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Friday Fright Night

I was going to try to write a slightly funny, moderately informative post for today. Not another dark, downer of a diatribe. Perhaps something about why the UK seems to be amassing a silver hoard that is twice the size of all silver held in the SLV trust, or coping mechanisms of societies in other parts of the world before and during times of economic hardship.

Then I came across this (via ZH à from Michele Catalano):

“What happened was this: At about 9:00 am, my husband, who happened to be home yesterday, was sitting in the living room with our two dogs when he heard a couple of cars pull up outside. He looked out the window and saw three black SUVs in front of our house; two at the curb in front and one pulled up behind my husband’s Jeep in the driveway, as if to block him from leaving.

Six gentleman in casual clothes emerged from the vehicles and spread out as they walked toward the house, two toward the backyard on one side, two on the other side, two toward the front door. […]

They asked if they could search the house, though it turned out to be just a cursory search. They walked around the living room, studied the books on the shelf […], looked at all our pictures, glanced into our bedroom, pet our dogs. They asked if they could go in my son’s bedroom but when my husband said my son was sleeping in there, they let it be. […]

By this point they had realized they were not dealing with [trrrrrrsts]. They asked my husband about his work, his visits to South Korea and China. The tone was conversational.

They never asked to see the computers on which the searches were done. They never opened a drawer or a cabinet. They left two rooms unsearched. I guess we didn’t fit the exact profile they were looking for so they were just going through the motions.

They mentioned that they do this about 100 times a week. And that 99 of those visits turn out to be nothing.”

In later clarification, the Suffolk County PD in Yaphank, NY issued a statement:

“Suffolk County Criminal Intelligence Detectives received a tip from a Bay Shore based computer company regarding suspicious computer searches conducted by a recently released employee.  The former employee’s computer searches took place on this employee’s workplace computer.   On that computer, the employee searched the terms “pressure cooker bombs” and “backpacks.”

So THAT’S supposed to make it all right? Here are my issues with this picture:

  • The author’s husband was released (presumably fired) in April 2013 from the employer who ultimately reported the ‘suspicious’ searches. The alleged web searches had to have taken place before that date (and presumably after Marathon Day).
  • The employer seems to have waited ca. 3 MONTHS to contact authorities (this is conjecture, but based on the fact that 6 plainclothes detectives were dispatched, appears likely that the PD acted immediately and forcefully on the info). Patriotic concern? Employee contract/labor dispute?
  • The family in question allowed authorities access to search their home, yet despite this permission only a cursory scan was conducted. So what was the point of the visit?
  • ‘they do this about 100 times a week’

This is a relatively benign case, with an ultimately ‘harmless’ outcome of a frightened blogger, and an IT worker with a more ingrained understanding of the lack of privacy of using a workplace computer. No harm, no foul, right?

Some hypothetical/rhetorical questions:

  • WHAT IF the husband in question had denied the detectives access?
  • WHAT IF there had been a cooking implement of the sort in question sitting on the stove?
  • WHAT IF the inquisitive lawmen had found firearms in the home?
  • If similar ‘visits’ are carried out 100x per week, that equals about 20x per weekday. Let’s say it only takes an hour to do each one, and on average only 2 officers are sent. That’s still 4-6 full-time, year-round jobs doing nothing else, just for this county of 1.5M people.
  • Computer logs are ‘relatively’ tangible things, though of course are not infallible or immune to manipulation by malicious parties. What would have happened if a neighbor or co-worker had phoned in a tip (anonymous or otherwise) that he/she had overheard someone talking in an agitated manner about said cooking implement and high-speed/high-pressure oxidation processes?

Look, I realize that there are plenty of arguments to counter ANY concerned/worried/alarmist position. There is no definitive proof that the BoE leased/sold large amounts of gold into the market, thus any suppositions to that effect are off-the-wall loony. There are no court convictions involving the senior management of TBTF institutions, so the idea that they did/are doing anything illegal is baseless libel. There have been no criminal charges brought against high- or even mid-level law-enforcement officials, so there is NO reason to think any of them (let alone the entire establishment) might be infringing on laws. No war crimes tribunals, hence no war crimes. Individual, anecdotal cases of overreach, abuse of force, mistaken identities, negligence are supposedly just that – individual cases. Like the IRS made some ‘regrettable, individual mistakes’ in targeting specific groups and people. Like the DoJ seems to have suffered from an unfortunate string of ‘individual’ lapses in judgment regarding a wide and unconnected range of issues, from Mexican trafficking to investigation of journalists.

