Not So Happy Tuesday

Lots going on today and I'm off to a late start so let's dive right in.

First, let's talk about the price action today. After the surprising rally yesterday, I asked you to watch the Asia and London trade for clues to the Comex action today. What did we see? After a flat Asian session, the London Monkeys did their usual thing from about 2:00 am EDT on. The London Monkeys have now acted on 14 of the past 17 days. Check this chart from Ranting Andy:

The result was a giveback of more than half of yesterday's gains.

Why did we see this? Hard to say for sure but, with volume light ahead of the BLSBS later this week, I suspect that a lot of this was some Bullion Bank selling that was aimed at lessening some longs ahead of the CoT survey. No doubt the action since last Tuesday is a continuation of the trend of last week's report. Therefore, the banks tried today to lighten a few of the longs they had built up over the course of the week. This also serves the dual purpose of defending the 20-day MA and restoring some confidence to some of the shaky spec shorts. At any rate...we're down a modest $13 as I type. Let's see what tomorrow brings.

Speaking of the CoT, there has been some excellent analysis written in the past few days so I thought I would highlight some here. Again, the positioning of the Commericals vs The Specs has gotten so extreme that it has reached historic levels. Ultimately, how you interpret this depends upon just whom you think is really in charge. Is it The Specs or do The Cartel Banks lead The Specs by the nose into whichever position they would like? Let's start with longtime CoT-watcher Gene Arensberg: http://www.gotgoldreport.com/2013/05/gold-and-silver-disaggregated-cot-report-dcot-for-may-31.html

Next, read this link over at KWN: http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2013/6/4_This_Amazing_Chart_Shows_Gold_Set_For_Massive_$1,000_Spike.html. While we might disagree that this chart alone shows that "gold is set for a massive $1000 spike", the interview is helpful and in contains this excellent chart. (Click on it to enlarge.)

Reading that article inspired the Turdite "WildStyleChef" to create the chart below. This shows graphically how Commercial positioning is inversely correlated to price. (Again, click to enlarge.)

OK, moving on. I found this to be interesting. Recall that when the Dutch bullion bank, ABN AMRO, announced their plan to settle in cash a few months back, many of us called it a default. http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/blog/4667/gold-delivery-or-default This article published Friday follows along with that theme. I don't know anything about the author but that's OK. He probably doesn't know anything about me, either. http://www.jcaschipper.nl/2013/05/nationalized-abn-amro-offers-fools-gold/

Still lots of talk out there about Fed QE "tapering". Again, I think is all silly and it may be a non-topic as soon as Friday at 8:31 am. Regardless, as mentioned last week, even if The Bernank was to announce some type of "taper", it would likely come from the $40B/month MBS-purchase side of the QE∞ equation. The Fed could still monetize $45B/month in treasuries directly while cutting the Primary Dealer kickback life support handout welfare bullshit MBS purchases to $20B/month. This would still be $65B/month in QE and silence all the hawks. Not saying that it will happen, just saying that even if it did, it's no big deal! $65B/month is still nearly $800B/year in fresh greenback, created from whole cloth for the purpose of sustaining The Great Ponzi. Read more at ZH: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-06-04/chart-day-feds-taper-perspective And here's how it looks graphically:

Finally, I don't know if you've noticed but lately there sure have been a lot of big mines that have been taken off-line.

So, now, what to make of all this? Well, if you believe that everything is hunky-dory and that there are no supply issues in gold, then this is no big deal. After all, even though The Grasberg mine is the largest in the world, it still only produces about 30 metric tonnes per year or a little over 1% of all global mine production.

If, on the other hand, you think that the Bullion Banks are living hand-to-mouth and frantically trying to keep their Fractional Reserve Bullion Banking system alive, then it is a big deal. A very big deal.

That's a lot of gold...a lot of currently anticipated and expected supply that isn't coming. How much of this production was already sold forward into the market? And if it was already sold forward, what happens when it fails to materialize on schedule? Hmmmm. Could that lead to those contracts being covered? Could it lead to some new long purchasing as a hedge against supply delays, not only from the suppliers but from the end-users, as well? And with the current CoT structure in gold being akin to an overgrown and dried out California ravine just waiting for a spark...

