cisterns, wells, and other handy features. I feel bad for those who cashed out retirement plans and bought 1900 gold and have since become discouraged. (I am in that camp with a 403b converted at $1700). But for either group, only the timing has been wrong, not the action, and that only from the perspective of the short term. Ten years from now, we may be saying, “I am sure glad I cashed out and bought gold. Things looked bad for a few years, but then … Oh boy!”

Well, a self-sufficient life founded on the preparations we are making now sounds a lot better than a debt-slave life of minimum wage jobs, Obamacare, taxes and sharing a small apartment with another family just to make ends meet. For most sheep on the current path, that is as good as it will get.

There seem to be several ways things can go:

  • Sudden collapse and chaos
  • Slow collapse
  • War until there is little left to fight over
  • A bumpy transition to an IMF run world economy
  • A smooth transition…
  • A Ron Paul style revolution … One can hope…

How long can the current system continue—a few years perhaps? Maybe only a few months. Who knows? But I am doing my pitiful best to get a home paid off (building a small cabin on a lot where I have good soil) and learning to be as self-sufficient as possible. And whatever happens, even the unthinkable where this current system keeps pulling tricks out of the bag, I will be satisfied with the kind of life I am transitioning into.

Woe unto those who trust in paper and trust in the kind-hearted banks who will surely forgive their home and student loans. They will be wiped out financially, pushed out of their home, or have to rent it back, and have no choices but what those in power hand to them.

I prefer choices. The risks are too great to continue life as usual.

And whatever happens, I have a sneaking suspicion that there will be at least a short window as markets go into upheaval where we can unload hefty portions of our stacks to pay off homes, buy productive land, or become wealthy enough to expatriate elsewhere and settle in. But even after that, I suspect liberty as we know it will be curtailed worldwide. But then again, I have been a debt-slave all my life with little liberty. But I am no longer ignorant and I hope to pass on that economic literacy to my kids and boost them into a life of light and liberty, even if this present system somehow remains in control. If we are wrong, it was not about what’s been going on, only in how it would turn out.

If we are wrong, I will have no regrets. I will have choices. But the evidence says that we are right and we will need those choices.



Turd Ferguson's picture




JY896's picture

Furst after Turd

Happy Sunday to all.

rnrjimmy's picture


Well done Turd.

Dr. P. Metals's picture


Now that was funny!

Ned Braden's picture

Another Well-Written

And timely post, Dr. J.

Must admit I've been asking myself those very same questions last couple years; generally after "discussing" things with Mrs. Braden.....  ;-)

Barfly's picture

Bravo, Dr J.

Awesome piece. I am much of the same mind. This past week, I finished an elevated garden project complete with an integrated watering system connected to my rain catch system. All gravity fed, no city water required, and free from the sky. I filled it with 3 cubic yards of all organic compost made right in my back yard. Also included is a sense of great satisfaction and the potential for about 900 pounds of vegetables every year from now on. How's that for dividends? It didn't cost much, mostly time and know how and some creativity. And I have created wealth close to me that can't be pilfered by taxes or inflation. As my favorite coked out celebrity would say, "Winning!" Keep it up, Dr. J.

Nana's picture

Thank You Dr J

Another wonderful piece to ponder...we may not know how everything will unfold but we know TPTB will lose in the end...and lose bigger than they could have ever imagined...

lakedweller2's picture

Great Post

What I can 't figure out is how we keep electing 500+ people in Washington that continually sell out. We hold more elections every 2 years , and the new group sells out. How can there be that many criminals at the grass roots level that keep replacing the last group of criminals?

JY896's picture

Bravo indeed

Great piece, Dr. J. No matter how things unfold, something has to give, and those with options will be the best off (after system insiders, sycophants and enforcers). Even the last of those will feel some of the pain.

Black markets CAN, to a degree, be suppressed - but never entirely stamped out. And this highlights the need for stacking a NETWORK, along with all the things you listed. Low profile and center of mass, and lots of available, well-mapped alternate paths are indeed necessary.

squib's picture

Fantastic and thought

provoking essay/post, greatly appreciated Dr Jerome.