When I was younger, I never bothered to think too much about whether my country was ‘free’ (it most assuredly was not). The denial of free speech and all the other rights taken for granted in the US affected me only tangentially – and as I was growing up and became aware of these distinctions, the dictatorial regime melted away into irrelevance, and was replaced by supposedly democratic, free institutions. The era of ‘hope and change’ that apparently all societies are periodically susceptible to. After a few years, it became apparent that what had happened was not so much a liberation, as a re-labeling. The old thieves got new coats of paint, and the new thieves were bought off with the remaining (meager) wealth of the nation. Pretty soon, this new amalgamated group of people above the law began to fight among themselves, and to explicitly reinstate the arbitrary (extra)legal mechanisms of old.

The day I finally realized that any hope of a just, representative, honest society was gone happened on a bright, sunny July morning a few years ago. I was (ironically enough) on my way to an appointment at a fearsome and powerful governmental bureaucracy, around 7 AM. As I stepped out of my apartment into the balcony of the inner courtyard up on the top floor (I always hated the Panopticon-like effect of these buildings), I see something like this:

Now imagine, in the place of that red-topped cupboard, there stands a man in faded jeans, black T-shirt and ski mask. A sidearm strapped to one thigh, another in his hand pointed at a row of 3 people who are kneeling, facing the wall, with their hands clasped behind their necks, where the broom is standing. One is in underwear, one in pajamas, one in sweatpants. Another ‘gentleman’ in a black ski mask has a yellow T-shirt, brown cargo pants, a weapon in hand and is standing guard at the door of the apartment in the corner, which is open.

No identifying markings, no badges, not even an excess of (para)military equipment/gear/clothing that might put my mind more at ease that this is a police raid. For all I know, it could be a loan-shark collecting on a debt. Or a hit. Or a gang attempting to forcefully rob the owners/tenants of valuables – or even of their apartment.

By a quirk of fate, my exit to the gangway is silent and rapid enough that none of them look up. I slink away to the far end of the hallway, slip down the stairs and out to the street, frantically trying to think -- what to do? Did they see me, will they follow? If they are cops, why so few and without insignia? If they are NOT, I can’t stick around, but I don’t want to leave the residents to their fate – what if the real cops get there too late?

In the end I call the precinct from a payphone a few blocks away. Give the address, describe the situation, note the presence of arms and people being held against their will at the point of a barrel, ask if any raids were underway. The dispatcher says no, they are not aware of any police activity in the area at the moment, but they will look into it. No questions are asked. Nobody presses me further about details. Though it was a while ago and I am not sure I remember correctly, I think no one even asked for my name.

As far as I know, no other resident of the building (with around 60-70 apartments, half of which looked directly onto this scene) called the cops. By the time I got back from the bowels of the bureaucracy, having proven my non-offensive, law-abiding, useful tax-paying nature, all was well. Residents were bustling to and from work, and old lady was sweeping the courtyard, someone was taking a dog for a walk.

This is how it starts, how it has always started. And in almost every case in recent history (the last century or so) it is always LEGAL. The actions of the Schutzstaffel, Geheime Staatspolizei and later the Staatssicherheit, the Chrezvychaynaya Komissiya, those of the Securitate and the Mukhabarat – the list goes on. The powers and authority granted to security forces, representatives of the justice system (whether prosecutors or the courts themselves) are all eminently, collectively (and sometimes retroactively) enshrined in law or reasonable facsimiles thereof.

How long, before domestic cultivation of food-plants becomes a restricted activity, requiring government permission and subject to criminal prosecution? Ownership of projectile implements containing cylindrical inserts that originally worked with charcoal, sulphur and saltpeter (though now have more smoke-less components)? The willful dissemination of information deemed to be aimed at disrupting governmental policy? Where are we currently along these continua? What constitutes a ‘red line’?

And societies will take a LOT of this before realizing its inherently destructive effect on its members, wealth, liberty and freedom. As long as it’s SOMEONE ELSE being taken away, it’s of no direct concern to me. Chances are they had it coming. Probably some low-life. Should have kept their head down.

