Net-Net Nothing

Does anyone else find this slightly amusing?

All of the hand-wringing and angst brought about by the FOMC meeting turned out to be wasted energy. Oh, there are several, interesting nuggets you need to consider but let's look at the gold price action first.

Heading into the Fedlines at 12:30 EDT, we were all wondering what was going to happen to gold (and silver) prices. Would they rise on some kind of QE announcement? Would they fall as they have nearly every time The Bernank has spoken in 2012? The answer to both is: Yes! And that's the funny part.

You've now read countless entries of mine where I've lamented the utter lack of participation in the metals pits, post MFing Global. The only entities left trading are Cartel monkeys and HFT algos. Because of this, we are stuck in an environment where The Cartel can very efficiently "game" the mindless spec computers. We saw this done again today.

Again the pattern for 2012 has been: When The Bernank talks, the metals get sold and the specs (both long and short) get fleeced. Usually, this plays out over a few days. Today, this played out over a few hours. It went like this:

  • When the Fedlines hit the wires, gold was $1606. Over the next 6 or 7 minutes, it was hit for $15 and fell to $1591. Spec longs were crushed as their sell stops were hit.
  • For the next 90 minutes, gold rallied $30 from $1591 to $1621. Spec shorts were crushed as their buy stops were hit, especially in one, joyous 4-minute interval were gold jumped over $15.
  • Then The Bernank took the podium and began speaking. What happened? Well, of course gold was hit for $15 and fell from $1621 back to $1606 over the next 45 minutes.

And thus the title of today's blog entry. The net result is NOTHING. The only ones making any money continue to be The Cartel. Spec long = LOSER. Spec short = LOSER. The non-event of the Fed non-announcement is simply used as cover for The Gold Cartel to game price back and forth, thereby lining their pockets (and increasing their bonus pools) at the expense of the dumb money.

Continuing with the theme of "Net-Net Nothing", today's fun-and-games had ZERO IMPACT on the face of the charts. Gold and silver continue to be rangebound. Silver is particularly quiet and this will likely continue. The lack of volatility is bleeding premium from the July options and you almost have to expect this to continue through option expiry next week. Absent some unforeseen headlines, gold will likely remain below for a few more days, as well.

Back to The Fed. What did they actually say today? It wasn't as bland as LIESman would have you believe.

  • They confirmed that they will maintain "extraordinarily low interest rates (ZIRP) through 2014". Why doesn't anyone ever talk about this? That's two and a half years from now! A minimum of 2.5 more years of negative, real interest rates! And how can they claim that, suddenly, beginning in 2015, things will get better and rates will go up? That's preposterous! No one can tell you what will happen next week, let alone 3 years from now but everyone just brushes aside the "ZIRP to 2015" stuff like it's nothing.
  • They also lowered their 2012 GDP forecast (which they just made in April) from 2.65% to 2.15%. That's a 20% drop in expectations over the past 60 days. What changed?
  • They also stated that they expect the BLSBS numbers to stay right here at 8.1 to 8.2%. This is also a change for the worse since April. Again, what has changed?

Additionally, the next FOMC meeting is 7/31-8/1 so we get to go through all of this again in just 6 short weeks. Hooray! But seriously, that meeting will be interesting. Besides having the June BLSBS data to consider, they'll also have the July data as it will be due to be made public on 8/3. Again, the next FOMC meeting will be the one to watch. Until then...well, we'll see.

Just a couple of other things for you. Two of our pals have released new articles over the past 24 hours. Jim Quinn hits us with a two-parter:

http://www.theburningplatform.com/?p=35850  &  http://www.theburningplatform.com/?p=36196

and Mike Krieger uncovered this very interesting video from one of our Esteemed Leader's former allies. Pretty interesting stuff. ( http://libertyblitzkrieg.com/2012/06/19/harvard-law-professor-demolishes-obama/) Here's the actual video. Dude blasts Obama pretty hard and he's a Democrat! Pretty funny.

That's it for now. I hope you survived the day. I hope you're ready for tomorrow as who knows what it holds.