Marchas45's picture

Awesome Dr J

I have been thinking about those things myself recently, "am I really doing the right thing?" "Sure I am,"  is always the answer. It better be as I have all sorts of stuff stashed away. LMAO If I am wrong, then I will be to embarrassed to have a garage sale. LMAO  Keep Stacking I'm sure I'm right.

P.S. The picture of the vegetables reminds me of my square foot garden I had in California.

Bollocks's picture

Great stuff Dr J

We'll be fine.

Human Mushroom's picture

Human Nature Means the Elite Will Fail

Warning: I'm going to use a bit of Biblical history just to make a point about human nature.

For over 1400 years God tried to get the Israelites to follow some laws that would make life wonderful. Didn't happen. Human nature doesn't like authority, even when it means having a great life.

So here we are now, with a bunch of cruel, evil, greedy psychopaths trying to rule the whole world. First of all, the elite is a group of individual crazy people. I wonder if there will be any egos causing conflicts in how things are run. That's one problem right off the bat, which means that once the NWO is established, it ain't going to last very long.

However, that's not my point.

If God couldn't get just one nation to toe-the-line for the good life, what chance is there that the whole population of the world will toe-the-line for the NWO rulers, by obeying laws that will make people miserable as hell?

Just seems to me that if the elite do manage to get the NWO established, human nature simply isn't going to go along with it for any length of time when life sucks. Gerald Celente's phrase comes to mind: "When people lose everything and they have nothing left to lose, they lose it."


Mr. Fix's picture

RE Human Nature Means the Elite Will Fail

Hi Terry, excellent post, and I completely agree with it. It can't work.

I've been saying for years that human beings were designed to be self-governing, which is why I am an ardent anarchist, as well  quite guilty of   blasphemy from any religious perspective. Both constructs are antithetical to natural law, and human nature.

The problem I see, is that by simply making such a statement, people who have been indoctrinated for their entire lives, in fact for all of recorded history,  come out of the woodwork and start citing  biblical dogma as to why I am wrong, or actually believe that anarchy would amount to chaos, when in reality, the only thing causing the chaos is the governments, and the religions. Without them, mankind would truly be free, and you are right, human nature says that will always be true.

What we have been witnessing for most of our lives is a serious attempt at changing human nature.  Through constant distraction, destruction of our families,  long slow destruction of our civil liberties, and a complete collapse of morality, the components required for a free society are being  meticulously removed.

The human race is literally being conditioned for slavery, and few people even notice.

A free society requires individuals who are capable of living outside the system, and for the most part, that is not even legal anymore.

 Regardless, we are rapidly approaching a paradigm shift that says that there is no going back to life as we knew it growing up, and the vast majority of people are completely incapable of experiencing what it means to be truly free. Most would not even know where to start.

Ironically, I usually only site the obvious problems of trying to gather up a bunch of psychopathic megalomaniacs and decide which ones going to lead them! That by itself is impossible. There are simply too many people with absolutely no level of morality whatsoever vying for the position of top dog.

It's hard to say how this will all turn out in the end, obviously our economic collapse is being  engineered to create a new world order out of chaos, but chaos is the  only possible outcome of any continued attempt to enslave mankind. It has been our state of existence for all of recorded history.

Freedom starts at the individual level, simply learn how to recognize what controls you, and stop complying with it. If everybody did that, no form of government would be possible.

There are only two basic rules for living a prosperous life, within a civil society. Don't lie, don't steal.

A society that abides by those two basic principles will never adopt any form of government, for none can survive by following those two basic guidelines, and as far as religion is concerned,

don't get me started…

A civil society without government or religion was once preached to us by a very inspired teacher, few actually picked up on his real message:

Another great article Dr. Jerome, and we are not wrong.