And IF after years, or even decades of oppression, blatant injustice, state-sanctioned arbitrary incarceration/torture/murder a society IS able to rise up, and attempt to throw off the yokes of servitude? Perhaps momentary, symbolic gains are made. Perhaps a few guilty (but nevertheless merely symbolic) parties are brought to justice.

Perhaps after a revolution or uprising a society is given a few years to breathe, to rebuild, to try to start over. But the temptation to institute (and the tools to build) an authoritarian society are ever-present, only waiting to be picked up. And picked up they inevitably are, as the cycle begins anew.

History is written by the victors. “It could never happen HERE” is a thought shared by many societies across the centuries – even (perhaps ESPECIALLY) after it already had. It is up to everyone to keep an eye on just what temperature the thermostat is currently set to.

(image credit: DonkeyHotey)

It seems to me that incredibly hard though it is, it’s still a LOT easier to prevent the noose of tyranny from tightening, than it is to remove it once it has established its grip in full. To a large degree, this depends on the degree of legitimacy of the state, and the degree of helplessness of the people as perceived by the populace.

47 Comments

wouldyoubelieve...'s picture

1st?

.

silver66's picture

First

take that you nay sayers

Silver66

Edit....Noooooooo!

edit 2... nice post, you are always thought provoking

wouldyoubelieve...'s picture

yup, woohoo!!!! hurray for

yup, woohoo!!!! hurray for me!!!!! sure is quiet around here, no parade, no cheering crowds, this sucks!!!

beinki's picture

world bank whistleblower

world bank shareholders demanding rule of law, gold backwardation forcing cabal out very, very soon.

¤'s picture

TGIF...Thanks JY

I can't wait to read it and I'm liking the frog right away.

Psychedelic Frog by ~Tripper67 on deviantART

(i have no comment tool bar and I see a vid isn't displaying above me)

redwood's picture

Jy896

Nicely thought out write up. Yes the boiling frog. I see this ever tigthening noose in my work. The EMR (electronic medical record). Oh yes: " get with the new century, be efficient, be able to communicate with your colleagues, blah, blah, blah." And yes strip your patients of any semblance of privacy they have left. Once you know someone's medical record, you pretty much know everything.

Think about it....starts with age, sex, marital status, ethnic background.  That tells you a ton right there.  In that record will be medical, social, financial, info because they all impinge on your health, certainly financial more in the US then Canada.

Childhood illnesses, surgeries, chronic conditions, medications....ha medications are a big one.  Are you diabetic, hypertensive, have a malignancy, will you live for a while or soon to die.  Where do you live....there's a good one...in the slums, or upscale New York.....that alone will tell you whether you have the probability of owning firearms, the kind of firearms and whether you will die from a gun shot wound. 

Then there is the mental status exam (where appropriate) and now they know your mental state: demented, delusional, depressed, anxious, hypochondriacal.  You get the picture.

Dyna mo hum's picture

JY896

Michele Catalano ... I really hope her story grows a strong pair of legs. There is a lot more to her story I am sure. Well done JY!    Oh yes the frog is almost done.

TD's picture

I know how you feel

As each day passes I feel more and more as if I'm living in the movie, The Matrix.

¤'s picture

Sequester Budget Cuts, Military Assets & Mothballs

US Conducts “Sweeping Overhaul” of Pacific War Plans

By Zachary Keck

August 2, 2013

editor

EBG6NYSM4VCJ

Some Friday defense and security links:

The Wall Street Journal reports that the Pentagon is conducting a “sweeping overhaul” of its war plans in the Pacific and Middle East theaters, diminishing the role large ground forces play in these plans. “Plans that had presumed the availability of large U.S. forces for invasions and occupations are being redrafted to incorporate strategies such as quick-reaction ground units, air power and Navy ships,” the report said. Cyber will also be a big aspect of the new plans.

The Pentagon is denying that it is considering canceling the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program and a long-range stealth bomber after leaked documents from its strategic review proposed doing just that as a way to implement sequestration. Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel also said at a press conference this week that he is considering mothballing three aircraft carriers as a way to implement the budget cuts.

