Turd on the Brink of Insanity

So, this is how it works in the Age of Lies, Obfuscation & Nonsense.

2/29 - Bernanke testimony. Down go PMs. http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/blog/3465/csi-comex-gold-and-silver-massacre

3/8 - Bernanke buttboy Hilsenrath talks. Up go PMs. http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/blog/3494/whatever-sterilize

3/13 - FOMC minutes no QE. Down go PMs. http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/blog/3520/literally-sick-my-stomach

3/26 - Bernanke talks. Up go PMs. http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/blog/3578/thank-you-mr-ben-bernank

4/3 - FOMC minutes again. Down go PMs. http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/blog/3615/schizo

4/11-12 - More talk of QE from Bernanke, Yellen and Dudley. Up go PMs. http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/blog/3654/sack-nonsense-redux

4/13 - Bernanke talks. Down go PMs. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/no-hints-qe-latest-bernanke-word-cloud

Absolutely ridiculous and comical nonsense. NO ONE should be attempting to trade gold and/or silver futures on the Comex. The WOPRs and The Cartel are completely in charge and every mutterance and headline sends a cascade of HFT orders based solely upon phraseology and syntax. THIS IS MADNESS! In the end, the fiat price of true money is left to shift in the wind, regardless of the underlying fundamentals. Therefore, THE ONLY ONES WITH A CHANCE are the regulars in Andy's Army. EVERYONE ELSE must avoid day trading at all costs. THE ONLY OPTION is to buy physical metal on paper metal dips and TAKE DELIVERY.

Have a nice weekend. TF

Comments

Monedas's picture

Overlapping Bell Curves !

The two parties that tend to dominate American politics aren't as dogmatic...they overlap a bit...that's all...it's no big mystery or conspiracy ! When reality closes in (impending collapse) they will have to adapt or die !  Monedas  2012    Not voting is voting !  Voting is voting !  You can't not vote !  devil

Dr Jerome's picture

Fred Hayek... and others

Your comments about the EE having the privilege of seeing all the buy orders and NOT letting the price crash into that region makes a lot of sense. It also suggests a trading strategy.

Feedback on a slow Saturday?

Why not sell SLV Bull Put vertical spreads below a "minimum price" that the cartel will let things fall, say, $30.  Take profits on every upswing, then reload on the dips. perhaps 1 trade a week. And when things are running flat, sit tight and make a bit on theta decay. Close out before expiration. Reload one month out on the expiration day beatdown. If we have a solid floor in place, this strategy would seem reasonable. Does anyone see any major flaws with this plan?

I'd love to join the Army, but I am not that good, I don't sit at the computer all day and I cannot afford to fund my account to that level. That 10 for 10 record mentioned last night  is encouraging. I hope they can make a difference. If their record stays solid like that, perhaps other "real" traders will join them.

But I can hardly stand sitting out of the markets and only stack. Am I addicted to the action? Perhaps we need a Traders Anonymous forum with some good stacker-counselors on hand to talk me out of any trading...

When it is really bad, I go to the LCS and buy another coin to fondle until the impulse passes. 

NW VIEW's picture

THE FOURTH WATCH IS UPON US

The markets are a mess, along with everything else. We all know that "the writing is on the wall" and there is not anything that can be done to fix the global problems.  There will be major events happening in America and as they come, the old "being prepared" will have a new view.   jmo

Be Prepared's picture

Our Behemoth Postal System.... Needed and Not So?

edited:  Missed that ClinkinKY posted that one..

Be Prepared's picture

Success defined by the Spin..... Everyone's Doing It

Be Prepared's picture

Pass What?..... failure... debt.... corruption.....

Be Prepared's picture

Facebook will finally reward the C.I.A. for all their efforts

Xty's picture

Dr Jerome

Yes - I do have miners, but I just let them wallow.  And every now and then we buy a coin, and feel way better.  It is the one thing we own that keeps growing - well, other than my garden.

Except for all those canoeing accidents.  I must get in touch with our local insurance company.

Big Rocks's picture

Excalibur grab that 1933 Saint G.!

Hahaha, your lcs doesn't have that coin!
"The 1933 double eagle (United States 20-dollar gold coin) is a coin which currently holds the record for the highest price paid at auction for a single U.S. coin. It was purchased for US$7.59 million. 445,500 specimens of this Saint-Gaudens Double Eagle were minted in 1933, the last year of production for the Double Eagle, but no specimens ever officially circulated and nearly all were melted down, due to the discontinuance of the domestic gold standard in 1933."
Wikipedia

ouchtouch's picture

Typo

Obviously I meant Edith O'Brien.  http://www.bloomberg.com/image/iTDsXy3FktV4.jpg

Her testimony will in all likelihood put Corzine in prison.  If I were her I would hold out for complete immunity and refuse to plead to anything.