Safety Dan's picture

This chart says the next

This chart says the next recession is approaching

From Tom McClellan’s Chart in Focus:

Last week I wrote about how big federal deficits are good for the stock market. They are bad for total indebtedness that we are leaving for our grandchildren to deal with, but they are great for stock market investors. In a similar way, when there is a very small deficit or even a surplus, it tends to be a big negative factor for […]

bp9291's picture

change gonna come

 Only a fool would stare at a so huge and profound change in life as he knows it without tremendous anxiety and second guessing. I have been questioned by many, agreed with by few and basically labeled a crazy old man. My wife calls me obsessed, thinks I'm becoming a prepper nut case, most of my friends just think I should start drinking again(so I bought a couple of extra handguns the last week, I really needed them). My only defense is asking "have you read any real news on world and US economics lately"?. Most smile, pat me on the shoulder and say "that's ok old timer", it'll all be ok. ''

  The problem is I don't think it will be ok, not anything close to ok, I think it sucks now and has sucked for a long time and is fixing to suck much worse. I just don't know bad that will be, but I'm afraid it will be very bad. We are ruled by crooks, surrounded by unsuspecting sheep and the future of my grand children ain't pretty.

 The funny thing is the worse the news gets, the more upside down everything gets(never really considered negative interest in my retirement package) the more calm I feel. I hope hike hell I'm wrong but I don't see it, I wish every thing would get right but I can't see it. I think we are gonna see some strange stuff happening soon and nothing would surprise me but I think I'm on the right side and do take much relief and solace in TF and the other nut jobs that post on this site. So thanks to all and the best of luck no matter what, Joe 

zerocd's picture

I Guess.............

I could always sell drugs then.

Problem solved!


Fred Hayek's picture

Huge snow storm coming to New England. Be safe, Turdites!

Last report was that here in central Massachusetts we'll get 16-24 inches of snow from Monday afternoon till early morning Wednesday with high winds also expected. 

I think the famous "Blizzard of '78" hallowed in new england lore delivered anywhere from 27-36 inches of snow depending where you were.  We had a whole week off from school.  What bliss.  But now that I work and don't go to school it's all a bit more complicated.

Anyway, please stay safe Marchas45 and other turdites in the region.

The one good thing about a storm like this (other than days off from school for kids) is that it can serve as a lesson to people of the value of preparing.  If your power goes out Tuesday morning what would you do if it didn't come back on Wednesday?  What if your certainty that it will be fixed that day or the next day turns out to be wrong?  Is it much to ask to prepare for such a possibility?  How did we go from the boy scouts being a nearly ubiquitous organization known for its maxim of "Be Prepared" to a situation where the media derides the attempt to act out this maxim?  And if your power goes out on Tuesday morning  will you really feel absolutely metaphysical certainty, the sun will rise in the east confidence that it will be restored within hours or will you start to wonder if maybe the boy scouts were right?

Marchas45's picture

@ Fred Hayek Thank You

For Your Concern. I am well prepared for what's coming with a little extra. Lol Keep Stacking

DeaconBenjamin's picture

If your power goes out Tuesday morning what would you do

Went two weeks without power in 2000. Not fun. Preparations were adequate, but not enjoyable.

Marchas45's picture

@Deacon Benjamin

"If your power goes out Tuesday morning what would you do"

Hook up my generator with my cheap gas then plug in my computer and relax in between shoveling. Lol

Mr. Fix's picture

What to do, what to do.

"If your power goes out Tuesday morning what would you do"

Last Sunday night when the power went out, I broke my collarbone when I went out to start the generator.

So I'm planning ahead, next time my kid can do it, if she really wants the lights to go back on.devil

Angry Chef's picture

Huge Snow Storm Coming To New England

Who cares about a couple of ft. of snow ? If you live in New England and can't deal with a couple of ft. of snow, I need to bet on Seattle. Seriously ? There is a storm coming. And it has nothing to do with snow. You're not wrong to prepare.

James Crighton's picture

@Human Mushroom

Human Mushroom - that is one of the wisest observations I have heard in a long time - a very valid view from 20,000 feet.  We should all ascend to that height every now and then and have a look down on it all - makes one see things in perspective.

Good man!


James Crighton's picture


Hey, bp9291, the words you wrote echo my feelings exactly. (by the way, you were born in 1929 I take it?).  And, yes, it worries me.  However, read the words of Human Mushroom (a little above your post) - no doubt true and therefore comforting.

The older I get, the more I wish I had listened to my father - and now I wish my children would listen to me.  They won't!

Keep prepping!