Let's just leave it there for today. I hope that the rest of your Tuesday goes well and I look forward to seeing what tomorrow brings. Again, if I'm right about the cause of today's drop being Cartel CoT-positioning, then we should see a bit of a bounceback on the Globex and overnight.

TF

171 Comments

The8thHabit's picture

First?

What a luck! Keep stacking everyone!

Burt Reynolds's picture

2nd ??

Thats a first.

Be Prepared's picture

The Sahara Desert...

It seems that we are in the Sahara Desert and the long journey through the heat and fire of this hell seems neverending..... and, to some degree, it is!  TPTB have their formula for control tightly dialed in and we are in the center of the vortex.  Everything is spinning around us and we know that we are in a $hit storm, but the velocity of all this crappy control has us plastered with a splitting headache... and no way out.... seemingly.

Heaven knows the timing... I thought I did, but then I also thought that there were more mechanisms to correct this thing than there were levers of corruption to keep it tilted... and I was wrong.  A trillion dollars a year added to a debt that will never be repaid.... at least not in any money that has value... and you have most of the answers right there.

I appreciate all the great work.... life has been crazy busy for me the last few months and I thought I would I'm still with you all on this crazy march.  :-0)

Turd Ferguson's picture

AND NOW READ THIS

MODERATOR
Spartacus Rex's picture

Durnit Turd you beat me to o[posting Dave in Denver

Oh Well, Nice One!

ancientmoney's picture

@Turd . . . and now read this . . .

Yikes!

A disclaimer now makes fraudulence legal.  The new rule of banking law.

luv2stak's picture

top 10

Bob Chapman passed away a year ago today... 

It doesn't seem that long ago.  I read The International Forecaster every Wednesday and Saturday, and am grateful for the education received. An antidote to the corporate mass media for sure!  I really 'miss' it... (ambivalence because reading the truth is not always pleasant!) 

Fortunately, Jim Willie has picked up his torch.

An Eulogy is here: http://sgtreport.com/2013/06/remebering-bob-chapman-1935-2012/

snip<<  To say Bob was a legend in the precious metals markets, the mining industry, and the Truth Teller movement is an understatement. Bob was one of the original “good guys” in the movement who exposed the treason, fraud, greed, and criminality of the “powers that be” for over 35 years. Bob Chapman was responsible for “waking up” countless numbers of people around the world. This awakening helped educate people of diverse backgrounds about real, honest money, starting people on a path towards personal financial security. >> end snip

Mr. Chapman was a True Gentleman and a Scholar, in the finest, most practical sense.

luv2stak

Magpie's picture

Translation

Investors are not, never have been, nor will ever be, privy to the truth. 

Mad5Hatter's picture

8th

quick draw, love shoot out, another top 10 turder!!!

No 8 to go down, many, hanging in there.

Go Turd for quick draw, shoot em out!!

Murphy, and now Sprout review, atta boy, you staying on top of things!!

Heart&#039;s Yours's picture

Which silver one ounce to buy (and why)?

Provident has three one ounce silver coins produced by countries on sale (Canadian Maples and Austrian Philharmonics at $2.49 over spot and Mexican Libertads  at $2.69 over spot in any quantity (no minimums).  I personally prefer to stack silver minted by a country instead of generic private mint rounds.  Since the prices are similar, which would you buy and why?    I have previously bought Maples primarily and have bought a few Philharmonics.  I have never bought any Libertads.  Any input would be appreciated.

Heart's Yours

If you don't hold it in your possession, you don't own it.

lostinspace's picture

Time to

Be Prepared's picture

Who's winning now?

Spartacus Rex's picture

Suchecki - Gold and Silver Market Status Update

From May 31, the Perth Mint's Bron Suchecki wrote:  "An update to my previous posts here and here on the state of the gold and silver markets as the Perth Mint sees them. Coin demand (retail and wholesale) has also eased but still good. Our retail outlet in Perth is quiet.
On the gold kilobar market, premiums have come off a bit but are still way above normal levels. This market action is confirmed by Warren "the ETF bar list guru" James at Screwtape Files who has observed a clear preference by bullion banks to choose 99.99% 400oz bars rather than 99.5% bars when redeeming physical from the ETFs as investors sell up, as the 99.99% bars can just be melted down and recast into kilobars (no refining required) and sold at a premium. Warren will have a post on his blog showing this graphically when he gets time." (More...)
"On the Depository front, over the past few weeks we are now seeing net selling. It seems a bit of that is clients selling up part of their holdings and switching into equities. This may reflect what Financial Sense Newshour said in this podcast where they have clients who originally had a modest allocation percentage into precious metals but after the bull market (and no rebalancing) they are now sitting on excessive allocations of say 75%. Clients may have been induced into rebalancing with gold not showing any signs (yet) that a rapid rise is coming combined with the stock market showing gains.
 