TF

Comments

Magpie's picture

On Unger

I feel like I listened (twice) to a different video than everyone else.  Unger said we "need to insist on a higher level of taxation", that "can later be made more progressive."  He also said "President Obama failed to advance the Progressive cause."  Clearly he's miffed with Obama because he hasn't turned the U.S. into the socialist wonderland they dreamed of at Harvard when Zero was an underling at Unger's feet.   The words "struggle" and "workers" are dead giveaways.  Unger isn't supporting Obama's defeat, he's promoting the rise of the workers.  Listen to guys like that often enough and we'll all be living like Zhivago pretty soon. 

Pining 4 the Fjords's picture

OutLookingIn- I watched it

And my small mind was at least large enough to notice that this man's issue with O is that he believes O simply pursued the wrong type of communism (sorry, "progressivism").  No sale. Although he certainly gets portions of his critique right, I'll give him credit for that.

bam's picture

@Magpie

>Unger said we "need to insist on a higher level of taxation", that "can later be made more progressive." 

Yah, that particular line gave me pause.   And thinking about it, the idea is unworkable in practice anyway.  When was the last time a government willing gave back a nice new revenue stream?   Tax now, ask questions later.    No thanks.

Gold Buffalo's picture

Fedspeak

Fed says it is prepared to do more if necessary.

Allow your mind to fast forward.  2 years.  3 years. 5 years.  And then take a step back.

Imagine that what happens is that the economy recovers, global issues resolve, and it turns out that further monetary easing was not necessary.  

Really?  I mean Really?  

The verbiage that they are prepared to act is for a purpose.  It will be fulfilled.

bam's picture

More from Ranting Andy's latest (it was a good one)...

I want to post two powerful charts sourced from Jim Willie's new, June newsletter.  I had not seen these charts of "Managed Money PM short positions" - which are clearly held by the Cartel, given their uncanny penchant for ALWAYS being short during a 12-year bull market.  As you can see, the ONLY time such gold shorts spiked this high was at the BOTTOM in late 2008 - at $670/oz...

 

managed money short positions    

...and in silver's case, at the same time - at $9/ounce!

 

managed money   

http://archive.constantcontact.com/fs003/1101357242253/archive/1110288109799.html

Mammoth's picture

Google is Spying on YOU

This is a Google view of the garden-area of my property. It is fairly recent, and clearly shows the four greenhouses, my fruit trees, compost bins, as well as the other labeled items. Think they can’t spy on YOU also?

Oh, and the burial location (for bodies or other items) may or may not be in this photo.  Another reason to do your diggin' at night!

foggyroad's picture

Derivatives

When I hear the  otc derivative market is going to be wound down from, a quadrillion notional to non existent, and bankers are no longer allowed to bet in that unregulated casino, then I'll know I'm listening to somebody who can do something to right the ship!

The derivative market contributes not dollar one into the economy, it facilitates negative real interest rates and fills banker's pockets via huge bonuses.  

It has allowed debt money to grow to dizzying amounts, and risk capital supporting this is leveraged, 300 times in JPMs 73 trillion chunk and upwards of 2300 times in Goldmans 44 trillion chunk!

World GDP is about 76 trillion if memory serves, We're talkin serious money here.

Shadow banking indeed! Glass Steagle Act, deregulation, self regulation by these megabanks is like handing the keys to the 800 horsepower Ferrari to the fourteen year old neighbors kid.

Subordination of depositors to derivatives in BAC, of 53 trillion wtf?

Hows that going to end?

OutLookingin see why I can't get too worked up over Your man R.M.U.

Best regards;

foggy

Porky thanks! An eloquent spot on derivatives discussion!