The Chinese Navy has achieved its long-standing goal of being able to “cut through” the first island chains, according to Chinese defense analysts, China Daily reports. The remarks were made on the PLA’s 86th birthday, however, so skepticism may be warranted.

The excellent new site War on the Rocks profiles Admiral Xiao Jinguang, the first commander of the PLA Navy.

NextGov has launched a new interactive feature called ThreatWatch that tracks data breaches at various types of organizations all around the world.

Real Clear Defense’s Dustin Walker reviews the speech that was written for the Queen of England to give to the British people at the start of World War III; that is, after NATO responded to a chemical weapon attack by the Soviet Union by launching nuclear weapons. It was all part of a 1983 NATO war game but the full text of the speech, which Dustin provides, is very much worth reading.

http://thediplomat.com/flashpoints-blog/2013/08/02/us-conducts-sweeping-overhaul-of-pacific-war-plans/

Sneed Hearn's picture

First they came for the communists . . . .

First they came for the communists, and I didn't speak out because I wasn't a communist.

Then they came for the socialists, and I didn't speak out because I wasn't a socialist.

Then they came for the trade unionists, and I didn't speak out because I wasn't a trade unionist.

Then they came for the Jews, and I didn't speak out because I wasn't a Jew.

Then they came for the Catholics, and I didn't speak out because I wasn't a Catholic.

Then they came for me, and there was no one left to speak for me.

Martin Miemoller

AlienEyes's picture

@ Sneed Hearn

I think if "they" had already come for the socialists, the unionists and communists (Marxists), we wouldn't be in the trouble we are in.

القراع عصفور's picture

@ AlienEyes

shouldn't we just finish the list then to make sure?

Colonel Angus's picture

Between these isolated instances...

...and all the doublespeak that goes on in the media to make us think that we should be at all time highs in the markets, someone has to poke their head out of a shell and ask, "What's up?" Now that shouldn't just be a song from the Four Non-blondes. We need to look out for one another and prep for the safety and freedom of our families. We saw some good ideas on this in a previous post, but should we trust the paper shenanigans. Me- we went all in on a farm with an orchard and pasture. We've been acquiring skills. We have the PMs. And we're armed and likely dangerous, if you ask he right governmental agency. We're really nothing of the sort. We just want Big Brother to leave us the hell alone. But we're not afraid of truth. And you know what Ron Paul said about speaking the truth....

Dyna mo hum's picture

Me too

Pining 4 the Fjords's picture

Profound post JY

Quality and depth- well done.  I have to figure out where my own personal "bright lines" will be, then I have to figure out where my neighbors lines will be- what would cause a meaningful number to stand up?  Because up until then, anyone who stands too early or alone is just an easy target... The tall daisies get plucked first.  Sad but true .  

Pining 4 the Fjords's picture

Side note-

By the way, I would love to see you write a "ZH" retrospective of your memories of the time... Silver going to the moon, Gold Bitchez", Marla on radio zero... The whole vibe of the thing, and what it meant.  Maybe stack this idea for a post someday. "I am Chambawamba."  Turd, Tmos... A fascinating period.

Jakarta Expat's picture

Lordy Lord

It would seem that I, still a holder of the blue and gold big eagle passport live here in Indonesia, the most populated Muslim country in the world for the last 24+ years under less scrutiny than the likes of my fellow Americans living in their own country.

Sad really but not surprising.

SilverSurfers's picture

IF

they find my computer searches, I will just claim sexual addiction, and get off.

The comedian on fox news, said if he was Castro prison warren, he would have the jailhouse plastic surgeon work Castro, and then send Castro to the general population recreation yard, and let him get passed around. LOL

So, the people dont push back against the totalitarians, and stalinism is the outcome, which eventually collapses? Innate human driver of freedom and totalitarainism in an endless struggle, the ying and yang of eons? So Im watching Hannity, and we have a townhall group, and they are discussing Obomacare, and each one has in debt analysis, and an opinion, tree-chopping a subissues, and Im thinking these people are children, playing with intellectual toys, trying to maximize this or that, and score points, and yet they are very intelligent people, expert tree choppers, yet I place them in the big picture in the school yard, like apes pounding their chest, for they are so into micromanaging human affairs, as paid experts, that they cant understand the beauty of human innate drivers, biological laws, and the republic for which the flag should stand, or economic laws and real money, being their solution they can not see, as congress digs in its heals to shut the government down, to adjust federal social spending, where there should be none, in the first place. I walk away thinking it comical but sad, that many heretofore have died in vain. 