We have also seen some physical collections of metal in Depository, mostly silver but minor quantities overall. The net loss in Depository is modest an similar to the percentage losses Bullion Vault, GoldMoney and BMG Bullion are also showing, according to Sharelynx'sTransparent Holdings page (you'll need to subscribe if you want to see the data). The ETFs have been showing a lot more percentage losses than PM, BV, GM and BMG have, which reflects I think our more retail (strong hand) client base.
 
I don't know how to read this market behaviour. Weak investor sentiment like this could portend a bottom, but it could also make the market suseptible to a sell off if the April price smash entity decides to test the market's strength again as it need not worry about position limits and the CFTC catching them out.
 
Gene Arensberg at Got Gold Report also sees the market as “very imbalanced” and “dangerous for both sides of the battlefield.”with the largest hedgers of gold are positioned as though they see very little downside left, while on the other the Funds, while still net long gold, have put on their largest gross short position since the disaggregated data begins in 2006
 
Further confusing messages comes from the contrast between James Turk and the Royal Canadian Mint. James Turk reports some stress in the wholesale markets (although I think when he says that "some of the larger orders to buy bars have been moving out to as long as T+5, which is extraordinary" he is referring to kilobar, not 400oz bars, as GoldMoney isn't showing premiums or delays for their 400oz bar backed product) and that "the buyer or buyers who pushed the gold price up during the London PM fix yesterday were obviously desperate to get their hands on physical metal and were prepared to pay whatever price it took to obtain it".
 
Then we have this Globe and Mail article which notes that the Royal Canadian Mint's gold and silver exchange-traded receipts were trading at a 1.7% and 1% discount on Wednesday. The fact that "major investors holding at least 10,000 of the gold ETRs or 5,000 of the silver ones could also redeem them for metal and acquire holdings at a below-market price" certainly isn't reflective of a shortage in the wholesale markets.
At this time I think I agree with Gene: "We have to admire the courage of those willing to sell gold short in this, very imbalanced environment, knowing that a reversal could occur any moment and that it could be epic in its violence. Rest assured we have neither the courage nor the inclination to do so ourselves.""
 
Original source:  Gold Chat  
Spartacus Rex's picture

Who Do You Believe – Me Or Your Lying Eyes?

Anyone who believes the Fed can (or will) cut back on QE hasn’t seen this chart.

Fed Balance Sheet Driving Asset Prices Graph

Cut back on QE and the economy tanks, the stock market collapses, interest rates explode and the bond market implodes.  Do you really think that Bernanke will allow that to happen on his watch?

The next chart compares the monthly percentage growth of the Federal Reserve balance sheet (U.S. Treasuries and Agency MBS) against gold price.

Jim’s Mailbox

Posted June 2nd, 2013 at 1:49 PM (CST) by Jim Sinclair

Dear Mr. Sinclair,

The continuous raid on gold prices since last top at 1800 already depleted them from 1/3 of their eligible reserves.

Click here to view the chart…

…and 50% of the registered ones.

Click here to view the chart…

…and if we saw a small bounce on the eligible reserves, the registered ones keep going to the abyss.

So we are already halfway towards a complete default on the Comex if they don’t change the rules. This, within 6 months.

That might give an idea to CIGAs about how many months are left before margins get raised to 100% as you mentioned, especially if they try to drive prices even further down.”

Respectfully,

CIGA Thierry

Jim,

Thank God for Free Markets!!!

Fed Balance Sheet vs. Gold Price

Fed Balance Sheet vs. Gold Price

This chart compares the monthly percentage growth of the Federal Reserve balance sheet (U.S. Treasuries and Agency MBS) against gold price ….