Xty's picture

AGnAU...

Sorry to be a whiner, but there are forums for discussing religious issues.

Colonel-Angus's picture

Just ignore him he will go away......not

ink's picture

Re: typo

I think you are far to optimistic. The way the kleptocracy of America works nowadays, there is no way that Corzine is doing any serious prison time.

Regarding socialism, since most of you seem to bash it all the time. You people from the USA have a strange distorted idea of what socialism actually is. I would advise you all to read up on it, starting with the good old Das Kapital.

Then do some reading on one of the soundest and fairest countries in the world, Norway. High taxes, medicare for all, everything you would regard as socialist. Yet.......

"Norwegians enjoy the second highest GDP per-capita (after Luxembourg) and fourth highest GDP (PPP) per-capita in the world. Today, Norway ranks as the second wealthiest country in the world in monetary value, with the largest capital reserve per capita of any nation."

"Norway's first female prime minister, Gro Harlem Brundtland of the Labour party, continued many of the reforms of her right-wing predecessor, while backing traditional Labour concerns such as social security, high taxes, the industrialization of nature, and feminism. By the late 1990s, Norway had paid off its foreign debt and had started accumulating a sovereign wealth fund."

p.s. I am located in the Netherlands, hope to relocate sometime to Norway.

boatman's picture

NORWAY

i'd say it's success is the north sea brent it sells....a full 25% of GDP

nothing like a cash cow everyone must have. 

ink's picture

Norway

Most countries have a good possibility of income. How you spend it is the key. You want to spent it all on military, tax breaks for the rich and corporations, useless government institutions and so on. Yes, then you won't have any money left for medicare, pensions for the elderly and welfare for the jobless. It's all a matter of making choices.

Bobbejaan's picture

Rockonomy

Bobbejaan's picture

DOH! ... Countryomony

Bobbejaan's picture

Raponomy

SRSrocco's picture

REPLY.....EROI diesel discussion etc

Tabberto...while UCG Syndiesel is a good method of adding more supply to the market, I find it difficult to imagine gains in this process will be able to offset depletion coming in the oil industry.  While it is true that the world just witnessed a new record of TOTAL LIQUID PRODUCTION at over 90 million barrels a day, this was from lower EROI souces such as NGPL's (natural gas plant liquids), Bio-fuels.

(Chart by Stuart Staniford -- theoildrum)

In the chart below, we can see easily see that the growth has indeed been coming from NGPL's and Bio-fuels:

(chart by Stuart Staniford -- theoildrum)

I don't blame those who are not PEAK OILERS to point to the top chart and say that "See, the world is still increasing liquid fuels."  However true this may be, this increase comes at a cost.  NGPL's and Bi-fuels that account for over 10 mbd (million barrels a day) of supply have much lower energy content than CRUDE or CONDENSATE which is shown in the blue line.

Here are the energy equivalents of each:

C&C yields 5.9 MBTU/bbl;
NGPL yields 3.8 MBTU/bbl;
Other Liquids yields 4.0 MBTU/bbl

Here we can see that NGPL's and Bio-fuels yield 32% less energy than Crude & Condensate.  The demand for liquid energy is outpacing supply -- calculated by world 2002-2005 growth rate:

(Chart by Jeffrey Brown -- theoildrum)

Again, the world is dumping all kinds of liquid energy on the market to satisfy demand. 

UCG-CTL PLANT EROI 

You state that these plants can produce 20,000 barrels a day at approximately $30 a barrel.  I would assume this does not include the CAPEX it takes to build the plant.  The largest GTL Plant now running is Shell's Qatar plant that is pumping out 120,000 barrels a day of liquid fuels.  Let's not forget their original cost to build the plant was $8-9 billion.  When they opened the facility the total cost for the plant was $18-19 billion nearly double the estimated cost.

If we go by your cost of $30 a barrel for these plants and oil is running at $120, the EROI ratio for that process is 4-1 or on between TAR SANDS EROI 2-1 and SHALE OIL EROI 5-1.

For some strange reason people keep coming up with these ideas that we can run the interstate highway system on natural gas or we can convert coal to liquids (as the process you mention).  I would like to inform the reader that, even though we have a lot of coal, we are consuming most of it just to produce electricity to run the GRID.

COAL PRODUCTION vs  CONSUMPTION (in thousands)

2010 consumption = 1,051,305 short tons

2010 production = 1,084,368 short tons

By looking at these last up to date total annual figures, we can see that there is not a whole lot of extra coal for producing COAL TO LIQUIDS.

I have to laugh when people (especially some engineers) think we can just run electric cars on the interstate highways instead of burning liquid fuels.  Can you imagine just how much more electricity we would need to generate on the GRID to power 250 million cars??

