Friday Odds and Ends
A loose collection of things for you to consider on this fine, Friday morning.
We might as well begin with the charts. Look, I know this stinks. It has now been nearly 14 months since silver briefly peaked at $49. Gold has been under attack since early September of last year. It's painful and it's no fun. In the grand scheme of things, it's also irrelevant. In fact, it's beneficial...at least if you've been using this time to increase your physical holdings. There's certainly a lot of angst and nervousness out there regarding future price. Whatever. I, for one, am getting bored with it all. I know (in general) what is going to happen and I know (in general) how this will ultimately play out. The timeline of getting from here to there is the only thing in question. Please remain patient and resolute. You are doing the right thing. Your physical metal is your only financial protection. Don't let the day-to-day machinations of The Bullion Bank Cartels dissuade you.
So, here are two charts. Gold is still simply contained in the same $100 range in which it has traded for the past 6 weeks. Big deal. Sheesh. A couple of downticks and the world is ending. All the AGAs come out and claim that $1300 is next. It's not. Silver is currently below $27 and out of its $27-29 range but, so what. Two weeks ago it was above $29 and out of the range, too. History would suggest that anything below $27 represents a wonderful buying opportunity, not a horrific panic opportunity. Keep your wits about you, please.


One of the themes I'm going to be pounding for the remainder of this year and beyond is the ultimate removal of the U.S. dollar as basis for international trade settlement. I laid out some of the details here: http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/blog/3866/dot-connecting. Well, ZH has posted this morning an excellent summation of all the recent headlines in this area. You should check it out. Again, I'm no genius. I'm simply paying attention. Even the late Jeff Healey could have seen this one coming from a mile away.
"When the US Dollar is ultimately dethroned as the world's reserve currency (and finally gets rid of all those ridiculous three letter post-Keynesian economic "theories") nobody will have seen it coming. Well, nobody except for the following headlines: ""World's Second (China) And Third Largest (Japan) Economies To Bypass Dollar, Engage In Direct Currency Trade", "China, Russia Drop Dollar In Bilateral Trade", "China And Iran To Bypass Dollar, Plan Oil Barter System", "India and Japan sign new $15bn currency swap agreement", "Iran, Russia Replace Dollar With Rial, Ruble in Trade, Fars Says", "India Joins Asian Dollar Exclusion Zone, Will Transact With Iran In Rupees."
And this is interesting. Our pal, Chris Powell of GATA was on CNBC Asia overnight and he was actually allowed to discuss gold manipulation. In the brief amount of time he was allotted, Chris did his usual fantastic job of laying out the rationale of why gold is manipulated and by whom.
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000097894&play=1
And, lastly, this is fun. Yours truly was interviewed last evening by Rahul at http://www.altinvestors.com/. It's only about 15 minutes long but we covered a number of topics. I hope you find it helpful and interesting.
Well, that's it for now. The CoTs today probably won't be very exciting but I'll update you with my opinions later, regardless. Have a great day and a relaxing weekend.
TF
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Comments
Bold Calls
"Everything is running great and the ship looks to be performing better than expected. Seems like a quiet night ahead. I am going to turn in for the night." April 14, 2912 - Captain of the Titanic Edward Smith
Not a real quote of course, but you get the idea.
You gotta buy...
... when the streets are running red. Otherwise you won't make any money.
Thanks for the podcast Turd
it's a reiteration of the sham bond bubble coming. Those who wait for $18 may miss the buy with a hard reversal, as we've learned price is moved from the East. Perhaps a call by scotia is a way of hoodwinking the sheeple because they will wait and then watch as it's too late.
We are the Remnant
Ron Paul’s Task: Build Up the Remnant by Tom Woods
http://lewrockwell.com/woods/woods193.html Enjoy your weekend folks!
Insurance
I am in my late 60's and my wife is 12 yrs younger. I have been buying gold and silver at every opportunity and I can not think of a better insurance policy for my wife. The cost of life insurance at my age is considerable. Life insurance will also only pay in fiat!
Turd, thanks for your sanity in an insane world!
Dawg
Demand for physical
If everyone who visits this blog, ZH, Kitco, 321Gold, etc. all decided they wanted to break the strangehold JPM/et al have on the PM prices, they would sell all positions in ETFs, unallocated accounts, etc. and buy physical for personal holding.
There has to be buying pressure at the retail level in order to have an effect on pricing, as retailers buy from wholesalers and smelters.