Continue reading on jsmineset.com

The next time you see a headline that says “gold up dollar down,” or “gold down, dollar up,” ask yourself – what does one day’s move in the dollar have to do with the price of gold?  It quickly becomes obvious, “absolutely nothing.” Except for the fact that the hedge funds trade on this type of data every hour, every day.  And then the move up or down becomes a (short-term) pre-ordained reality.  In this case; reality FOLLOWS expectations.

Ya gotta take it on faith!

In a sense, Gold Bugs approach gold in much the same way that religious people approach God.  Now I don’t mean to be “blasphemous” with this comparison – I am making this comparison in a general way only, but it is a valid viewpoint.

“How do you know that God exists?”

“I know because I just know it!”

“Have you ever seen God?”

“No, but God is in my heart.”

“In other words, your belief in God is based on faith!”

“Yes, that’s right, on faith!  There is no doubt in my mind that God exists!  I have total faith in my belief!”

“How about the views that our dollar will lose much of its value and that the bull market in gold is still with us?”

“I am certain of it!”

“What proof do you have?”

“Proof – look around you.  The proof is everywhere.”

“But the price of gold has been falling for over a year.”

“So what! I still believe that the price of gold will soar!”

“How can you be so sure?”

“You just have to take it on faith!”

I know the price has been falling lately, but “do you believe me or your lying eyes?”

These articles can drive you nutz!  Yesterday, Rick Ackerman wrote the following:

Our forecast for the Dow Industrials calls for a blowoff top at 16810, about 1,700 points above Friday’s settlement price.  Using proprietary technical tools, we have identified this “Hidden Pivot” target as one to keep firmly in mind — not only as a major rally target, but as a place to lay out shorts aggressively ahead of a possible avalanche.  As noted here earlier, however, despite the bullish prediction, we’re keeping one foot on the fire escape, since the risk of a historical collapse at any time seems inordinate. If and when it comes, conceivably from a level that has fallen shy of our target, it is almost certain to occur with such devastating speed that even those who believe they are ready for it will have no time to escape. More likely is that the financial collapse that ushers in the Second Great Depression will begin in Asia and Europe, and that it will be a fait accompli by the time New York traders arrive at their desks.

-Rickackerman.com, June 4, 2013

And Larry Edelson wrote the following:

Now, don’t get me wrong. I am not turning outright bearish on the stock market. Any pullback you see now will simply be a well overdue correction. That’s it.

The new long-term bull in the stock market is alive and well. Almost no one thought we’d ever get to 15,000 and change in the Dow. But just as I said it would, we got there.

And just as I’ve also been forecasting, once this correction is out of the way, the Dow will start to head north again, and eventually, probably within three years’ time, we will see the Dow north of 21,000 — at a minimum …

And far more likely, pressing 30,000 or even higher.

-MoneyandMarkets.com, June 3, 2013

So which view is right here?  A second Great Depression or Dow 30,000?  I am not presenting these two viewpoints to proclaim one right and the other wrong, but obviously one will be right and the other will be wrong.  The actions we take, or don’t take will have powerful financial consequences.  We do not want to be wrong about this.

The one view both of these guys share is both of them expect gold to top $10,000.  I just thought I’d throw that in.  As for the rest – you will just have to make up your own mind.  Good luck!

The truth is, as with our belief in God, we have to take a stand even though all the information, facts, charts, and events will not give us a 100% for certain answer.  Ultimately, we will act on our faith.  Our faith that we got it right.

King Tut hedged his bets in both arenas.  He took an estimated three-quarters of a billion dollars (today’s dollars) worth of gold with him for the journey to the next life.  Old Tut was certain that there is a God and an after-life and that gold is the best form of true wealth in either life.  He just knew it.  As for me, I think I’ll spend my gold in this life.  The one thing I am certain of is “you can’t take it with you.”  And I think I’ll add, gold is going above $5,000, maybe even $10,000.  I just know it.  I have no doubt!  I have complete faith in my view!  Like the George Michael song says, You Gotta Have Faith. by David Schectman

on June 04 2013http://blog.milesfranklin.com/

Cry Me A River's picture

CME SILVER INVENTORY REPORT

Here's A Snapshot Of The Report Containing The "Disclaimer"---I Must Confess, I Didn't See This Yesterday. Obviously, If They Are Not Standing Behind It's Accuracy, There Must Not Be As Much Silver In The Comex As They Claim--Move Along!