rtabit's picture

Russians at work

I had to go into office today for a meeting.  The web services on the project I’m working on is having performance issues, a group a five Russians (three I know are from Armenia, not sure about the other two) are maintaining this section of the code, so I had to go there to start developing a strategy to fix this.  The youngest Russian moved to New York while his wife is in school up there about a year ago so he had to dial in on our conference call line, he normally uses his computer to dial in to save money or something I don’t know, but he gets disconnected all the time.  Anyways one of the Russians was talking and we heard a beep from conference line so he says “I think we just lost Vahan”, Vahan says “No I’m still here”, original speaker says “Someone must have joined line then, hello, hello, who’s there?”, no one responds, original speaker says “Someone must be listening to us”, Vahan says “It’s the NSA”, original speaker says “Let’s hope it’s the NSA”, everyone starts laughing and in the laughter I hear “Yea we don’t want Russia”.
No real point to the story, except I guess Russians that migrated to the US still fear Russia more than the NSA, these Russians anyway.  Nice post btw, I liked it.
Strongsidejedi's picture

Barrick just went boom

Barrick Gold Closing Mines to Curb Output as Price Drops
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-08-02/barrick-gold-closing-mines-to-curb-output-as-price-drops.html

Miners are taking big hits.
The production will be down considerably this year and next.

Strongsidejedi's picture

Barrick conference call notes

http://www.barrick.com/files/presentation/2013/Barrick-2013-Q2-Conference-Call.pdf
Powerpoint slide from Barrick conference call.

From the Bloomberg story (URL above)
Barrick said it has abandoned a production target of 8 million ounces a year by 2016 because of a delay at its Pascua-Lama project in the Andes, expected mine-plan changes and potential asset sales.

While some of the company’s mines operate at higher costs, 57 percent of Barrick’s gold output comes from five mines with production costs less than $700 an ounce and another 18 percent is produced at a cost below $1,000, Sokalsky said on an earnings call yesterday, referring to slides posted on Barrick’s website.

“Our core assets are very, very strong,” he said in the interview. “I’m very optimistic about what our underlying business can do in this environment.”

Output cuts are most likely to come from the 12 mines that have forecast all-in sustaining costs this year above $1,000 an ounce. The company is reworking mine plans at several operations including Bald Mountain in Nevada and Hemlo in Canada, to focus on the most profitable ounces

judejin's picture

this all sounds familiar

like what the commies used to do in china and russia.

i recommend the novel, "we the living" by Ayn Rand, to get a much better feeling of what it will be like.

if we believe survival by the fittest, stack gold/silver secretly, but join NSA or homeland securities, if survival is all we want.

nobody can change the world but to accept it.

if you're not one of them, you'll be hunted down someday.

i escaped china once and then escaped USSA and landed back in china.

i wish i just stayed put and joined the commie, so now i can enjoy the loot not worrying this friday fright night shit.

in the long run, everyone is dead! in this world, the bad guy survives and wins.

JY896's picture

Humor

One of the things about oppresive regimes is that they generate the best-quality (gallows) humor, as it is a survival mechanism that allows people to stay sane. The court jesters are always the only ones allowed to tell the truth, if anyone is. That's why (though I've not heard, and would likely not understand, his material) I imagine Bassem Youssef to be funnier than Jon Stewart could ever be on his best day. The problem, as always, is understanding the context... These translate pretty well, though:

May Day parade, as armed forces parade past the communist leaders. There is an impressive array of tanks, missiles, armoured cars, and soldiers marching in their best uniforms.

The communist leaders stand impassively as the soldiers and their vehicles pass by. Then, right at the end comes a battered old open truck, sputtering exhaust as it carries three fat middle-aged men in badly fitting grey suits. An apparatchik turns to the defence minister and asks, “Who are they?”

“That's our secret weapon,” says the minister. “Economists from the Ministry of Planning.”

In the first grade, Comrade teacher announces the day's lesson in School Number One: Marxist criticism and self-criticism.

“Ivan, please stand up and tell us what Marxist criticism and self-criticism means,” she instructs.