Draining down the physical IS THE ONLY WAY. The PTB will NEVER willingly give up their power position made possible by fractional banking.
The ETFs were created to divert demand from the physical, and allow the bankers to use investors' money to gather together PMs in bulk, and fractionalize silver and gold further.
The price controls used to keep gold and silver below their true value dissuades the public from buying--the ultimate goal of the bankers. People don't view low prices in their investments like they do a 30%-off sale at Kohls. They buy when prices are UP 30%. Bankers know this. They are going to keep pressure on the paper markets as long as they can, because they can. Unless the physical is drained out from under them.
It is that simple.
George Carlin Birthday
It's actually May 12, not May 2. I know this because I share that special birthday with that incredible man. I also like to believe I share his intellect and wit.
HeNateMe
The Problem with Hyperbolic Rhetoric
Turd says...."There's certainly a lot of angst and nervousness out there regarding future price. Whatever. I, for one, am getting bored with it all". "The timeline of getting from here to there is the only thing in question".
Turd you said awhile back $10,000/oz gold, sooner rather than later. When is sooner? You've talked in the past about things like how "critical the next 48 hours are". Turned out too many times nothing really happened. You've set highs and lows that have been wrong. Too many posts here from other "doom and gloom, the end is near" type sites. Too many posts from like-minded individuals who have a vested interest in the rise of PMs. So maybe instead of saying that you are getting bored with other people's angst and nervousness, you should remind people once again that they should not invest their future based on opinions stated on this site.
@Scotia Mocatta
That article is worth reading, they make the point (I haven't seen elsewhere) that extending Operation Twist will reduce the liquidity provided by the Fed's SOMA program. If that is true, to me it makes it more likely that QE3 is a-coming.
In regards to the availability of silver in size, Bron Suchecki at Perth Mint keeps track of that very closely and is a reliable source, I believe, and as it is in his interest to reveal when large orders of silver are hard to fill he will make it widely known.
Dawg
Smart move and good thinking. When the reset happens, it'll be a real jackpot for her, and hopefully it'll be soon, so you get to see her enjoy it. Whatever enjoyment there might be--as the financial landscape will be rocky for awhile after.
@Really-
Really? Really!
I invested my future long before I ever came to this site.
HeNateMe
@Really
And a bah humbug to you to....
I believe Turd was clearly stating he was bored with the market actions. Not the multitude that visits this site and post. I get tired of people waffling on their positions like a bunch of damn Nancy's, but I'm not Turd. Sell, run, hide... if you don't get where all this is going and have enough stones to wait then you get what you deserve. Zombieland... love that movie. "It's time to nut up or shut up."
@Really-
You mean Turd can't really see the future and is just stating an opinion??? That would explain why he's not the richest man in the entire world. Thanks for clearing that up.
@Really
And don't confuse people who just happen to be on the same boat and in the same cabin seeing the reality of the situation as it applies to them as simply being LIKE MINDED.
Ticks me off when people come in and talk like the folks here are simply part of a hive mind and we can't think for our damn selves.
Hope you all have a good day. :)
SOOOOO
their going to print their way to solvency and DOW 20,000?
and full employment?
REALLY???????
trolls disappear on next runup.
Ignore the present
I gotta say the repetition of "ignore the current action" is getting a bit repetitive. I realise that there is an onus on those of use who get it to educate the others but you can only repeat something so many times. If people have made it to the point where they are regular readers of this blog, and I assume other related websites such as zerohedge and harveyorgan, and they STILL haven't realised that buying gold and silver is a long term investment then I'm not sure what good repeating the message really does for them.
Comex July Options Last Trade is next Tuesday
Jesse's charts noted that many bottoms were put in on this day .
FWIW.
(No subject)
Last night Monster Box of ASEs sealed sold for $14,765 - $29.53 each.
Great price! For those looking to purchase in smaller amounts, I just purchased from Bullion Direct 5 minutes ago.
ASEs for $29.60 each and Maples for $29.41. Phils are $29.56 (but I didn't buy any this time around). All excellent prices.
How much less?
How much shorter would your stack be without this 14 month beatdown? Mine personally would be less than half as tall. I have put more faith in PM/less faith in the dollar and have pretty much done all that I feel comfortable in doing. Feel good about your stack? if you do than enjoy life and be patient. If not, well you still have time.