How Else Can We Interpret This?---If There Were More Than Was Claimed, They'd Announce It From The Mountaintop.

http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/files/Silver_Stocks.xls

monkry's picture

New Willie

He's a pretty good writer, and I like reading his stuff, new article @ silver Dr

RaRaRasputin's picture

The Rothschilds

I posted a week or so ago that the UK was set to show a series called 'The Aristocrats' and that the Rothschilds were set to be one of the families to be covered.  Well sure enough it aired and this is the blurb that accompanies it and at the bottom is the link to the programme.

'The Rothschilds are the most famous family in the world, known for being enormously wealthy and enormously private, fuelling endless speculation about the real extent of their power.

Waddesdon Manor, the ultimate Rothschild house, is now owned by the National Trust, but the Rothschilds still control and pay for it.

At the helm is one of the most influential men in the country, Lord Jacob Rothschild. With a huge fortune, a run of high-profile achievements and a lineage stretching back two centuries, he would appear to be the quintessential aristocrat.

But the notoriously discreet billionaire claims his family are not aristocrats. He even describes the Rothschilds as 'nouveaux riches'.

Jacob's daughter, documentary film-maker Hannah, provides an insight into how the Jewish Rothschilds were received by English high society in the 19th century.

The Rothschild way of inheritance has always played a key part in maintaining the family's wealth, and marks a very final point of difference from the British nobility.

Whereas aristocrats hand on all of their wealth to the first-born son, Rothschilds give it to the most able.

Now, Jacob has to choose between his four children - banker Nathaniel, garden designer Beth, archaeologist Emily and documentary maker Hannah - to ensure that their influence, power and wealth keep growing.'

http://www.channel4.com/programmes/the-aristocrats/4od

As I said before I find the timing of their moving into the limelight quite interesting ...... what's that all about is the question that it makes me ask?

luv2stak's picture

get Maples

99.99% pure. Can be used to make colloidal silver in a pinch 

FWIW

Cleburne61's picture

TF, your idea has changed my life...

No, I'm not talking about gold/silver, Keynesian endgame...though, that has helped too!

My wife's birthday was last weekend, and she'd already opened the present I'd given her.  You know, her main gift...so, I thought about something I could do that she'd appreciate for her special day.

Then it hit me!

Turd's present to Mrs. Turd, was a coupon good for one house cleaning.  Geeeen-yus. So, I issued to her, a certificate with coupons(plural), each giving the bearer 2 hours of childsitting on demand!  

Lemme tell you something...I think she liked that gift even better than her new iPad.  Seriously.

So, Turd: thank you, you're a gentleman and a scholar.  She thinks I'm a brilliantly tender-hearted guy.  And it's a gift that means so much that costs zero benny bucks....cuz its true value is in time given from the heart.  Everyone wins! 

P.S.-Anyone else here think that the Comex note saying "hey if anyone actually thinks these reports are true, well, that's no one's fault but theirs" has anything to do with JP Morgan "settling" massive tonnage of gold this month, despite their inventory vault #'s being as frozen as a Bluth banana?(sorry, Arrested Development is back with a new season, and I'm lovin it).

Spartacus Rex's picture

Re: The Legal Disclaimers

IS YOUR GOLD MISSING?

Is Your Gold Missing?
SRSrocco's picture

GOLD MINE SUPPLY FROM TOP 10 MINERS DOWN 4% YOY

According to my calculations, gold production from the top 10 gold miners was down 4% Q1 2013 compared to the same period last year.

The top 10 miners produced 7,299,307 oz of gold during the first quarter of 2012.  However, in Q1 2013 production declined to 7,043,870 oz, or a decline of 4%.

It looks like production will decline during the second quarter of 2013 when we consider the resulting supply constraints coming from several mines that Turd listed above.

Furthermore, I wanted to repost this link again below as I find it very interesting that silver warehouse stocks in China have declined while the COMEX inventories have remained virtually flat.

Shanghai Silver Stocks Decline Substantially after Price Take-down

Mad5Hatter's picture

Figure

November is the kick off for the 2014 mid election cycle. History says, land ducks get beat up. Republicans may just throw support our way. With 4 months pounce after funding, July lift off seems perfect for the november election cycle kick out. OK, there would be a match between the OK shoot out with RNC hats throws into the ring. Maybe Trud causes some big right wing mo, timed for the election kick off. Im smelling a GOP email and fund raiser going on. :O

Always think outside the box.