The little boy stands up. “Comrade teacher, Marxist criticism is how we must view my parents, who joined the reactionary counter-revolutionary forces who sought to destroy our heroic workers' and peasants' state, and then fled to the imperialist, capitalist west, to continue their intrigues against the Socialist regime.”

“Excellent, Ivan. And what is your Marxist self-criticism?”

“I didn't go with them.”

@redwood -- I see the conundrum, though not the solution. The 'mental state' aspect we will have less trouble with in the future, as subsequent editions of DSM will simply outright define birth as a psychosis-inducing traumatic event which must be pharmaceutically treated from its outset... :-]

@Pining -- good idea re: ZH, toyed with it already. Will try to give it a go at some point. RE: red lines -- I guess my point is that even a people used to hardship and catastrophe can always be pushed a little bit harder, a little bit longer -- often a LOT longer than one imagines. Successful popular movements to shift/replace the machinery of state with lasting positive results are few and far between. The populations of N. America (myself included) largely have little idea what true catastrophe and repression really mean. Parts of Mexico seem to be getting closer to it, though. And poverty is becoming all too common. But for the time being, standing up alone means getting hammered down, and the system is FAR from the 10% threshold as yet. Here's to hoping that changes faster than I fear.

@rtabit - your Russian colleagues know of what they speak. Two generations of constant, outright terror and a world war, followed by two more generations of communist repression tend to leave a lasting mark.

Spartacus Rex's picture

@ Humor / JY

Re: "One of the things about oppresive regimes is that they generate the best-quality (gallows) humor, as it is a survival mechanism that allows people to stay sane." mind_fuck_by_4WD.jpg

El Gordo's picture

Just wondering

What is Russia's debt to GDP ratio? What restrictions do the Russians impose on their domestic energy production, their harvesting of natural resources and old growth timber, etc. I noted somewhere that they had reverted to typewriters instead of computers in sensitive matters for security reasons. I'm wondering who will really be left standing after TSHTF?

Pining 4 the Fjords's picture

A comment from The Speak over a year ago

The gray man gives none cause to notice him. This is deliberate, because the gray man knows knows that its always the tall daisy that gets plucked first. The gray man blends in. He stays away from crowds because crowds, in certain circumstances, can be very dangerous things. The gray man does nothing to appear on the radar of any official body. He pays his taxes. He breaks no laws. The gray man is very, very quiet. He never boasts. He does nothing to set himself apart from millions of others. This is deliberate.

There is nothing to outwardly distinguish the gray man from those around him. Inwardly, he is very different from those around him. He sees the writing on the wall. He intuits what is coming, and smells a foul scent in the air. He sees the wheels within wheels, and he can guess who is pulling the levers. He understands their game, and where it leads. And so, he chooses to be the gray man. And because of this, none realize how many gray men are hiding in plain sight.

Each never knows if he is a country of one, or if there are others. And the gray man will not know this until the moment when it is time to shed the gray and choose a color. And this will be the moment of truth. http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/comment/113874#comment-113874

maravich44's picture

the man in the suit...

has always made me uncomfortable..anyway...these things were predicted. shunned on Main...dunno...hi P4.

¤'s picture

In a black and white world....

....I'm one of those shaded yet unjaded 'gray's'.

I remember that post and I liked it then and I'm still liking it today.

I think many of us are fully tuned in and we're merely ticking and waiting for some type of indisputable alarm or cue to happen that can no longer be ignored or tolerated.

We all have a limit switch of sorts within ourselves set to a certain tolerance level. What will trip your switch and infuse you with the color of pride and indignation?

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

It does not take a majority to prevail... but rather an irate, tireless minority, keen on setting brushfires of freedom in the minds of men.

Samuel Adams

RaRaRasputin's picture

JY

Nice post :)

Couldn't agree with you more on the gallows humour as a survival mechanism for people to stay sane.  As a nurse you can be sure that our humour is served up blacker then black and if overheard by a non-medical professional could at times almost seems to have crossed the boundaries of acceptable and appropriate but the worse the shift was the darker the humour (and the heavier the drinking at the end of the day to forget).  Best bunch of people you could ever work with though and loyalty is an absolute given.

sierra skier's picture

Preparedness

Preparedness.jpg
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