Does anyone ever consider THE WHOLE PICTURE ANYMORE??

Silvergunn's picture

Good analysis...

Fritz's picture

EROI etc . . .

Tabberto, please make sure to provide a link to the announcement that you are expecting when it happens). That and others may markedly, and positively, affect bankable feasibility studies and financing for extractive resource industry located in proximity to coal fields.

Fritz's picture

Reply . . . . EROI

I agree that there will be shortages, but this is nothing new. There is good reason that Detroit and Bethlehem are waning industrial centers (even ignoring union and debt related issues). They ran out of locally and low cost iron ore. This is the way it has been since the beginning of time. People and development leave once the resources are exhausted. So, when we see peak liquids (I prefer to call it Peak Straws - we can't keep up with putting additional straws in the ground due to costs, scarcity, etc (EROI)) becomes a reality and just in time supply chain management become irrelevant, it is those areas with immediate access to liquids (such as coal to liquids) that will still be able to produce - for their local booming economy that can still afford to pay for it's prosperity. This is a self reinforcing process until it stops . . . i.e. the resource runs out . . . and people move on to the next area of regional prosperity. Remember, people never move to where the debtors are, they move to where the money is.

murphy's picture

Xty- re Insurance claim

No need to get in touch with your local company. Just got word from Ferd at the home office. . Unfortunately, they can't honor your claim without before and after pictures of your stash before it went down and the gps coordinates of same.

Murph, authorized agent for Ferd

btw, can I interest you in our new tax preparation service?

Bobbejaan's picture

Introduction to Austrian -vs- Keynesian Economics

shaz's picture

Go Kings

2-0

we are on our way

yay

P

57Goldtop's picture

Go Kings!

LA Kings, a team Canada can be proud of.

Oh, and here's one for the Vancouver fans...

shaz's picture

ack

minty

heh heh

I Run Bartertown's picture

@ink

"You want to spent it all on military, tax breaks for the rich and corporations..."

Tax 'breaks' are not SPENDING. Discussing politics is one thing, but to base it on the DNC presumption that ALL wealth belongs to .gov is dishonest. 

Yeah, they'll give you a 'break' and let you keep some of it. They'll have to check and make sure they've got enough first before they "spend" your own money by letting you keep some. Worse than tortured logic...it's the way otherwise good people justify their theft...because they get a legislator to do it for them...

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

On a brighter note:

 $175 (1/10th)

$24.33

$31.50

Unfortunately, I accidently used them in a vending machine to buy some chips. 

Once I realized my mistake, I set half of the chips aside in case the taxman wants half. Have at it, Mr. Revenuer....

ink's picture

@I Run Bartertown

"Tax 'breaks' are not SPENDING. Discussing politics is one thing, but to base it on the DNC presumption that ALL wealth belongs to .gov is dishonest."

​I'm far from being a person who would say that all wealth belongs to goverments. But IF you are someone who, like me, believes that society as a whole has an obligation to care for the elderly, the weak and the sick, then you might be able to understand how i DO include tax breaks in spending. I see people and corporations alike as entities who share an obligation to care for the parts of society who can't (any longer) take care of their own. If you choose to limit spending on welfare, medicare and pensions (partly government paid in Europe) and instead give tax breaks to corporations, you are actually redistributing this obligation into more wealth for people who do not need it. Most of the tax breaks do not end up in creating extra jobs or providing safety or medicare for workers. Most of it ends up in paying profits to the shareholders, which often are exactly the people who do not need this extra money as much as the weaker in society do.

​So all in all, yes i would like to limit taxes as much as possible but not at the expense of obligations society holds towards its individuals. In the current environment most of the excess money ends up in the hands of the already rich people at the expense of the needy.

Ask yourself, how can it be that the real economy is doing so poorly, governments are running record debts and people are living on foodstamps. Yet corporations are still having record profits. To me that would be an indication of them not paying their fair share towards society. To you it would be an indication of too much government spending. The truth is likely somewhere in the middle :)

I Run Bartertown's picture

?!?

"for people who do not need it."

Interesting thing...who gets to determine that.

"Most of it ends up in paying profits to the shareholders, which often are exactly the people who do not need this extra money as much as the weaker in society do."

I can do that too - 'Most of welfare ends up spent on booze, drugs, and lotto tickets, and the recipients are often exactly the people who "don't need this money (will waste it on shiny rims)" and don't make society better the way the stronger in society do.'

Obviously, the truth is in the middle, but at least I recognize what my version sounds like...you were dead serious though...

Don't get me wrong, I respect your decisions and like you just fine. There would really only be a conflict if we were expected to behave like countrymen. yes

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