==========

GOP RNC Leadership
This is HUGE
Confidential Please

Are you just satisfied with pickin up a few seats? Are do you want to go it, the SWEEP!!!
Here is THE PLAN. .....

====

:) Yeap, shady at best

ChewYourOwnFaceOff's picture

KWN

You can bet that whatever they say, it won't happen. Sorry but that's their track record.

thesandbox's picture

Comex Disclaimer....

I think that it speaks volumes (or lack thereof) and really needs to be spread as much as possible.

Stock_Canines's picture

Question

Someone posted a few days ago in reference to Jim Sinclair's recent talk in London. The poster stated that Jim laid out several important dates moving forward. I was sure one of them was that this coming Tuesday (today) would provide strong indication of some important future developments (I am paraphrasing and trying to remember accurately). Does anyone recall this? Any idea what Sinclair is referring to? Just another missed short term call?

Edit - Could Sinclair have been talking about the disclaimed that appeared today on the Comex?

Charles S. Hamlin's picture

seems kind of fishy...

I guess it is quite possible that there has been this many sold in 1 day in June, but it sure looks like the held back on adding to the monthly tally to make May not look as large...either way, sales continue to be robust... smiley

2013 Silver Sales Totals
(in ounces / number of coins)
Month One
( oz. / #coins )
January 7,498,000
7,498,000
February 3,368,500
3,368,500
March 3,356,500
3,356,500
April 4,087,000
4,087,000
May 3,458,500
3,458,500
June 782,000
782,000
Total 22,550,500
22,550,500
Turd Ferguson's picture

This week's CoT

MODERATOR

Is going to be...shall we say...interesting, again.

Of course, we won't have the final OI numbers for today until tomorrow. Regardless, as it stands right now, gold for the Tue-Tue reporting week was UP abour $15 but, through yesterday, the total OI was DOWN over 35,000 contracts...just like last week. Silver was up 22¢ and its OI is down a whopping 300 contracts.

Mr. Fix's picture

The COMEX Disclaimer....

Gee, who could have seen that coming? I've only been saying for months that every number released by the criminals at the COMEX are specifically designed to point investors in exactly the wrong direction.

Of course they are fraudulent! But having them  admit it, is quite something else. This is the backroom lawyers trying to cover their asses, for what comes next. When they claim  that  low and behold, "the vaults are all empty now", they can point to this disclaimer, and cancel out the massive wave of class action lawsuits that would be the results of a delivery failure.

Since they have blatantly undermined their own credibility here, I would say that a failure to deliver is coming in the very near future. They would only keep their reputation… If they thought they could continue to do business.

Between the BIS   establishing a policy whereby stealing everyone's bank deposits is legitimate "law",

or posting fraudulent numbers for investors to   evaluate, they have taken lawlessness to a whole new level,

by making theft and fraud legal.

Too bad, 99% of the people who keep their money in the bank, only  know what J.P. Morgan is from the commercials they see on television while viewing dancing with the stars. When all the bank accounts are emptied out, they will have no idea what hit them. Just like, when people stand  or delivery, or try to get their own gold out of the system, they will walk away with empty hands. The groundwork has been laid,  if it is not in your physical possession, and you are unable to defend it, it is not yours,

keep stacking.

Turd Ferguson's picture

Thanks for bringing this up

MODERATOR

I was going to include this in this post but ran out of time.

This is complete BS and MOPE by The Mint.

Remember that the 1st was Saturday and the 2nd was Sunday. NO WAY The Mint sold 782,000 over the first three days of June. FAR MORE LIKELY is that they only posted these late May sales as June so that May's total didn't exceed the April total.

The meme is that demand is slowing. Having May sales exceed April's doesn't fit the narrative.

Also keep in mind the change that Little Timmy enacted in 2012. No longer does The Mint have to "provide as many ASEs as the public demands". Now The Miny simply has to provide "as many as the SecTreas deems appropriate".

Again, just more standard, government-issued MOPE.

Turd Ferguson's picture

From Ranting Andy

MODERATOR

2:00 am snapshots over the past 4 weeks. Cartel Monkeys in action 14 of the past 17 days. Bastards.

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