The Problem with Hyperbolic Rhetoric...
...are posts like the one above that come on and post a chastising criticism in down PM days and just hiss and moan about TF or the people on here. Some things never change and never will.
If you go look, some of the people who have been coming out of the woodwork lately have a history (or lack of one) and want to throw stones in any direction just to do so.
TGIF!
"There's certainly a lot of angst ... "
That about sums it up, Turd. I love the thought immediately following that statement: "Whatever."
Couldn't have said it better. As I read thru yesterday's thread, I thought a number of relies hit the nail squarely. To wit, "If you started buying silver a year ago, and are now distraught because you are underwater, you are gambling, not investing, not stacking." As a 10 year+ veteran of "stacking" this time around, I am (painfully) well aware of how long it takes for these dramas to play out. When I say, "this time" it's because I played this game back in the late 60's to the early 80's. 15+years, buying 90% silver (at face) because it was removed from circulation; waiting, waiting, waiting; selling at the height of the Texas cowboy's attempt to corner the silver market.
I guess many have forgotten how everything got whacked the second half of 2008. What caused that to happen? The banksters were in deep, deep shit. They needed cash fast and quickly discovered that much of what they were calling "assets" weren't worth the paper they were written on. Equities and commodities got sold because they had some value. Is today all that much different? Every bank in Europe is trying to find cash. There are probably some (most?) in the US doing the same. I think they all see a day of judgment looming large. Hardly a week goes by now when there isn't a deadline of some kind. Countries and their banks lurch from one "crisis" to the next. Each can kick now only travels a few feet. In '08 and into '09, silver went from about $18-20 to about $9. Holy Nut Buster, Batman! Now, here we are, 4 years later and silver is around $27. Boo, hoo! Only a triple off the lows. Guess, what? It will probably go lower before it goes higher again.
This is a process, people, not an event. The first time I played this game it took about 15 years. This time, I'm about 10 years deep. Another 5 years won't surprise me. Alright, everybody back to work.
wax off (rant off)
@Boatman
Dow 20,000 = POSX 50 = Gas/Milk 10 = G 6000 = S 300
My guesses.
Edit: The MOPE monkeys "conveniently" left out the details of what Dow 20,000 would mean.
UPS showed up with 10 more AGEs this morning
I've reached my near-term stacking goal, unless Au goes down to $1200, then I'll add some more.
who me? buying BTFDs
It dipped yesterday, and I BOUGHT silver eagles...I am still stacking, BTFDs and BTW FU JPM !!!
THANK YOU Turd
Hey screw the long term...
...I went long silver today because I think this is the bottom, give or take a couple of dollars. If I'm wrong, you won't catch me blubbing about it.
FWIW it was very clear last week that the Fed were prepared to act instantly if the Greek election went the other way. If you wait for the Euro meltdown, you'll have waited too long.
@Dagney Taggart
LCS?
Another dog story
Diamond Lil. She herds the bulls out of the arena at the Reno Rodeo. There's a video of her embedded in the article. She looks sooo small next to those bulls!
http://www.mynews4.com/news/story/Diamond-Lil-is-a-fan-favorite-at-Reno-...
Hmm...
Perhaps some predictive power can be derived from things we know ...
QE3 = inflation = high gas prices. Also, QE3 = immediate rise in equities and upward pressure on PMs.
I think some other Turdites are correct when they note that the commodities are being crushed, perhaps not so much to reduce Au and Ag prices as they are to reduce C8H18 prices.
And apparently TPTB would like these prices to remain low until approximately the first week in November. After that, que sera sera.
So, what is the delay time between supply disruptions due to conflict or other macroeconomic monkeyshines and a rise in the price of gas at the pump? Whatever that delay time is, it would be a predictor of the timing of said monkeyshines. Is it three weeks? Six? A couple months? Perhaps one should be ready for some chaos in September.
Gold
You have $100,000. A lot of money to a lot of people.
Reset occur's~~~~USD now backed by gold now at $55,000 an ounce
You still have $100,000 or right around 1.5 ounces of new money.
I have $10,000 and bought gold at spot dips before reset.
I have give or take 5 ounces of gold.
Reset occur's~~~~USD now backed by gold now at $55,000 an ounce
I still have 5 ounces of gold or right around $275,000 of old money.
Who is coming out ahead here....?
Think about it and keep stackin'
@tpbeta
LCS local coin shop