One on One with Paul Craig Roberts

There has been plenty of calamitous news surrounding the European debt crisis.  Greece is insolvent.  Spain just got a big bank bailout, and Ireland wants a new bailout deal.  No matter how bad it looks in the EU, Paul Craig Roberts says the problems in Europe are“nowhere near as big as the ones here.”  The U.S. is printing massive amounts of money to paper over the mess, but it won’t work.  Roberts says a collapse of the U.S. dollar could happen at any moment.   It could be triggered by any number of things such as war or a derivatives meltdown.  When a former Assistant Treasury Secretary (under the Reagan Administration) and a PhD in economics sounds the alarm bell, people should take cover.  Dr. Roberts says, “The cliff dive we are experiencing in housing isn’t over,” and precious metals prices are “being suppressed.”  Roberts says, “Gold prices should be rising.  Why? Because the debt is rising.”   What is the reason why Dr. Roberts thinks the suppression game has gotten so intense?  Dr.  Roberts says, “The fact that they are driving the price down suggests to me the situation is getting more desperate.”  Greg Hunter interviews Paul Craig Roberts one on one about these subjects and more.

 

!

ak4mark's picture

placer mining

Dude 

i live in auburn and am just starting to do it the old fashion way. are you in the ca gold country? 

kingboo's picture

Gravity doesn't exist in their world

these douche bags actually believe their own shit......mix that with their belief that they are truly more intelligent than the rest of us......and what do you get? Not just the neighbor's 14 yr old kid with they keys to the Ferrari......but you and me strapped in the passenger seat with no airbag or seatbelt!    (i thought i was gonna die laughing with the "yoyo smuggling" comment.....        cheeky

 

I Run Bartertown's picture

"Hope I don't find Nothin'"

I was curious how people would respond, so I held off on taking my turn at "Talkin' John Birch Dead-On Accurate Blues", but this one's easy. Unger is as Red as anyone will admit to being these days. Wasn't it a hint when his gripe with obamao was that he's not as radically left as Unger taught him to be? 

Even more radical and influential than Bell was Harvard law professor Robert Unger, who taught Obama a couple of courses, including one called “Reinventing Democracy.” Like Bell, Unger called U.S. jurisprudence a sham system designed to protect the rich at the expense of the poor. But Unger also taught Obama how to dismantle it. He argued for seizing all private capital and redistributing it.

Obama kept up communications with Unger long after he graduated, but those contacts stopped in 2008. “I am a leftist, and by conviction as well as by temperament, a revolutionary,” Unger explains. “Any association of mine with Barack Obama in the course of the campaign could do only harm.”

http://savetherevolution.com/2012/03/

-----------------------

"A tearing down of the walls that separate the world of private business and private longing from public life; and the acceptance of the idea that politics must be big for individuals to be big. So all of this is a refusal to accept the end of history, to get off the roller coaster, an insistence on rhetoric, to the experience of history as a contest over the basic terms of human life." Robert Unger http://www.india-seminar.com/2001/506/506%20robert%20unger.htm

 
foggyroad's picture

yoyo

priceless ;0)

DrkPurpleHaze's picture

1. 'The Riddle'

This series of short vids starts at the following link and starts with 'The Riddle' and has about 50 or so 'episodes' to it as you scroll through there. Most Turdites here know of these vids  and what it's all about.

This link is for any newbs who are just getting started in their Awakening' or any regular Turds on here who might want to share the link with a friend who knows nothing of what we concern ourselves with on here. Or for any Turdites who didn't know that music vid/documentary thread exists.

There's a little bit of everything on there.

The Riddle....

http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/comment/108263#comment-108263

ak4mark's picture

panning gold

Ohio! you just may be onto something. I'm lucky enough to live in the mother lode and my son and i are just barley starting to pan and nugget shoot. last weekend A local guy came in to old town where i pick up some silver rounds and coins on occasion. he was wearing a 4 oz nugget around his neck. he said he found a bunch more with a metal detector down in so. California. he was hitting tailings from an old mine. 

redwood's picture

Love this group.  Clannad

Love this group.  Clannad

historiography's picture

Fear of the Fed or fear of working people's struggle?

Progressive change in government circa 2012 (beyond its 19th century roots) means to protect the working class from the abuse of the corporate state and it's puppet government.   Unger is saying to tear down the parties in order to rebuild from the ashes.  Good luck.  The reaction against terms like workers and struggle is a sign of outdated thinking concerning the difference between democrats and republicans. 