Mickey's picture

Oh, so few

Have any clue whats going on let alone the permutations of pain that is coming.

I do believe thay very few really have pm stashed away. So that not a concern of tptb. The pareto rule, 20% of the work gets you 80% of the benefit.

Those of us who have bought pm and done some prepping are the needles in the haystack. Even if we have that we cannot show that when the implosion comes. We have to appear to be like everyone one else.

I was with family yesterday that I see a couple times a year. Clueless. They see gun control as necessary. They think the state has to provide for everyone. They do not have a clue the us is actually bankropt and insolvent if not for ability to print even more and they have no clue why the govt is printing so much and in fact due to misdirection by the goverme nt think the deficicit is small and declining.

You cannot fix a problem unless you see the problem.

Then one day we will have an "oops" moment and most everyone will wonder what happened.
In the meantime my friends and family continue to demonize mr, marginalize me. They see that coming from the President and media so the 95% thinks its normal and the right thing to do.

Heard mentality. People, some well educated but not smart, and the rest of the majority. I watched them sunday watch face the nation and the other NBC CBS ABC MSNBC morning shows with awe while they dissed fox or anybody watching fox.they are so locked in on their view and their superiority that everyone else is crazy. They do not debate or discuss. They dismiss other views . Ie, there is no need for guns, period.

You cannot discuss that perspective.and they think they are enlightened!

So when the time comes and we have our pm, who out there will understand, at least initially, the value of a coin and how to barte r with it?

mfields111's picture

We can't be wrong!

Just finished reading Jim Willie's last Golden Jackass monthly review. The End Game is clearly now. All the dominoes are falling ..we see them go on a daily basis. Syriza today, the Swiss pulling the plug on the Euro a few days ago, the euro bailout, the rapid dollar rise and big oil plunge, the change in gold/silver trend with more and more traders getting on board all the time, 10-12 countries now with negative interest rates and rising, the list keeps growing at a progressively more rapid rate. and the list of positives for the world? Oh so called guru hedge fund trader Kyle Bass of Hayman Capital just announced the Fed is in trouble because they have to deal with the US having full employment! According to him they have to start raising interest rates to curb the massively expanding us economy! Now there's a credible perspective for you! And then we have our President announcing to congress that we have 'turned the corner' and are beyond the crisis point in the economy ! And his approval rate for that speech was very high amongst the populace in this country. I think I will just keep stacking I think the odds we are wrong are very, very slim.

gold slut's picture

@ Mickey

Nice post!

The one thing I would NOT do in a SHTF situation is use PMs to barter with.  When word gets about that you have PMs, and it will, it will, some people are going to come looking for the rest of your stack.  Openly letting others know that you are a stacker is a sure way to get the attention of the wrong kind of people (even in a non-SHTF scenario).  Staying 'invisible' is the best thing, so barter with everyday items, a bottle of booze, canned food etc, but advertising the fact that you potentially have gold or silver for the taking is a no-no.

In a worst case setting, I see my PMs as a post SHTF tool to sell and buy rock-bottom priced land and property etc.

Just my two pennies worth.

Edit: Fat fingered typo.

Mr. Fix's picture

Why we are right: READ THIS!!!

Grandmaster Putin’s Trap

Thu, Dec 25, 2014

RussiaUnited States

By Dmitry KALINICHENKO (Russia)

Grandmaster Putin’s Trap

Accusations of the West towards Putin are traditionally based on the fact that he worked in the KGB. And therefore he is a cruel and immoral person. Putin is blamed for everything. But nobody ever accused Putin of the lack of intelligence.

Any accusations against this man only emphasize his ability for quick analytical thinking and making clear and balanced political and economic decisions.

Often Western media compares this ability with the ability of a grandmaster, conducting a public chess simul. Recent developments in US economy and the West in general allow us to conclude that in this part of the assessment of Putin’s personality Western media are absolutely right.

Despite numerous success reports in the style of Fox News and CNN, today, Western economy, led by the United States is in Putin’s trap, the way out of which no one in the West can see or find. And the more the West is trying to escape from this trap, the more stuck it becomes.

Much more: http://orientalreview.org/2014/12/25/grandmaster-putins-trap/

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