Arguments against taxes is self defeating.  We are taxed most by the failed financial system, allowing both parties to subsidize and bailout their friends.  Progressive would mean to tax GE's billion dollar profits as to not burden the working poor and middle class.  It's time to unite friends.

TitanAe's picture

New maples !!

cpnscarlet's picture

@historiography - Yes, Unger

@historiography - Yes, Unger wants to tear down to build from the ashes - A Better Form of Central Control.

You poor sap, can't you hear it? He's saying the Obama didn't do progressivism correctly, so we "real progressives" have to start beating the masses into our image again. A better collective for all brought to you by the "right" people running the big state. Whenever the big collective state (like the USSR) failed, it was always because "they weren't as smart as we are".

Unite with that? Not on your life.

Here's a thought. Let a productive company (GE, even) keep its profits to hire more of the poor and middle class. Or even better - a government that actually is limited so they won't have to tax every last dollar. Crazy, I know. It's just the old "less taxes, smaller gov't" plea. A mere academic debate at this point that we won't see again perhaps.

redwood's picture

This one puts me in an

This one puts me in an absolute giddy mood.

Planters's picture

Na na net net na na nothing from me....

mike doughty is cool 

...i was busted cruft

historiography's picture

Your rights were taken away by Bush

and codified by Obama with a little sugar on top. 

Listen to the Assange - Correa talk: the president of Ecuador Rafael Correa nails it.  We have been taught to believe that government is always bad and that the media is liberal.  The media is right-wing and the powerful protector of the corporate state.  It is why we have congress gushing over Jamie Dimon while TPTB and Banksters continue wars and and unfair taxes and gutting of the middle class.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=ZvUwC5JTAJY

Two Gun Tobin's picture

Stake your claim now

Dr Jerome    dont wait, stake your claim before someone else claims it first.  Here in the Sierra Nevada Mountains, you would be shocked at how much of the land is already staked out. In my search for a claim I found families that have thousands of acres in their names, and have had it since the 1890's!   Many of the names/people that I researched have been dead for decades, but the fees are still being paid. the BLM and Forest Service dont care. All they care about is that the fees are coming in every year. It blew me away. So anyway, good luck!

Two Gun Tobin's picture

Gold Mining Fool

Hey ak4mark.. I'm in Sacramento and placer mine all over your home ground.  It's always more fun in groups, lets go out and dig some gold sometime.

historiography's picture

Small government requires

the corporate state in our free market doing the right thing.  History is proof enough of how that ends up. 

GE's jobs are now overseas and pays nothing to pay for the war that it profits from as it is mainly a maker of bombs and engines.  Fairness and justice do not always have to equate to being Maoist.

Gramp's picture

Hangin' out on Main?

Redwood! They'll tar and feather you back at the Corner if they find out you are gettin' funky on Main St!

  Sheesh Oil is still ticking lower... An ol Dr. "C" is headed back to the mat... and no surprises from the Devil's metal either!

   Like to grab and go from the LCS,  paper for metal, no slips, but his premium is to high at $8.00/oz for Gvt.  Ag Rounds. Have never had a problem with APMEX, just the fact it's all documented.  So what really. Just because it was purchased, doesn't mean it hadn't been resold or stolen.

kingboo's picture

Historiography......

the govt and the big corps are united ......against the subjects. Think of them as one.....it would do you well

big-business.jpg

kingboo's picture

It's Taxation without representation...all over again

  
i dont know any sane person who denies we need taxes...........it is the misappropriation of taxes that is at issue.  
Beez's picture

@ak4mark

I've driven down dog bar to the bear river campground off placer hills road. Lots of gold flakes because Hansen Bros. gravel pit is upstream. Hansen Bros. even sets up sluice boxes down stream from their operation. For nuggets you really need to go to the Yuba River. Especially by Allegany. I got gold fever while walking a dog along Deer Creek in Nevada City. A hippie kid was gold panning and showed me a nugget he just found the size of his small fingernail.

Stoxxman's picture

Everyone knows its Windy

foggyroad's picture

Black Keys Yernin

Magpie's picture

What did he know, and when did he know it?

Looks like we know why Zero invoked executive privilege.

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